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Different computational techniques for cosmological phase transition parameters can impact the Gravitational Wave (GW) spectra predicted in a given particle physics model. To scrutinize the importance of this effect, we perform large-scale…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2025-04-24 Marek Lewicki , Marco Merchand , Laura Sagunski , Philipp Schicho , Daniel Schmitt

We study parameter inference in large-scale latent variable models. We first propose an unified treatment of online inference for latent variable models from a non-canonical exponential family, and draw explicit links between several…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-02-01 Christophe Dupuy , Francis Bach

Cosmological parameter estimation from forthcoming experiments promise to reach much greater precision than current constraints. As statistical errors shrink, the required control over systematic errors increases. Therefore, models or…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2020-10-07 José Luis Bernal , Nicola Bellomo , Alvise Raccanelli , Licia Verde

Detecting cosmological signals from the Epoch of Reionization (EoR) requires high-precision calibration to isolate the cosmological signals from foreground emission. In radio interferometery, perturbed primary beams of antenna elements can…

We present a scalable approach to performing approximate fully Bayesian inference in generic state space models. The proposed method is an alternative to particle MCMC that provides fully Bayesian inference of both the dynamic latent states…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-02-13 Marcel Hirt , Petros Dellaportas

Measuring one-point statistics in redshifted 21 cm intensity maps offers an opportunity to explore non-Gaussian features of the early universe. We assess the impact of instrumental effects on measurements made with the Hydrogen Epoch of…

We consider state and parameter estimation for a dynamical system having both time-varying and time-invariant parameters. It has been shown that the robustness of the Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm for estimating time-invariant…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2022-10-18 Philippe Bisaillon , Brandon Robinson , Mohammad Khalil , Chris L. Pettit , Dominique Poirel , Abhijit Sarkar

We consider the high energy physics unfolding problem where the goal is to estimate the spectrum of elementary particles given observations distorted by the limited resolution of a particle detector. This important statistical inverse…

Applications · Statistics 2015-11-18 Mikael Kuusela , Victor M. Panaretos

This paper develops a novel sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) approach for joint state and parameter estimation that can deal efficiently with abruptly changing parameters which is a common case when tracking maneuvering targets. The approach…

Computation · Statistics 2015-10-12 Christopher Nemeth , Paul Fearnhead , Lyudmila Mihaylova

The observations of the redshifted 21-cm signal from neutral hydrogen are a promising probe for understanding the Cosmic Dawn and the Epoch of Reionisation (EoR). One of the primary obstacles to the statistical detection of the Cosmological…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2026-05-22 Eeshan Beohar , Abhirup Datta , Anshuman Tripathi , Samit Kumar Pal , Rashmi Sagar

A novel information-theoretic approach is proposed to assess the global practical identifiability of Bayesian statistical models. Based on the concept of conditional mutual information, an estimate of information gained for each model…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-22 Sahil Bhola , Karthik Duraisamy

Consider measuring an n-dimensional vector x through the inner product with several measurement vectors, a_1, a_2, ..., a_m. It is common in both signal processing and statistics to assume the linear response model y_i = <a_i, x> + e_i,…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-05-20 Yaniv Plan , Roman Vershynin , Elena Yudovina

We introduce a framework that enables efficient sampling from learned probability distributions for MRI reconstruction. Different from conventional deep learning-based MRI reconstruction techniques, samples are drawn from the posterior…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-21 Guanxiong Luo , Moritz Blumenthal , Martin Heide , Martin Uecker

We study the parameter estimation bias induced by intrinsic alignments on a Euclid-like weak lensing survey. For the intrinsic alignment signal we assume a composite alignment model for elliptical and spiral galaxies using tidal shearing…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2019-10-15 Robert Reischke , Björn Malte Schäfer

Discrete Markov random fields are undirected graphical models that capture complex conditional dependencies between discrete variables. Conducting exact posterior inference in these models is often computationally challenging because…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-10 Giuseppe Arena , Maarten Marsman

Bayesian inference promises to ground and improve the performance of deep neural networks. It promises to be robust to overfitting, to simplify the training procedure and the space of hyperparameters, and to provide a calibrated measure of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-08-12 Jonathan Heek , Nal Kalchbrenner

Ordinary differential equations (ODEs) are a mathematical model used in many application areas such as climatology, bioinformatics, and chemical engineering with its intuitive appeal to modeling. Despite ODE's wide usage in modeling, the…

Applications · Statistics 2021-08-10 Hyunjoo Yang , Jaeyong Lee

We present doubly stochastic gradient MCMC, a simple and generic method for (approximate) Bayesian inference of deep generative models (DGMs) in a collapsed continuous parameter space. At each MCMC sampling step, the algorithm randomly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-03-08 Chao Du , Jun Zhu , Bo Zhang

We derive mean-unbiased estimators for the structural parameter in instrumental variables models with a single endogenous regressor where the sign of one or more first stage coefficients is known. In the case with a single instrument, there…

Applications · Statistics 2016-12-05 Isaiah Andrews , Timothy B. Armstrong

Bayesian analysis is a framework for parameter estimation that applies even in uncertainty regimes where the commonly used local (frequentist) analysis based on the Cram\'er-Rao bound is not well defined. In particular, it applies when no…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2021-03-17 Simon Morelli , Ayaka Usui , Elizabeth Agudelo , Nicolai Friis
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