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Multiple generalized additive models (GAMs) are a type of distributional regression wherein parameters of probability distributions depend on predictors through smooth functions, with selection of the degree of smoothness via $L_2$…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-09-26 Yousra El-Bachir , Anthony C. Davison

A computationally efficient method for online joint state inference and dynamical model learning is presented. The dynamical model combines an a priori known, physically derived, state-space model with a radial basis function expansion…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-07-12 Anton Kullberg , Isaac Skog , Gustaf Hendeby

State-space modeling has emerged as a powerful paradigm for sequence analysis in various tasks such as natural language processing, time-series forecasting, and signal processing. In this work, we propose an \emph{Adaptive State-Space…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-31 Alice Zhang , Chao Li

Simultaneous Localization and Mapping (SLAM) algorithms perform visual-inertial estimation via filtering or batch optimization methods. Empirical evidence suggests that filtering algorithms are computationally faster, while optimization…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-08-05 Amay Saxena , Chih-Yuan Chiu , Joseph Menke , Ritika Shrivastava , Shankar Sastry

We propose a new class of filtering and smoothing methods for inference in high-dimensional, nonlinear, non-Gaussian, spatio-temporal state-space models. The main idea is to combine the ensemble Kalman filter and smoother, developed in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-22 Matthias Katzfuss , Jonathan R. Stroud , Christopher K. Wikle

The Adaptive Smoothing Method (ASM) is a data-driven approach for traffic state estimation. It interpolates unobserved traffic quantities by smoothing measurements along spatio-temporal directions defined by characteristic traffic wave…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-12-14 Chuhan Yang , Bilal Thonnam Thodi , Saif Eddin Jabari

Kalman filtering and smoothing are the foundational mechanisms for efficient inference in Gauss-Markov models. However, their time and memory complexities scale prohibitively with the size of the state space. This is particularly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-13 Marvin Pförtner , Jonathan Wenger , Jon Cockayne , Philipp Hennig

In this paper, we present new optimization models for Support Vector Machine (SVM), with the aim of separating data points in two or more classes. The classification task is handled by means of nonlinear classifiers induced by kernel…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-07-15 Francesca Maggioni , Andrea Spinelli

Estimating the state of a dynamical system from a series of noise-corrupted observations is fundamental in many areas of science and engineering. The most well-known method, the Kalman smoother (and the related Kalman filter), relies on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-04-24 Luca Ambrogioni , Umut Güçlü , Eric Maris , Marcel van Gerven

State Space Models (SSM) is a MATLAB 7.0 software toolbox for doing time series analysis by state space methods. The software features fully interactive construction and combination of models, with support for univariate and multivariate…

Computation · Statistics 2007-06-26 Jyh-Ying Peng , John A. D. Aston

This paper studies the state estimation problem of linear discrete-time systems with stochastic unknown inputs. The unknown input is a wide-sense stationary process while no other prior informaton needs to be known. We propose an…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-04-06 Dan Yu , Suman Chakravorty

In this paper, we propose a novel variable selection approach in the framework of sparse high-dimensional GLARMA models. It consists in combining the estimation of the autoregressive moving average (ARMA) coefficients of these models with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-10-14 Céline Lévy-Leduc , Sarah Ouadah , Laure Sansonnet

The augmented, iterated Kalman smoother is applied to system identification for inverse problems in evolutionary differential equations. In the augmented smoother, the unknown, time-dependent coefficients are included in the state vector,…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-11-19 Kurt S. Riedel

This paper considers the problem of fitting the parameters of a Kalman smoother to data. We formulate the Kalman smoothing problem with missing measurements as a constrained least squares problem and provide an efficient method to solve it…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-10-22 Shane Barratt , Stephen Boyd

We consider the problem of localizing a manned, semi-autonomous, or autonomous vehicle in the environment using information coming from the vehicle's sensors, a problem known as navigation or simultaneous localization and mapping (SLAM)…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-09-24 Paul Chauchat , Axel Barrau , Silvère Bonnabel

Predicting both the time and the location of human movements is valuable but challenging for a variety of applications. To address this problem, we propose an approach considering both the periodicity and the sociality of human movements.…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2014-07-08 Ning Yang , Xiangnan Kong , Fengjiao Wang , Philip S. Yu

This paper discusses a general framework for smoothing parameter estimation for models with regular likelihoods constructed in terms of unknown smooth functions of covariates. Gaussian random effects and parametric terms may also be…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-05-10 Simon N. Wood , Natalya Pya , Benjamin Säfken

State-space models (SSMs) provide a flexible framework for modelling time series data, but their reliance on Gaussian error assumptions makes them highly sensitive to outliers. We propose a robust estimation method, ROAMS, that mitigates…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-20 Rajan Shankar , Ines Wilms , Jakob Raymaekers , Garth Tarr

State-space models (SSMs) provide a flexible framework for modelling time-series data. Consequently, SSMs are ubiquitously applied in areas such as engineering, econometrics and epidemiology. In this paper we provide a fast approach for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-11-22 Tom Ryder , Andrew Golighty , A. Stephen McGough , Dennis Prangle

We consider approximate maximum likelihood parameter estimation in nonlinear state-space models. We discuss both direct optimization of the likelihood and expectation--maximization (EM). For EM, we also give closed-form expressions for the…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-11-03 Juho Kokkala , Arno Solin , Simo Särkkä