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With a statistical detection of the 21 cm signal fluctuations from the Epoch of Reionization (EoR) expected in the next few years, there is an interest in developing robust and precise techniques to constrain the underlying astrophysical…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2019-09-25 Evan Eames , Aristide Doussot , Benoît Semelin

We introduce a new method for performing robust Bayesian estimation of the three-dimensional spatial power spectrum at the Epoch of Reionization (EoR), from interferometric observations. The versatility of this technique allows us to…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2018-11-06 Peter H. Sims , Lindley Lentati , Jonathan C. Pober , Chris Carilli , Michael P. Hobson , Paul Alexander , Paul Sutter

A first statistical detection of the 21-cm Epoch of Reionization (EoR) is on the horizon, as cosmological volumes of the Universe become accessible via the adoption of low-frequency interferometers. We explore the impact which non-identical…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2024-10-01 A. Chokshi , N. Barry , J. L. B. Line , C. H. Jordan , B. Pindor , R. L. Webster

Predictions for the ability of 21-cm interferometric experiments to discriminate Epoch of Reionization (EoR) signal models are typically limited by the simplicity of data models, whereby foreground signals and characteristics of the…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2020-04-29 Ainulnabilah Nasirudin , Steven Murray , Cathryn Trott , Bradley Greig , Ronniy Joseph , Chris Power

We present the first application of the isosceles bispectrum to MCMC parameter inference from the cosmic 21-cm signal. We extend the MCMC sampler 21cmMC to use the fast bispectrum code, BiFFT, when computing the likelihood. We create mock…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2022-01-19 Catherine A. Watkinson , Bradley Greig , Andrei Mesinger

Precise subtraction of foreground sources is crucial for detecting and estimating 21cm HI signals from the Epoch of Reionization (EoR). We quantify how imperfect point source subtraction due to limitations of the measurement dataset yields…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-11 Cathryn M. Trott , Randall B. Wayth , Steven J. Tingay

Radio interferometric experiments aim to constrain the reionization model parameters by measuring the 21-cm signal statistics, primarily the power spectrum. However the Epoch of Reionization (EoR) 21-cm signal is highly non-Gaussian, and…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2022-05-04 Himanshu Tiwari , Abinash Kumar Shaw , Suman Majumdar , Mohd Kamran , Madhurima Choudhury

The Epoch of Reionization (EoR) and Cosmic Dawn (CD) are pivotal stages during the first billion years of the universe, exerting a significant influence on the development of cosmic structure. The detection of the redshifted 21-cm signal…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2025-10-14 Anshuman Tripathi , Abhirup Datta , Aishrila Mazumder , Suman Majumdar

The 21-cm signal from the Epoch of Reionization (EoR) is a powerful probe of the evolution of the Universe. However, accurate measurements of the EoR signal from radio interferometric observations are sensitive to efficient foreground…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2025-09-23 Madhurima Choudhury , Jonathan C. Pober

The first measurements of the 21 cm brightness temperature power spectrum from the epoch of reionization will very likely be achieved in the near future by radio interferometric array experiments such as the Hydrogen Epoch of Reionization…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2022-07-22 Xiaosheng Zhao , Yi Mao , Benjamin D. Wandelt

We present a sophisticated statistical point-source foreground model for low-frequency radio Epoch of Reionization (EoR) experiments using the 21 cm neutral hydrogen emission line. Motivated by our understanding of the low-frequency radio…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2017-08-16 Steven G. Murray , Cathryn M. Trott , Christopher H. Jordan

We test the hypothesis that limitations in the sky model used to calibrate an interferometric radio telescope, where the model contains extended radio sources, will generate bias in the Epoch of Reionisation (EoR) power spectrum. The…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2017-11-29 Cathryn M. Trott , Randall B. Wayth

Undirected graphical models are widely used in statistics, physics and machine vision. However Bayesian parameter estimation for undirected models is extremely challenging, since evaluation of the posterior typically involves the…

Computation · Statistics 2012-03-19 Richard G. Everitt

The cosmic 21 cm signal is set to revolutionise our understanding of the early Universe, allowing us to probe the 3D temperature and ionisation structure of the intergalactic medium (IGM). It will open a window onto the unseen first…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2018-08-22 Bradley Greig , Andrei Mesinger

Dynamic factor models are often estimated by point-estimation methods, disregarding parameter uncertainty. We propose a method accounting for parameter uncertainty by means of posterior approximation, using variational inference. Our…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-14 Erik Spånberg

Fitting a simplifying model with several parameters to real data of complex objects is a highly nontrivial task, but enables the possibility to get insights into the objects physics. Here, we present a method to infer the parameters of the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-12-21 Johannes Oberpriller , T. A. Enßlin

Extreme-mass-ratio inspiral (EMRI) signals pose significant challenges in gravitational wave (GW) astronomy owing to their low-frequency nature and highly complex waveforms, which occupy a high-dimensional parameter space with numerous…

We introduce 21CMMC: a parallelized, Monte Carlo Markov Chain analysis tool, incorporating the epoch of reionization (EoR) seminumerical simulation 21CMFAST. 21CMMC estimates astrophysical parameter constraints from 21 cm EoR experiments,…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-23 Bradley Greig , Andrei Mesinger

The power spectrum of redshifted 21 cm emission brightness temperature fluctuations is a powerful probe of the Epoch of Reionization (EoR). However, bright foreground emission presents a significant impediment to its unbiased recovery from…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2019-07-31 Peter H. Sims , Jonathan C. Pober

Bayesian methods have been very successful in quantifying uncertainty in physics-based problems in parameter estimation and prediction. In these cases, physical measurements y are modeled as the best fit of a physics-based model…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-02-06 Dave Higdon , Jordan D. McDonnell , Nicolas Schunck , Jason Sarich , Stefan M. Wild
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