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We study a stochastic model for the diffusion of competing opinions in a population composed of three types of agents: trend-followers, opposers, and indifferent individuals. The decision dynamics are driven by reinforcement mechanisms,…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-24 Manuel González-Navarrete

In current presence or availability systems, the method of presenting a user's state often supposes an instantaneous notion of that state - for example, a visualization is rendered or an inference is made about the potential actions that…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Paul M. Aoki , Allison Woodruff

We model the communication of narratives as a cheap-talk game under model uncertainty. The sender has private information about the true data generating process of publicly observable data. The receiver is uncertain about how to interpret…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-07-09 Gerrit Bauch , Manuel Foerster

Our model describes competition between groups driven by the choices of self-interested voters within groups. Within a Poisson voting environment, parties observe aggregate support from groups and can allocate prizes or punishments to them.…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-11-21 Alastair Smith , Bruce Bueno de Mesquita , Tom LaGatta

In this paper, we study the effects of introducing contrarians in a model of Opinion Dynamics where the agents have internal continuous opinions, but exchange information only about a binary choice that is a function of their continuous…

Physics and Society · Physics 2011-03-25 André C. R. Martins , Cleber D. Kuba

Changing someone's opinion is arguably one of the most important challenges of social interaction. The underlying process proves difficult to study: it is hard to know how someone's opinions are formed and whether and how someone's views…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-02-09 Chenhao Tan , Vlad Niculae , Cristian Danescu-Niculescu-Mizil , Lillian Lee

We propose a simple model to explore an educational phenomenon where the correct answer emerges from group discussion. We construct our model based on several plausible assumptions: (i) We tend to follow peers' opinions. However, if a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-05-27 Jibeom Seo , Beom Jun Kim

In this paper, we propose a two-layer adoption-opinion model to study the diffusion of two competing technologies within a population whose opinions evolve under social influence and adoption-driven feedback. After adopting one technology,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-01-26 Martina Alutto , Fabrizio Dabbene , Angela Fontan , Karl H. Johansson , Chiara Ravazzi

The proliferation of information disseminated by public/social media has made decision-making highly challenging due to the wide availability of noisy, uncertain, or unverified information. Although the issue of uncertainty in information…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-07-18 Jin-Hee Cho , Sibel Adalı

The use of language-model-based question-answering systems to aid humans in completing difficult tasks is limited, in part, by the unreliability of the text these systems generate. Using hard multiple-choice reading comprehension questions…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-10-21 Alicia Parrish , Harsh Trivedi , Nikita Nangia , Vishakh Padmakumar , Jason Phang , Amanpreet Singh Saimbhi , Samuel R. Bowman

Citizen-focused democratic processes where participants deliberate on alternatives and then vote to make the final decision are increasingly popular today. While the computational social choice literature has extensively investigated voting…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2023-05-17 Kanav Mehra , Nanda Kishore Sreenivas , Kate Larson

The celebrated Bayesian persuasion model considers strategic communication between an informed agent (the sender) and uninformed decision makers (the receivers). The current rapidly-growing literature mostly assumes a dichotomy: either the…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2022-03-16 Yakov Babichenko , Inbal Talgam-Cohen , Haifeng Xu , Konstantin Zabarnyi

Firms strategically disclose product information in order to attract consumers, but recipients often find it costly to process all of it, especially when products have complex features. We study a model of competitive information disclosure…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2020-02-04 Vasudha Jain , Mark Whitmeyer

Our infrastructure systems enable our well-being by allowing us to move, store, and transform materials and information given considerable social and environmental variation. Critically, this ability is shaped by the degree to which society…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-10-28 Adam Wiechman , John M. Anderies , Margaret Garcia

Thanks to their name recognition and popularity, celebrities play an important role in American politics. Celebrity endorsements could add to the momentum of a politician's campaign and win the candidate extensive media coverage. There is…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-12-29 Yu Wang , Jiebo Luo

This paper analyzes a cheap-talk model with multiple senders and one receiver. Each sender observes a noisy signal about an unknown state and sends a message; the receiver observes the message tally and chooses a policy. This setting shares…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-05-12 Kailin Chen

Foreign power interference in domestic elections is an existential threat to societies. Manifested through myriad methods from war to words, such interference is a timely example of strategic interaction between economic and political…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-02-26 David Rushing Dewhurst , Christopher M. Danforth , Peter Sheridan Dodds

A sender with state-independent preferences (i.e., transparent motives) privately observes a signal about the state of the world before sending a message to a receiver, who subsequently takes an action. Regardless of whether the receiver…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2023-05-03 Mark Whitmeyer

We consider a model where an agent is must choose between alternatives that each provide only an imprecise description of the world (e.g. linguistic expressions). The set of alternatives is closed under logical conjunction and disjunction,…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-09-11 Evan Piermont , Marcus Pivato

We consider a social choice problem where only a small number of people out of a large population are sufficiently available or motivated to vote. A common solution to increase participation is to allow voters use a proxy, that is, transfer…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2016-11-28 Gal Cohensius , Shie Manor , Reshef Meir , Eli Meirom , Ariel Orda
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