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Related papers: Conditional probability in Renyi spaces

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We consider the problem of defining conditional objects (a|b), which would allow one to regard the conditional probability Pr(a|b) as a probability of a well-defined event rather than as a shorthand for Pr(ab)/Pr(b). The next issue is to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Jerzy Tyszkiewicz , Arthur Ramer , Achim Hoffmann

The classical propositional assumption-based model is extended to incorporate probabilities for the assumptions. Then it is placed into the framework of evidence theory. Several authors like Laskey, Lehner (1989) and Provan (1990) already…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-03-08 Jurg Kohlas , Paul-Andre Monney

We present a domain-theoretic framework for probabilistic programming that provides a constructive definition of conditional probability and addresses computability challenges previously identified in the literature. We introduce a novel…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2025-02-04 Pietro Di Gianantonio , Abbas Edalat

We present a semantics for adding uncertainty to conditional logics for default reasoning and belief revision. We are able to treat conditional sentences as statements of conditional probability, and express rules for revision such as "If A…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-03-08 Craig Boutilier

The purpose of this paper is to present a mathematical theory that can be used as a foundation for statistics that include improper priors. This theory includes improper laws in the initial axioms and has in particular Bayes theorem as a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-06-11 Gunnar Taraldsen , Bo H. Lindqvist

This work proposes a view of probability as a relative measure rather than an absolute one. To demonstrate this concept, we focus on finite outcome spaces and develop three fundamental axioms that establish requirements for relative…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-05-30 Max Sklar

Contextuality is usually defined as absence of a joint distribution for a set of measurements (random variables) with known joint distributions of some of its subsets. However, if these subsets of measurements are not disjoint,…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2017-09-05 Ehtibar Dzhafarov , Janne Kujala

A general theory of resource-bounded measurability and measure is developed. Starting from any feasible probability measure $\nu$ on the Cantor space $\C$ and any suitable complexity class $C \subseteq \C$, the theory identifies the subsets…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2012-02-01 Jack Lutz

We describe the interface between measure theoretic probability and causal inference by constructing causal models on probability spaces within the potential outcomes framework. We find that measure theory provides a precise and instructive…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-07-04 Irineo Cabreros , John D. Storey

Uncertainty in economics still poses some fundamental problems illustrated, e.g., by the Allais and Ellsberg paradoxes. To overcome these difficulties, economists have introduced an interesting distinction between 'risk' and 'ambiguity'…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-01-08 Diederik Aerts , Sandro Sozzo

According to a standard view, quantum mechanics (QM) is a contextual theory and quantum probability does not satisfy Kolmogorov's axioms. We show, by considering the macroscopic contexts associated with measurement procedures and the…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2019-05-24 Claudio Garola

April 25, 2003, marked the 100th anniversary of the birth of Andrei Nikolaevich Kolmogorov, the twentieth century's foremost contributor to the mathematical and philosophical foundations of probability. The year 2003 was also the 70th…

History and Overview · Mathematics 2018-02-19 Glenn Shafer , Vladimir Vovk

We generalize the notion of monetary value measures developed with category theory in [Adachi, 2014] by extending their base category from the category \c{hi} to the category of probability spaces Prob introduced in [Adachi and Ryu, 2016].

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-02-07 Takanori Adachi , Yoshihiro Ryu

The main result presented in this article is that probability can fundamentally be characterized as a subset of conditional expectation induced by a plausible preorder on random quantities. This is justified by the fact that probability is…

Logic · Mathematics 2024-06-14 Ladislav Mečíř

This is a chapter for the forthcoming New Handbook of Mathematical Psychology, to be published by Cambridge University Press. A systematic theory of random variables and joint distributions under varying conditions is presented. This is a…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-12-10 Ehtibar Dzhafarov , Janne Kujala

This paper presents a categorical account of conditional probability, covering both the classical and the quantum case. Classical conditional probabilities are expressed as a certain "triangle-fill-in" condition, connecting marginal and…

Category Theory · Mathematics 2015-11-06 Robert Furber , Bart Jacobs

Markov kernels play a decisive role in probability and mathematical statistics theories, and are an extension of the concepts of sigma-field and statistic. Concepts such as independence, sufficiency, completeness, ancillarity or conditional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-10-28 Agustín G. Nogales

Historically, probability theory has been studied for a long time, and Kolmogorov, Levy Ito Kiyoshi, and others have mathematically developed modern probability in conjunction with measurement theory. On the other hand, commutative algebra…

General Mathematics · Mathematics 2025-03-04 Naoya Maeda

Lecture notes as per the title. In the first part, the concepts of a measurable space, measurable maps between measurable spaces and that of a measure on a measurable space are introduced, after which the fundamentals of the theory of…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-03 Matija Vidmar

We present a detailed motivation for and definition of the contextual values of an observable, which were introduced by Dressel et al. [Phys. Rev. Lett. 104 240401 (2010)]. The theory of contextual values extends the well-established theory…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2012-02-29 J. Dressel , A. N. Jordan