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We consider an insurance company which faces financial risk in the form of insurance claims and market-dependent surplus fluctuations. The company aims to simultaneously control its terminal wealth (e.g. at the end of an accounting period)…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-24 Aleksandar Arandjelović , Julia Eisenberg

Let $\{X, X_n, n\geq 1\}$ be a sequence of independent identically distributed non-degenerate random variables. Put $S_0=0, S_n = \sum^n_{i=1} X_i$ and $V_n^2=\sum^n_{i=1} X_i^2, n\ge 1.$ A weak convergence theorem is established for the…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-06-21 Miklós Csörgő , Zhishui Hu

We consider a generalization of the classical risk model when the premium intensity depends on the current surplus of an insurance company. All surplus is invested in the risky asset, the price of which follows a geometric Brownian motion.…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-28 Yuliya Mishura , Mykola Perestyuk , Olena Ragulina

The discrete time risk model with two seasons and dependent claims is considered. An algorithm is created for computing the values of the ultimate ruin probability. Theoretical results are illustrated with numerical examples.

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-13 Olga Navickienė , Jonas Sprindys , Jonas Šiaulys

In this paper we analyze so-called Parisian ruin probability that happens when surplus process stays below zero longer than fixed amount of time $\zeta>0$. We focus on general spectrally negative L\'{e}vy insurance risk process. For this…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-04-21 Irmina Czarna , Zbigniew Palmowski

This paper studies one-dimensional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes, with the distinguishing feature that they are reflected on a single boundary (put at level 0) or two boundaries (put at levels 0 and d>0). In the literature they are referred…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-03 Gang Huang , Michel Mandjes , Peter Spreij

The $q$-Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes, $q\in(-1,1)$, are a family of stationary Markov processes that converge weakly to the standard Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process as $q$ tends to 1. It has been noticed recently that in terms of path…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-10-27 Yizao Wang

In ruin theory, the net profit condition intuitively means that the incurred random claims on average do not occur more often than premiums are gained. The breach of the net profit condition causes guaranteed ruin in few but simple cases…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-08 Andrius Grigutis , Arvydas Karbonskis , Jonas Šiaulys

This paper focuses on recursive estimation of time varying autoregressive processes in a nonparametric setting. The stability of the model is revisited and uniform results are provided when the time-varying autoregressive parameters belong…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Eric Moulines , Pierre Priouret , François Roueff

Based on a discrete version of the Pollaczeck-Khinchine formula, a general method to calculate the ultimate ruin probability in the Gerber-Dickson risk model is provided when claims follow a negative binomial mixture distribution. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-03 David J. Santana , Luis Rincon

In this paper, we adapt the classic Cram\'er-Lundberg collective risk theory model to a perturbed model by adding a Wiener process to the compound Poisson process, which can be used to incorporate premium income uncertainty, interest rate…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-07 Yacine Koucha , Alfredo D. Egidio dos Reis

In this paper a class of Ornstein--Uhlenbeck processes driven by compound Poisson processes is considered. The jumps arrive with exponential waiting times and are allowed to be two-sided. The jumps are assumed to form an iid sequence with…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-01 Anders Rønn-Nielsen

We derive the Markov-modulated generalized Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process by embedding a Markov-modulated random recurrence equation in continuous time. The obtained process turns out to be the unique solution of a certain stochastic…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-22 Anita Behme , Apostolos Sideris

We consider the weak convergence of the Euler-Maruyama approximation for Schr\"odinger-F\"ollmer diffusions, which are solutions of Schr\"odinger bridge problems and can be used for sampling from given distributions. We show that the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-06-04 Koya Endo , Yumiharu Nakano

In this paper, we build on the techniques developed in Albrecher et al. (2013), to generate initial-boundary value problems for ruin probabilities of surplus-dependent premium risk processes, under a renewal case scenario, Erlang (2) claim…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-12 Corina Constantinescu , Zbigniew Palmowski , Jing Wang

In this paper we consider Dynkin's games with payoffs which are functions of an underlying process. Assuming extended weak convergence of underlying processes $\{S^{(n)}\}_{n=0}^{\infty}$ to a limit process $S$ we prove convergence Dynkin's…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-11-12 Yan Dolinsky

In this paper we show that the random degree constrained process (a time-evolving random graph model with degree constraints) has a local weak limit, provided that the underlying host graphs are high degree almost regular. We, moreover,…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-12 Balázs Ráth , Márton Szőke , Lutz Warnke

A new multi-factor short rate model is presented which is bounded from below by a real-valued function of time. The mean-reverting short rate process is modeled by a sum of pure-jump Ornstein--Uhlenbeck processes such that the related bond…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-06-29 Markus Hess

In this paper, we quantitative convergence in $W_2$ for a family of Langevin-like stochastic processes that includes stochastic gradient descent and related gradient-based algorithms. Under certain regularity assumptions, we show that the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-07-03 Xiang Cheng , Peter L. Bartlett , Michael I. Jordan

This paper considers a Cram\'er-Lundberg risk setting, where the components of the underlying model change over time. These components could be thought of as the claim arrival rate, the claim-size distribution, and the premium rate, but we…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-06-10 Corina Constantinescu , Guusje Delsing , Michel Mandjes , Leonardo Rojas Nandayapa