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When sampling multi-modal probability distributions, correctly estimating the relative probability of each mode, even when the modes have been discovered and locally sampled, remains challenging. We test a simple reweighting scheme designed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-17 Pierre Monmarché

Maximum pseudo-likelihood (MPL) is a semiparametric estimation method often used to obtain the dependence parameters in copula models from data. It has been shown that despite being consistent, and in some cases efficient, MPL estimation…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-07 Alexandra Dias

The multinomial and related distributions have long been used to model categorical, count-based data in fields ranging from bioinformatics to natural language processing. Commonly utilized variants include the standard multinomial and the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-16 Steven Michael Lakin , Zaid Abdo

This paper revisits the classical inference results for profile quasi maximum likelihood estimators (profile MLE) in the semiparametric estimation problem. We mainly focus on two prominent theorems: the Wilks phenomenon and Fisher expansion…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-06-18 Andreas Andresen , Vladimir Spokoiny

Model averaging is a useful and robust method for dealing with model uncertainty in statistical analysis. Often, it is useful to consider data subset selection at the same time, in which model selection criteria are used to compare models…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-26 Ethan T. Neil , Jacob W. Sitison

We solve the problem of estimating the distribution of presumed i.i.d. observations for the total variation loss. Our approach is based on density models and is versatile enough to cope with many different ones, including some density…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-01-05 Y. Baraud , H. Halconruy , G. Maillard

Learning to sample from intractable distributions over discrete sets without relying on corresponding training data is a central problem in a wide range of fields, including Combinatorial Optimization. Currently, popular deep learning-based…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-25 Sebastian Sanokowski , Sepp Hochreiter , Sebastian Lehner

Multivariate extreme value statistical analysis is concerned with observations on several variables which are thought to possess some degree of tail-dependence. In areas such as the modeling of financial and insurance risks, or as the…

Applications · Statistics 2014-12-31 Alexis Bienvenüe , Christian Y. Robert

Consider the problem of predicting the next symbol given a sample path of length n, whose joint distribution belongs to a distribution class that may have long-term memory. The goal is to compete with the conditional predictor that knows…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-25 Yanjun Han , Tianze Jiang , Yihong Wu

The saddlepoint approximation to the likelihood, and its corresponding maximum likelihood estimate (MLE), offer an alternative estimation method when the true likelihood is intractable or computationally expensive. However, maximizing this…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-11 Godrick Oketch , Rachel M. Fewster , Jesse Goodman

We quantify model risk of a financial portfolio whereby a multi-period mean-standard-deviation criterion is used as a selection criterion. In this work, model risk is defined as the loss due to uncertainty of the underlying distribution of…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-08-06 Spiridon Penev , Pavel V. Shevchenko , Wei Wu

Optimal data detection in massive multiple-input multiple-output (MIMO) systems often requires prohibitively high computational complexity. A variety of detection algorithms have been proposed in the literature, offering different…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-07-02 Yong Li , Sushanta K. Mallick , Tao Zeng , Junxing Zhang

Pseudo log-likelihood is a type of maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) method used in various fields including contextual bandits, influence maximization of social networks, and causal bandits. However, in previous literature…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-28 Shi Feng , Nuoya Xiong , Zhijie Zhang , Wei Chen

Mixture distributions with dynamic weights are an efficient way of modeling loss data characterized by heavy tails. However, maximum likelihood estimation of this family of models is difficult, mostly because of the need to evaluate…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-11 Marco Bee

Machine learning models have exhibited exceptional results in various domains. The most prevalent approach for learning is the empirical risk minimizer (ERM), which adapts the model's weights to reduce the loss on a training set and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-11 Koby Bibas

We consider the problem of estimating the joint distribution function of the event time and a continuous mark variable based on censored data. More specifically, the event time is subject to current status censoring and the continuous mark…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-09-07 Piet Groeneboom , Geurt Jongbloed , Birgit Witte

Composite likelihoods are a class of alternatives to the full likelihood which are widely used in many situations in which the likelihood itself is intractable. A composite likelihood may be computed without the need to specify the full…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-01-08 Helen Ogden

Estimation of a single Bernoulli parameter using pooled sampling is among the oldest problems in the group testing literature. To carry out such estimation, an array of efficient estimators have been introduced covering a wide range of…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-21 Gregory Haber , Yaakov Malinovsky

The maximum likelihood estimation is computationally demanding for large datasets, particularly when the likelihood function includes integrals. Subsampling can reduce the computational burden, but it often results in efficiency loss.This…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-27 Miaomiao Su , Qihua Wang , Ruoyu Wang

We show that the mean-model parameter is always orthogonal to the error distribution in generalized linear models. Thus, the maximum likelihood estimator of the mean-model parameter will be asymptotically efficient regardless of whether the…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-08 Alan Huang , Paul J. Rathouz