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Accurately estimating high quantiles beyond the largest observed value is crucial for risk assessment and devising effective adaptation strategies to prevent a greater disaster. The generalized extreme value distribution is widely used for…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-24 Yonggwan Shin , Yire Shin , Jeong-Soo Park

The maximum likelihood degree (ML degree) measures the algebraic complexity of a fundamental optimization problem in statistics: maximum likelihood estimation. In this problem, one maximizes the likelihood function over a statistical model.…

Algebraic Geometry · Mathematics 2017-02-13 Jose Israel Rodriguez , Botong Wang

We consider learning with possibilistic supervision for multi-class classification. For each training instance, the supervision is a normalized possibility distribution that expresses graded plausibility over the classes. From this…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-04-03 Ismaïl Baaj , Pierre Marquis

We present new results for consistency of maximum likelihood estimators with a focus on multivariate mixed models. Our theory builds on the idea of using subsets of the full data to establish consistency of estimators based on the full…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-02-13 Karl Oskar Ekvall , Galin L. Jones

We study empirical Bayes (EB) predictive density estimation in linear mixed models (LMMs) with large number of units, which induce a high dimensional random effects space. Focusing on Kullback Leibler (KL) risk minimization, we develop a…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-31 Abir Sarkar , Gourab Mukherjee , Keisuke Yano

In this paper the Gaussian quasi maximum likelihood estimator (GQMLE) is generalized by applying a transform to the probability distribution of the data. The proposed estimator, called measure-transformed GQMLE (MT-GQMLE), minimizes the…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-10-19 Koby Todros , Alfred O. Hero

The aim of this paper is to introduce new statistical criterions for estimation, suitable for inference in models with common continuous support. This proposal is in the direct line of a renewed interest for divergence based inference tools…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-19 Michel Broniatowski , Aida Toma , Igor Vajda

This paper investigates the expected excess risk of in-context learning (ICL) for multiclass classification. We formalize each task as a sequence of labeled examples followed by a query input; a pretrained model then estimates the query's…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-03 Chenrui Liu , Falong Tan , Chuanlong Xie , Yicheng Zeng , Lixing Zhu

Skew normal model suffers from inferential drawbacks, namely singular Fisher information in the vicinity of symmetry and diverging of maximum likelihood estimation. To address the above drawbacks, Azzalini and Arellano-Valle (2013)…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-25 Jian Zhang , Tong Wang

Flexibility in shape and scale of Burr XII distribution can make close approximation of numerous well-known probability density functions. Due to these capabilities, the usages of Burr XII distribution are applied in risk analysis, lifetime…

Applications · Statistics 2019-01-29 Saviz Saei , Mohsen Mohammadi , Mahsa Fekriseri , Kouroush Jenab

Elliptically symmetric distributions are widely used in portfolio modeling, as well as in signal processing applications for modeling impulsive background noises. Of particular interest are algorithms for covariance estimation and subspace…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-12-01 Christophe Culan , Claude Adnet

In this article, we introduce a two-way factor model for a high-dimensional data matrix and study the properties of the maximum likelihood estimation (MLE). The proposed model assumes separable effects of row and column attributes and…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-17 Gao Zhigen , Yuan Chaofeng , Jing Bingyi , Huang Wei , Guo Jianhua

The stochastic block model (SBM) provides a popular framework for modeling community structures in networks. However, more attention has been devoted to problems concerning estimating the latent node labels and the model parameters than the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-03-02 Y. X. Rachel Wang , Peter J. Bickel

In order to learn the complex features of large spatio-temporal data, models with large parameter sets are often required. However, estimating a large number of parameters is often infeasible due to the computational and memory costs of…

Computation · Statistics 2018-07-02 Matthew Edwards , Stefano Castruccio , Dorit Hammerling

We study the maximum likelihood estimator of density of $n$ independent observations, under the assumption that it is well approximated by a mixture with a large number of components. The main focus is on statistical properties with respect…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-01-19 Arnak S. Dalalyan , Mehdi Sebbar

We develop a new Gibbs sampler for a linear mixed model with a Dirichlet process random effect term, which is easily extended to a generalized linear mixed model with a probit link function. Our Gibbs sampler exploits the properties of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-02-26 Minjung Kyung , Jeff Gill , George Casella

In multivariate or spatial extremes, inference for max-stable processes observed at a large collection of locations is among the most challenging problems in computational statistics, and current approaches typically rely on less expensive…

Computation · Statistics 2015-08-20 Stefano Castruccio , Raphaël Huser , Marc Genton

We study maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) in the generalized group orbit recovery model, where each observation is generated by applying a random group action and a known, fixed linear operator to an unknown signal, followed by additive…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-30 Sheng Xu , Anderson Ye Zhang , Amit Singer

Exact MLE for generalized linear mixed models (GLMMs) is a long-standing problem unsolved until today. The proposed research solves the problem. In this problem, the main difficulty is caused by intractable integrals in the likelihood…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-14 Tonglin Zhang

Nonparametric identification and maximum likelihood estimation for finite-state hidden Markov models are investigated. We obtain identification of the parameters as well as the order of the Markov chain if the transition probability…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-10-01 Grigory Alexandrovich , Hajo Holzmann , Anna Leister