English

Long-range memory model of trading activity and volatility

Physics and Society 2008-12-02 v1 Statistical Finance

Abstract

Earlier we proposed the stochastic point process model, which reproduces a variety of self-affine time series exhibiting power spectral density S(f) scaling as power of the frequency f and derived a stochastic differential equation with the same long range memory properties. Here we present a stochastic differential equation as a dynamical model of the observed memory in the financial time series. The continuous stochastic process reproduces the statistical properties of the trading activity and serves as a background model for the modeling waiting time, return and volatility. Empirically observed statistical properties: exponents of the power-law probability distributions and power spectral density of the long-range memory financial variables are reproduced with the same values of few model parameters.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.physics/0606115,
  title  = {Long-range memory model of trading activity and volatility},
  author = {V. Gontis and B. Kaulakys},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:physics/0606115},
  year   = {2008}
}

Comments

12 pages, 5 figures