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State-space models (SSMs) are a popular tool for modeling animal abundances. Inference difficulties for simple linear SSMs are well known, particularly in relation to simultaneous estimation of process and observation variances. Several…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-09-20 Leo Polansky , Ken B. Newman , Lara Mitchell

State-space models (SSM) are common in signal processing, where Kalman smoothing (KS) methods are state-of-the-art. However, traditional KS techniques lack expressivity as they do not incorporate spatial prior information. Recently, [1]…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-02-16 Benjamin Hawkes , Mike Davies , Victor Elvira , Audrey Repetti

Robust regression models in the presence of outliers have significant practical relevance in areas such as signal processing, financial econometrics, and energy management. Many existing robust regression methods, either grounded in…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-06-30 Pengyang Song , Jue Wang

This paper presents a method for robust optimization for online incremental Simultaneous Localization and Mapping (SLAM). Due to the NP-Hardness of data association in the presence of perceptual aliasing, tractable (approximate) approaches…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-04-28 Daniel McGann , John G. Rogers , Michael Kaess

We consider model selection and estimation for partial spline models and propose a new regularization method in the context of smoothing splines. The regularization method has a simple yet elegant form, consisting of roughness penalty on…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-11-25 Guang Cheng , Hao Helen Zhang , Zuofeng Shang

We study the foundations of variational inference, which frames posterior inference as an optimisation problem, for probabilistic programming. The dominant approach for optimisation in practice is stochastic gradient descent. In particular,…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2023-01-10 Basim Khajwal , C. -H. Luke Ong , Dominik Wagner

We investigate nonlinear prediction/regression in an online setting and introduce a hybrid model that effectively mitigates, via a joint mechanism through a state space formulation, the need for domain-specific feature engineering issues of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-09-20 Mustafa E. Aydın , Arda Fazla , Suleyman S. Kozat

The Kalman filter and Rauch-Tung-Striebel (RTS) smoother are optimal for state estimation in linear dynamic systems. With nonlinear systems, the challenge consists in how to propagate uncertainty through the state transitions and output…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-11 Simon Kuang , Xinfan Lin

This paper considers an approximate dynamic matrix factor model that accounts for the time series nature of the data by explicitly modelling the time evolution of the factors. We study estimation of the model parameters based on the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-08 Matteo Barigozzi , Luca Trapin

We introduce a novel state-space model (SSM)-based framework for skeleton-based human action recognition, with an anatomically-guided architecture that improves state-of-the-art performance in both clinical diagnostics and general action…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-12-02 Niki Martinel , Mariano Serrao , Christian Micheloni

Claims reserving, also known as Incurred But Not Reported (IBNR) claims prediction, is an important issue in general insurance. State space modeling is widely recognized as a statistically robust method for addressing this problem. In state…

Computation · Statistics 2025-04-15 Rajesh Selukar

We present a fast method for nonlinear data-driven model reduction of dynamical systems onto their slowest nonresonant spectral submanifolds (SSMs). We use observed data to locate a low-dimensional, attracting slow SSM and compute a…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-05-02 Joar Axås , Mattia Cenedese , George Haller

Classical discriminant analysis assumes identically distributed training data, yet in many applications observations are collected over time and the class-conditional distributions drift. This population drift renders stationary classifiers…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-25 Shuilian Xie , Mahdi Imani , Edward R. Dougherty , Ulisses M. Braga-Neto

Time series analysis by state-space models is widely used in forecasting and extracting unobservable components like level, slope, and seasonality, along with explanatory variables. However, their reliance on traditional Kalman filtering…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-08-20 André Ramos , Davi Valladão , Alexandre Street

We study fast algorithms for statistical regression problems under the strong contamination model, where the goal is to approximately optimize a generalized linear model (GLM) given adversarially corrupted samples. Prior works in this line…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2021-06-23 Arun Jambulapati , Jerry Li , Tselil Schramm , Kevin Tian

We address the problem of learning an unknown smooth function and its derivatives from noisy pointwise evaluations under the supremum norm. While classical nonparametric regression provides a strong theoretical foundation, traditional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-10 Davide Maran , Marcello Restelli

We address the problem of autonomous tracking and state estimation for marine vessels, autonomous vehicles, and other dynamic signals under a (structured) sparsity assumption. The aim is to improve the tracking and estimation accuracy with…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-01 Rui Gao , Simo Särkkä , Rubén Claveria-Vega , Simon Godsill

As autonomous systems increasingly rely on onboard sensing for localization and perception, the parallel tasks of motion planning and state estimation become more strongly coupled. This coupling is well-captured by augmenting the planning…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-09-14 Kristoffer M. Frey , Ted J. Steiner , Jonathan P. How

State-space models are ubiquitous in the statistical literature since they provide a flexible and interpretable framework for analyzing many time series. In most practical applications, the state-space model is specified through a…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-18 Thi Tuyet Trang Chau , Pierre Ailliot , Valérie Monbet

Robust parameter estimation is a crucial task in several 3D computer vision pipelines such as Structure from Motion (SfM). State-of-the-art algorithms for robust estimation, however, still suffer from difficulties in converging to…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-02-23 Huu Le , Christopher Zach