Related papers: Learning ergodic averages in chaotic systems

The problem of statistical inference for open chaotic systems measured with error is complicated by the interaction of the uncertainty introduced by chaos, and the various sources of random or external variation. Here a method of…

The El Ni\~{n}o-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is a dominant mode of interannual climate variability, yet the mechanisms limiting its long-lead predictability remain unclear. Here we develop a physics-guided Deep Echo State Network (DESN) that…

This article introduces a robust hybrid method for solving supervised learning tasks, which uses the Echo State Network (ESN) model and the Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) algorithm. An ESN is a Recurrent Neural Network with the…

This paper presents a systematic study of the application of convolutional neural networks (CNNs) as an efficient and versatile tool for the analysis of critical and low-temperature phase states in spin system models. The problem of…

The discovery of novel experimental techniques often lags behind contemporary theoretical understanding. In particular, it can be difficult to establish appropriate measurement protocols without analytic descriptions of the underlying…

An extreme event is a sudden and violent change in the state of a nonlinear system. In fluid dynamics, extreme events can have adverse effects on the system's optimal design and operability, which calls for accurate methods for their…

A phase-space semiclassical approximation valid to $O(\hbar)$ at short times is used to compare semiclassical accuracy for long-time and stationary observables in chaotic, stable, and mixed systems. Given the same level of semiclassical…

The electroencephalogram (EEG) is one of the most precious technologies to understand the happenings inside our brain and further understand our body's happenings. Automatic prediction of oncoming seizures using the EEG signals helps the…

Echo State Network (ESN) presents a distinguished kind of recurrent neural networks. It is built upon a sparse, random and large hidden infrastructure called reservoir. ESNs have succeeded in dealing with several non-linear problems such as…

The existence of generalized steady states (GSSs) in nonlinear mechanical systems under moderate temporally aperiodic forcing has only been shown recently. Here we derive systematic expansions for such GSSs and construct a numerical…

This paper presents a Newton-based stochastic extremum-seeking control method for real-time optimization in multi-input systems with distinct input delays. It combines predictor-based feedback and Hessian inverse estimation via stochastic…

Modeling the dynamics of the formation and evolution of protostellar disks as well as the history of stellar mass accretion typically involve the numerical solution of complex systems of coupled differential equations. The resulting mass…

Echo State Networks (ESNs) are a class of single layer recurrent neural networks that have enjoyed recent attention. In this paper we prove that a suitable ESN, trained on a series of measurements of an invertible dynamical system, induces…

A hypergraph as a generalization of graphs records higher-order interactions among nodes, yields a more flexible network model, and allows non-linear features for a group of nodes. In this article, we propose a hypergraph echo state network…

Many applications require the ability to judge uncertainty of time-series forecasts. Uncertainty is often specified as point-wise error bars around a mean or median forecast. Due to temporal dependencies, such a method obscures some…

Extracting relevant properties of empirical signals generated by nonlinear, stochastic, and high-dimensional systems is a challenge of complex systems research. Open questions are how to differentiate chaotic signals from stochastic ones,…

Aero-engine fault prediction aims to accurately predict the development trend of the future state of aero-engines, so as to diagnose faults in advance. Traditional aero-engine parameter prediction methods mainly use the nonlinear mapping…

We set up a signal-driven scheme of the chaotic neural network with the coupling constants corresponding to certain information, and investigate the stochastic resonance-like effects under its deterministic dynamics, comparing with the…

Reservoir Computing has found many potential applications in the field of complex dynamics. In this article, we exploit the exceptional capability of the echo-state network (ESN) model to make it learn a unidirectional coupling scheme from…

Chaos arises in many complex dynamical systems, from weather to power grids, but is difficult to accurately model using data-driven emulators, including neural operator architectures. For chaotic systems, the inherent sensitivity to initial…