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Dealing with distribution shifts is one of the central challenges for modern machine learning. One fundamental situation is the covariate shift, where the input distributions of data change from training to testing stages while the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-28 Yu-Jie Zhang , Zhen-Yu Zhang , Peng Zhao , Masashi Sugiyama

We study simple models of intermittency, involving switching between two states, within the dynamical large-deviation formalism. Singularities appear in the formalism when switching is cooperative, or when its basic timescale diverges. In…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-06-13 Stephen Whitelam

We introduce the resilience rate as a measure of financial resilience. It captures the expected rate at which a dynamic risk measure recovers, i.e., bounces back, when the risk-acceptance set is breached. We develop the corresponding…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-26 Roger J. A. Laeven , Matteo Ferrari , Emanuela Rosazza Gianin , Marco Zullino

This paper deals with the large deviations behavior of a stochastic process called thinned Levy process. This process appeared recently as a stochastic-process limit in the context of critical inhomogeneous random graphs. The process has a…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-04-08 Elie Aidekon , Remco van der Hofstad , Sandra Kliem , Johan S. H. van Leeuwaarden

Fluctuations in the return time statistics of a dynamical system can be described by a new spectrum of dimensions. Comparison with the usual multifractal analysis of measures is presented, and difference between the two corresponding sets…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-11-07 N. Hadyn , J. Luevano , G. Mantica , S. Vaienti

It is shown that the inert properties of a stationary random process can be expressed in terms of the ratio of its correlation interval to the doubled variance. When using a fixed value of the Planck constant h as a proportionality factor,…

General Physics · Physics 2022-10-10 Mikhail Batanov-Gaukhman

A random walk-based method is proposed to efficiently compute the solution of a large class of fractional in time linear systems of differential equations (linear F-ODE systems), along with the derivatives with respect to the system…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-08-09 Andrés Centeno , Juan A. Acebrón , José Monteiro

We investigate the statistics of the local time $\mathcal{T} = \int_0^T \delta(x(t)) dt$ that a run and tumble particle (RTP) $x(t)$ in one dimension spends at the origin, with or without an external drift. By relating the local time to the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-08-13 Soheli Mukherjee , Pierre Le Doussal , Naftali R. Smith

In these notes we present a pedagogical account of the population dynamics methods recently introduced to simulate large deviation functions of dynamical observables in and out of equilibrium. After a brief introduction on large deviation…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-02-23 J. Tailleur , V. Lecomte

Letting~$N=\left\{N(t), t\geq0\right\}$ be a standard Poisson process, Stroock~ \cite{Stroock-1981} constructed a family of continuous processes by $$\Theta_{\epsilon}(t)=\int_0^t\theta_{\epsilon}(r)dr, \ \ \ \ \ 0 \le t \le 1,$$ where…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-06-06 Hui Jiang , Lihu Xu , Qingshan Yang

This paper examines robust functional data analysis for discretely observed data, where the underlying process encompasses various distributions, such as heavy tail, skewness, or contaminations. We propose a unified robust concept of…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-26 Lingxuan Shao , Fang Yao

We propose a function-valued evaluation metric for generative models based on the relative density ratio (RDR) designed to characterize distributional differences between real and generated samples. As an evaluation metric, the RDR function…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-29 Yuliang Xu , Yun Wei , Li Ma

Numerous Optimization Algorithms have a time-varying update rule thanks to, for instance, a changing step size, momentum parameter or, Hessian approximation. In this paper, we apply unrolled or automatic differentiation to a time-varying…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-10-28 Sheheryar Mehmood , Peter Ochs

We develop the connection between large deviation theory and more applied approaches to stochastic hybrid systems by highlighting a common underlying Hamiltonian structure. A stochastic hybrid system involves the coupling between a…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-23 Paul Bressloff , Olivier Faugeras

We consider estimation procedures which are recursive in the sense that each successive estimator is obtained from the previous one by a simple adjustment. We study rate of convergence of recursive estimation procedures for the general…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Teo Sharia

Gradient temporal difference (Gradient TD) algorithms are a popular class of stochastic approximation (SA) algorithms used for policy evaluation in reinforcement learning. Here, we consider Gradient TD algorithms with an additional heavy…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-23 Rohan Deb , Shalabh Bhatnagar

The so-called 'Level 2.5' general result for the large deviations of the joint probability of the density and of the currents for Markov Jump processes is applied to the case of $N$ independent particles on a ring with random transition…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2021-05-12 Cecile Monthus

The aim of this paper is to investigate the large deviations for a class of slow-fast mean-field diffusions, which extends some existing results to the case where the laws of fast process are also involved in the slow component. Due to the…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-28 Wei Hong , Wei Liu , Shiyuan Yang

Earlier we proposed the stochastic point process model, which reproduces a variety of self-affine time series exhibiting power spectral density S(f) scaling as power of the frequency f and derived a stochastic differential equation with the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 V. Gontis , B. Kaulakys

In this paper we investigate the normal and the large fluctuations of additive functionals associated with a stochastic process under a general non-Poissonian resetting mechanism. Cumulative functionals of regenerative processes are very…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-24 Marco Zamparo