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Knowing the link between observed predictive variables and outcomes is crucial for making inference in any regression model. When this link is missing, partially or completely, classical estimation methods fail in recovering the true…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-28 Fadoua Balabdaoui , Jinyu Chen

We consider estimation and inference in a single index regression model with an unknown convex link function. We introduce a convex and Lipschitz constrained least squares estimator (CLSE) for both the parametric and the nonparametric…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-01-15 Arun K. Kuchibhotla , Rohit K. Patra , Bodhisattva Sen

Value-at-risk (VaR) and expected shortfall (ES) are two commonly utilized metrics for quantifying financial risk. In this study, we review the widely employed Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH) models. These…

Computation · Statistics 2024-05-14 Kanon Kamronnaher , Andrew Bellucco , Whitney K. Huang , Colin M. Gallagher

In this paper we propose and study a general class of Gaussian Semiparametric Estimators (GSE) of the fractional differencing parameter in the context of long-range dependent multivariate time series. We establish large sample properties of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-16 Guilherme Pumi , Sílvia R. C. Lopes

This paper introduces a multivariate spatiotemporal autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (ARCH) model based on a vec-representation. The model includes instantaneous spatial autoregressive spill-over effects in the conditional…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-27 Philipp Otto

We propose a novel estimation approach for a general class of semi-parametric time series models where the conditional expectation is modeled through a parametric function. The proposed class of estimators is based on a Gaussian…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-21 Mirko Armillotta , Paolo Gorgi

We develop a unified $L$-statistic testing framework for high-dimensional regression coefficients that adapts to unknown sparsity. The proposed statistics rank coordinate-wise evidence measures and aggregate the top $k$ signals, bridging…

Applications · Statistics 2026-02-10 Ping Zhao , Fengyi Song , Huifang Ma

In this paper, we propose the realized Hyperbolic GARCH model for the joint-dynamics of lowfrequency returns and realized measures that generalizes the realized GARCH model of Hansen et al.(2012) as well as the FLoGARCH model introduced by…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-27 El Hadji Mamadou Sall , El Hadji Deme , Abdou Ka Diongue

We develop new stochastic gradient methods for efficiently solving sparse linear regression in a partial attribute observation setting, where learners are only allowed to observe a fixed number of actively chosen attributes per example at…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-12-04 Tomoya Murata , Taiji Suzuki

Clinical and epidemiological studies encode participant information in multivariate vectors with mixed type variables on continuous, truncated, ordinal, and binary scales. Semiparametric Gaussian Copula (SGC) assumes that observed data is…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-19 Debangan Dey , Vadim Zipunnikov

There exist a number of tests for assessing the nonparametric heteroscedastic location-scale assumption. Here we consider a goodness-of-fit test for the more general hypothesis of the validity of this model under a parametric functional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-01 Marie Hušková , Simos G. Meintanis , Charl Pretorius

Stochastic gradient methods (SGMs) are the predominant approaches to train deep learning models. The adaptive versions (e.g., Adam and AMSGrad) have been extensively used in practice, partly because they achieve faster convergence than the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-04-14 Yangyang Xu , Yibo Xu , Yonggui Yan , Colin Sutcher-Shepard , Leopold Grinberg , Jie Chen

With the evolution of single-cell RNA sequencing techniques into a standard approach in genomics, it has become possible to conduct cohort-level causal inferences based on single-cell-level measurements. However, the individual gene…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-23 Jin-Hong Du , Zhenghao Zeng , Edward H. Kennedy , Larry Wasserman , Kathryn Roeder

We develop a fast variational approximation scheme for Gaussian process (GP) regression, where the spectrum of the covariance function is subjected to a sparse approximation. Our approach enables uncertainty in covariance function…

Computation · Statistics 2019-04-24 Linda S. L. Tan , Victor M. H. Ong , David J. Nott , Ajay Jasra

The hybrid Monte Carlo (HMC) algorithm is used for Bayesian analysis of the generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (GARCH) model. The HMC algorithm is one of Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms and it updates all…

Computational Physics · Physics 2008-12-09 Tetsuya Takaishi

We derive generalization error bounds for traditional time-series forecasting models. Our results hold for many standard forecasting tools including autoregressive models, moving average models, and, more generally, linear state-space…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-03-18 Daniel J. McDonald , Cosma Rohilla Shalizi , Mark Schervish

Christoffersen, Jacobs, Ornthanalai, and Wang (2008) (CJOW) proposed an improved Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH) model for valuing European options, where the return volatility is comprised of two distinct…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-10-21 Luca Vincenzo Ballestra , Enzo D'Innocenzo , Christian Tezza

We propose a class of estimators for the parameters of a GARCH(p,q) sequence. We show that our estimators are consistent and asymptotically normal under mild conditions. The quasi-maximum likelihood and the likelihood estimators are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 István Berkes , Lajos Horváth

We introduce the ARCH-m(X) model, a semiparametric extension of the ARCH-X framework in which the effect of a multivariate exogenous covariate vector X on the conditional variance is modeled through an unknown nonparametric function m(),…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-30 Adriano Zanin Zambom , Qing Wang

We explore a linear inhomogeneous elasticity equation with random Lam\'e parameters. The latter are parameterized by a countably infinite number of terms in separated expansions. The main aim of this work is to estimate expected values…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-10-04 M. Clarke , J. Dick , Q. T. Le Gia , K. Mustapha , T. Tran
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