English

Bayesian estimation of GARCH model by hybrid Monte Carlo

Computational Physics 2008-12-09 v1 Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability Statistical Finance

Abstract

The hybrid Monte Carlo (HMC) algorithm is used for Bayesian analysis of the generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (GARCH) model. The HMC algorithm is one of Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms and it updates all parameters at once. We demonstrate that how the HMC reproduces the GARCH parameters correctly. The algorithm is rather general and it can be applied to other models like stochastic volatility models.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.physics/0702240,
  title  = {Bayesian estimation of GARCH model by hybrid Monte Carlo},
  author = {Tetsuya Takaishi},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:physics/0702240},
  year   = {2008}
}

Comments

The 9th Joint Conference on Information Sciences (JCIS), October 8-11, 2006