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Riesz space (non-pointwise) generalizations for iterative processes are given for the concepts of recurrence, first recurrence and conditional ergodicity. Riesz space conditional versions of the Poincar\'{e} Recurrence Theorem and the Kac…

In this paper, we address the problem of constructing a uniform probability measure on $\mathbb{N}$. Of course, this is not possible within the bounds of the Kolmogorov axioms and we have to violate at least one axiom. We define a…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-02-02 Timber Kerkvliet , Ronald Meester

In this paper, the Neyman-Pearson lemma for general sublinear expectations is studied. We weaken the assumptions for sublinear expectations in [1] and give a completely new method to study this problem. Applying Mazur-Orlicz Theorem and the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-08-31 Chuanfeng Sun , Shaolin Ji

Expectation is a central notion in probability theory. The notion of expectation also makes sense for other notions of uncertainty. We introduce a propositional logic for reasoning about expectation, where the semantics depends on the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2014-07-29 Joseph Y. Halpern , Riccardo Pucella

Plausibility measures are structures for reasoning in the face of uncertainty that generalize probabilities, unifying them with weaker structures like possibility measures and comparative probability relations. So far, the theory of…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2015-05-07 Tobias Fritz , Matthew Leifer

In their seminal 1990 paper, Wasserman and Kadane establish an upper bound for the Bayes' posterior probability of a measurable set $A$, when the prior lies in a class of probability measures $\mathcal{P}$ and the likelihood is precise.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-09-13 Michele Caprio , Yusuf Sale , Eyke Hüllermeier , Insup Lee

We tackle the problem of conditioning probabilistic programs on distributions of observable variables. Probabilistic programs are usually conditioned on samples from the joint data distribution, which we refer to as deterministic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-09 David Tolpin , Yuan Zhou , Tom Rainforth , Hongseok Yang

As a counterpart to the (static) risk measures of generalized quantiles and motivated by Bellini et al. (2018), we propose a new kind of conditional risk measure called conditional generalized quantiles. We first show their well-definedness…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-01-31 Qinyu Wu , Fan Yang , Ping Zhang

This paper contains an answer to the question of existence of regularities of the so called \textit{random in a broad sense} mass phenomena, asked by A. N. Kolmogorov in \cite{Kolmogorov}. It turns out that some family of finitely-additive…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-08-29 Victor I. Ivanenko , Valery A. Labkovsky

A theory of measurement uncertainty is presented, which, since it is based exclusively on the Bayesian approach and on the subjective concept of conditional probability, is applicable in the most general cases. The recent International…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2008-02-03 G. D'Agostini

It is often of interest to condition on a singular event given by a random variable, e.g. $\{Y=y\}$ for a continuous random variable $Y$. Conditional measures with respect to this event are usually derived as a special case of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-06 Philipp Wacker

The aim of this article is to establish basic results in a conditional measure theory. The results are applied to prove that arbitrary kernels and conditional distributions are represented by measures in a conditional set theory. In…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-03-21 Asgar Jamneshan , Michael Kupper , Martin Streckfuß

One implication of Bell's theorem is that there cannot in general be hidden variable models for quantum mechanics that both are noncontextual and retain the structure of a classical probability space. Thus, some hidden variable programs aim…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2017-02-01 Benjamin H. Feintzeig , Samuel C. Fletcher

The concepts of a conditional set, a conditional inclusion relation and a conditional Cartesian product are introduced. The resulting conditional set theory is sufficiently rich in order to construct a conditional topology, a conditional…

Logic · Mathematics 2016-08-31 Samuel Drapeau , Asgar Jamneshan , Martin Karliczek , Michael Kupper

Strong convergence and convergence in probability were generalized to the setting of a Riesz space with conditional expectation operator, $T$, in [{{\sc Y. Azouzi, W.-C. Kuo, K. Ramdane, B. A. Watson}, {Convergence in Riesz spaces with…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2018-03-26 Wen-Chi Kuo , David Rodda , Bruce A. Watson

There has not been an established mathematical measure of evidence. Some Bayesians have argued that probability can be an objectively correct measure of ``rational degrees of belief,'' which we do not distinguish from evidence. However,…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-10 Christopher D. Fiorillo , Min Sheo Choi , Jaime Gomez-Ramirez

This paper studies a new and more general axiomatization than one presented previously for preference on likelihood gambles. Likelihood gambles describe actions in a situation where a decision maker knows multiple probabilistic models and a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-07-02 Phan H. Giang

Expectation is a central notion in probability theory. The notion of expectation also makes sense for other notions of uncertainty. We introduce a propositional logic for reasoning about expectation, where the semantics depends on the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Joseph Y. Halpern , Riccardo Pucella

Two high-level "pictures" of probability theory have emerged: one that takes as central the notion of random variable, and one that focuses on distributions and probability channels (Markov kernels). While the channel-based picture has been…

Category Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-19 Dario Stein

In the field of categorical probability, one uses concepts and techniques from category theory, such as monads and monoidal categories, to study the structures of probability and statistics. In this paper, we connect some ideas from…

Category Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-24 Mika Bohinen , Paolo Perrone
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