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First the crucial but very confidential fact is brought into evidence that, as Kolmogorov himself repeatedly claimed, there exists no abstract theory of probabilities, simply because the factual concept of probability is itself unachieved:…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2008-01-18 Mioara Mugur-Schachter

One can often encounter claims that classical (Kolmogorovian) probability theory cannot handle, or even is contradicted by, certain empirical findings or substantive theories. This note joins several previous attempts to explain that these…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-24 Ehtibar N. Dzhafarov , Maria Kon

We develop a new method for generating prediction sets that combines the flexibility of conformal methods with an estimate of the conditional distribution $P_{Y \mid X}$. Existing methods, such as conformalized quantile regression and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-10 Vincent Plassier , Alexander Fishkov , Mohsen Guizani , Maxim Panov , Eric Moulines

Jakob Bernoulli, working in the late 17th century, identified a gap in contemporary probability theory. He cautioned that it was inadequate to specify force of proof (probability of provability) for some kinds of uncertain arguments. After…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-09-10 Brian Shay , Patrick Brazil

Education in statistics, the application of statistics in scientific research, and statistics itself as a scientific discipline are in crisis. Within science, the main cause of the crisis is the insufficiently clarified concept of…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2023-10-03 Boris Čulina

A variety of new measures of quantum Renyi mutual information and quantum Renyi conditional entropy have recently been proposed, and some of their mathematical properties explored. Here, we show that the Renyi mutual information attains…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2016-10-20 Masahito Hayashi , Marco Tomamichel

A number of recent works have sought to generalize the Kolmogorov-Sinai entropy of probability-preserving transformations to the setting of Markov operators acting on the integrable functions on a probability space $(X,\mu)$. These have…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-08-25 Tim Austin

The aim of this paper is to establish a theory of random variables on domains. Domain theory is a fundamental component of theoretical computer science, providing mathematical models of computational processes. Random variables are the…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2016-08-30 Michael W. Mislove

The relationship between Popper spaces (conditional probability spaces that satisfy some regularity conditions), lexicographic probability systems (LPS's), and nonstandard probability spaces (NPS's) is considered. If countable additivity is…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2009-04-22 Joseph Y. Halpern

We compare two approaches to embedding joint distributions of random variables recorded under different conditions (such as spins of entangled particles for different settings) into the framework of classical, Kolmogorovian probability…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-18 Ehtibar N. Dzhafarov , Janne V. Kujala

This paper offers a new concept of {\it possibility} as an alternative to the now-a-days standard concept originally introduced by L.A. Zadeh in 1978. This new version was inspired by the original but, formally, has nothing in common with…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-10-06 Daniel G. Schwartz

Classical probability theory supports probability measures, assigning a fixed positive real value to each event, these measures are far from satisfactory in formulating real-life occurrences. The main innovation of this paper is the…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-02-09 Yehuda Izhakian , Zur Izhakian

We construct universal prediction systems in the spirit of Popper's falsifiability and Kolmogorov complexity and randomness. These prediction systems do not depend on any statistical assumptions (but under the IID assumption they dominate,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-04-05 Vladimir Vovk , Dusko Pavlovic

We establish bounds on the probability that two different agents, who share an initial opinion expressed as a probability distribution on an abstract probability space, given two different sources of information, may come to radically…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-03-20 Krzysztof Burdzy , Jim Pitman

We extend the notion of randomness (in the version introduced by Schnorr) to computable Probability Spaces and compare it to a dynamical notion of randomness: typicality. Roughly, a point is typical for some dynamic, if it follows the…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-02-12 Peter Gacs , Mathieu Hoyrup , Cristobal Rojas

We use a novel form of quantum conditional probability to define new measures of quantum information in a dynamical context. We explore relationships between our new quantities and standard measures of quantum information, such as von…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2022-12-09 Jacob A. Barandes , David Kagan

We describe a mathematical language for determining all possible patterns of contextuality in the dependence of stochastic outputs of a system on its deterministic inputs. The central notion is that of all possible couplings for…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2015-01-27 Ehtibar N. Dzhafarov , Janne V. Kujala

Probability theory can be studied synthetically as the computational effect embodied by a commutative monad. In the recently proposed Markov categories, one works with an abstraction of the Kleisli category and then defines deterministic…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2022-12-06 Sean Moss , Paolo Perrone

Many theorems about Kolmogorov complexity rely on existence of combinatorial objects with specific properties. Usually the probabilistic method gives such objects with better parameters than explicit constructions do. But the probabilistic…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2012-03-12 Daniil Musatov

We present a categorical viewpoint of probability measures by showing that a probability measure can be viewed as a weakly averaging affine measurable functional taking values in the unit interval which preserves limits. The probability…

Category Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-18 Kirk Sturtz
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