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Consider an SI process on a graph $G$ where each S--I connection becomes I--I at rate $\lambda$. Here S and I stand for ``susceptible'' and ``infected'' respectively. The evoSI model is a modification of the SI model in which S--I edges are…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-04 Wenze Chen , Haojie Hou , Ruibo Ma , Dong Yao

We show that a certain model for the spread of an infection has a phase transition in the recuperation rate. The model is as follows: There are particles or individuals of type A and type B, interpreted as healthy and infected,…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Harry Kesten , Vladas Sidoravicius

In this paper we study threshold-one contact processes on lattices and regular trees. The asymptotic behavior of the critical infection rates as the degrees of the graphs growing to infinity are obtained. Defining \lambda_c as the supremum…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-12-02 Xiaofeng Xue

We construct graphs (trees of bounded degree) on which the contact process has critical rate (which will be the same for both global and local survival) equal to any prescribed value between zero and $\lambda_c(\mathbb{Z})$, the critical…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-02-09 Stein Andreas Bethuelsen , Gabriel Baptista da Silva , Daniel Valesin

In this note we establish a resilience version of the classical hitting time result of Bollob\'{a}s and Thomason regarding connectivity. A graph $G$ is said to be $\alpha$-resilient with respect to a monotone increasing graph property…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2019-04-30 Luc Haller , Miloš Trujić

We study the dynamics of the contact-process, one of the simplest nonequilibrium stochastic processes, taking place on a scale-free network. We consider the network topology as annealed, i.e. all links are rewired at each microscopic time…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-13 Marian Boguna , Claudio Castellano , Romualdo Pastor-Satorras

This paper introduces semiparametric relative-risk regression models for infectious disease data based on contact intervals, where the contact interval from person i to person j is the time between the onset of infectiousness in i and…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-24 Eben Kenah

We study two one-dimensional variants of the contact process: the contact-and-barrier process, where the population evolves in a region delimited by a randomly moving barrier, and the multitype contact process, in which two species compete…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-27 Isabella Alvarenga , Daniel Valesin

We investigate the contact process on scale-free networks evolving by a stationary dynamics whereby each vertex independently updates its connections with a rate depending on its power. This rate can be slowed down or speeded up by virtue…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-09-18 Emmanuel Jacob , Amitai Linker , Peter Mörters

Many important questions in infectious disease epidemiology involve the effects of covariates (e.g., age or vaccination status) on infectiousness and susceptibility, which can be measured in studies of transmission in households or other…

Applications · Statistics 2025-06-27 Yushuf Sharker , Zaynab Diallo , Wasiur R. KhudaBukhsh , Eben Kenah

We study the epidemic spreading process following contact dynamics with heavy-tailed waiting time distributions. We show both analytically and numerically that the temporal heterogeneity of contact dynamics can significantly suppress the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-10-09 Byungjoon Min , K. -I. Goh , I. -M. Kim

We study the stationary distribution of the (spread-out) $d$-dimensional contact process from the point of view of site percolation. In this process, vertices of $\mathbb{Z}^d$ can be healthy (state 0) or infected (state 1). With rate one…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-30 Balazs Rath , Daniel Valesin

We study a version of first passage percolation on $\mathbb{Z}^d$ where the random passage times on the edges are replaced by contact times represented by random closed sets on $\mathbb{R}$. Similarly to the contact process without…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-02 Benedikt Jahnel , Lukas Lüchtrath , Anh Duc Vu

We consider the following activation process in undirected graphs: a vertex is active either if it belongs to a set of initially activated vertices or if at some point it has at least $r$ active neighbors, where $r>1$ is the activation…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2014-02-11 Amin Coja-Oghlan , Uriel Feige , Michael Krivelevich , Daniel Reichman

We study an individual-based stochastic SIR epidemic model with infection-age dependent infectivity on a large random graph, capturing individual heterogeneity and non-homogeneous connectivity. Each individual is associated with particular…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-11 Guodong Pang , Étienne Pardoux , Aurélien Velleret

We propose a new modification of the coupling method for renewal process in continuous time. We call this modification "the stationary coupling method", and construct it primarily to obtain the bounds for convergence rate of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-12-22 Galina Zverkina

We study the intersection of two independent renewal processes, $\rho=\tau\cap\sigma$. Assuming that $\mathbf{P}(\tau_1 = n ) = \varphi(n)\, n^{-(1+\alpha)}$ and $\mathbf{P}(\sigma_1 = n ) = \tilde\varphi(n)\, n^{-(1+ \tilde\alpha)} $ for…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-18 Kenneth S. Alexander , Quentin Berger

Networks and dynamical processes occurring on them have become a paradigmatic representation of complex systems. Studying the role of quenched disorder, both intrinsic to nodes and topological, is a key challenge. With this in mind, here we…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2012-07-17 Róbert Juhász , Géza Ódor , Claudio Castellano , Miguel A. Muñoz

Consider a finite renewal process in the sense that interrenewal times are positive i.i.d. variables and the total number of renewals is a random variable, independent of interrenewal times. A finite point process can be obtained by…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-01-06 Nelson Antunes , Vladas Pipiras

If the step distribution in a renewal process has finite mean and regularly varying tail with index -{\alpha}, 1<{\alpha}<2, the first two terms in the asymptotic expansion of the renewal function have been known for many years. Here we…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-09-26 Ron Doney