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In this article, we develop a semiparametric Bayesian estimation and model selection approach for partially linear additive models in conditional quantile regression. The asymmetric Laplace distribution provides a mechanism for Bayesian…

Computation · Statistics 2013-07-11 Yuao Hu , Kaifeng Zhao , Heng Lian

We develop misspecification tests for building additive time-varying (ATV-)GARCH models. In the model, the volatility equation of the GARCH model is augmented by a deterministic time-varying intercept modeled as a linear combination of…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-07-01 Niklas Ahlgren , Alexander Back , Timo Teräsvirta

In this paper we propose a semiparametric spatial autoregressive model that combines a linear covariate component with a nonparametrically estimated spatial term, allowing flexible dependence modeling without restrictive covariance…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-30 Rodrigo García Arancibia , Pamela Llop , Mariel Lovatto

Recent work has established an empirically successful framework for adapting learning rates for stochastic gradient descent (SGD). This effectively removes all needs for tuning, while automatically reducing learning rates over time on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-03-28 Tom Schaul , Yann LeCun

With the rapid advancements in technology for data collection, the application of the spatial autoregressive (SAR) model has become increasingly prevalent in real-world analysis, particularly when dealing with large datasets. However, the…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-05-05 Xuan Liang , Tao Zou

Model averaging has demonstrated superior performance for ensemble forecasting in high-dimensional framework, its extension to incomplete datasets remains a critical but underexplored challenge. Moreover, identifying the parsimonious model…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-03 Wei Xiong , Dianliang Deng , Dehui Wang

In this paper, we study a general class of causal processes with exogenous covariates, including many classical processes such as the ARMA-GARCH, APARCH, ARMAX, GARCH-X and APARCH-X processes. Under some Lipschitz-type conditions, the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-09-07 Mamadou Lamine Diop , William Kengne

The Generalized Additive Model (GAM) is a powerful tool and has been well studied. This model class helps to identify additive regression structure. Via available test procedures one may identify the regression structure even sharper if…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-11 Rong Liu , Wolfgang Karl Härdle

A general class of time-varying regression models is considered in this paper. We estimate the regression coefficients by using local linear M-estimation. For these estimators, weak Bahadur representations are obtained and are used to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-03-09 Sayar Karmakar , Stefan Richter , Wei Biao Wu

This paper considers the problem of robust adaptive efficient estimating of a periodic function in a continuous time regression model with the dependent noises given by a general square integrable semimartingale with a conditionally…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-09-24 Evgeny Pchelintsev , Serguei Pergamenshchikov

We develop two new estimators for a general class of stationary GARCH models with possibly heavy tailed asymmetrically distributed errors, covering processes with symmetric and asymmetric feedback like GARCH, Asymmetric GARCH, VGARCH and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-07-29 Jonathan B. Hill

We propose a likelihood ratio based inferential framework for high dimensional semiparametric generalized linear models. This framework addresses a variety of challenging problems in high dimensional data analysis, including incomplete…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-11-24 Yang Ning , Tianqi Zhao , Han Liu

We develop semiparametrically efficient inference for kernel measures of noise heterogeneity in additive noise models. In many applications, the regression function is estimated using flexible machine learning methods. Downstream procedures…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-28 Jakub Wornbard , Zikai Shen , Dimitri Meunier , Arthur Gretton

The semiparametric accelerated failure time model is not as widely used as the Cox relative risk model mainly due to computational difficulties. Recent developments in least squares estimation and induced smoothing estimating equations…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-02 Steven Chiou , Junghi Kim , Jun Yan

GARCH-type time series (characterized by Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity) exhibit pronounced volatility, autocorrelation, and heteroskedasticity. To address these challenges and enhance predictive accuracy, this…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-05-28 Hongpei Shao , Da-Qing Zhang , Feilong Lu

This paper introduces a unified approach for modeling high-frequency financial data that can accommodate both the continuous-time jump-diffusion and discrete-time realized GARCH model by embedding the discrete realized GARCH structure in…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-16 Xinyu Song , Donggyu Kim , Huiling Yuan , Xiangyu Cui , Zhiping Lu , Yong Zhou , Yazhen Wang

Strong consistency and asymptotic normality of the Quasi-Maximum Likelihood Estimator (QMLE) are given for a general class of multidimensional causal processes. For particular cases already studied in the literature (for instance univariate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-01-09 Jean-Marc Bardet , Olivier Wintenberger

In this paper, we propose an Adaptive Realized Hyperbolic GARCH (A-Realized HYGARCH) process to model the long memory of high-frequency time series with possible structural breaks. The structural change is modeled by allowing the intercept…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-03 El Hadji Mamadou Sall , El Hadji Deme , Abdou Kâ Diongue

Range-measured return contains more information than the traditional scalar-valued return. In this paper, we propose to model the [low, high] price range as a random interval and suggest an interval-valued GARCH (Int-GARCH) model for the…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-11 Yan Sun , Guanghua Lian , Zudi Lu , Jennifer Loveland , Isaac Blackhurst

Quantile regression provides a consistent approach to investigating the association between covariates and various aspects of the distribution of the response beyond the mean. When the regression covariates are measured with errors,…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-09 Roger S. Zoh , Annie Yu , Carmen Tekwe