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We consider the problem of estimating the distribution underlying an observed sample of data. Instead of maximum likelihood, which maximizes the probability of the ob served values, we propose a different estimate, the high-profile…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-07-19 Alon Orlitsky , Narayana Santhanam , Krishnamurthy Viswanathan , Junan Zhang

We develop a fully non-parametric, easy-to-use, and powerful test for the missing completely at random (MCAR) assumption on the missingness mechanism of a dataset. The test compares distributions of different missing patterns on random…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-01 Meta-Lina Spohn , Jeffrey Näf , Loris Michel , Nicolai Meinshausen

The advent of data science has spurred interest in estimating properties of distributions over large alphabets. Fundamental symmetric properties such as support size, support coverage, entropy, and proximity to uniformity, received most…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-11-29 Jayadev Acharya , Hirakendu Das , Alon Orlitsky , Ananda Theertha Suresh

We introduce a semiparametric ``tubular neighborhood'' of a parametric model in the multinomial setting. It consists of all multinomial distributions lying in a distance-based neighborhood of the parametric model of interest. Fitting such a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-04 Jiawei Liu , Bruce G. Lindsay

In this paper a useful subfamily of the exponential family has been considered. The ML estimation based on upper record values has been calculated for the parameter, Cumulative Density Function, and Probability Density Function of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-11-06 S. D. Gore , S. Hosseini , P. Nasiri

When estimating a proportion and only a sample of triplets is given, dependencies within the triplets are to be accounted for. Without assuming a distribution for the success count of the triplet, together with the proportion, as second and…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-11 Rafael Weissbach , Eric Scholz

We give an asymptotic development of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE), or any other estimator defined implicitly, in a way which involves the limiting behavior of the score and its higher-order derivatives. This development, which is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-10 Antoine Lejay , Sara Mazzonetto

Maximum likelihood estimation in statistics leads to the problem of maximizing a product of powers of polynomials. We study the algebraic degree of the critical equations of this optimization problem. This degree is related to the number of…

Algebraic Geometry · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Fabrizio Catanese , Serkan Hosten , Amit Khetan , Bernd Sturmfels

We study two adaptive importance sampling schemes for estimating the probability of a rare event in the high-dimensional regime $d \to \infty$ with $d$ the dimension. The first scheme is the prominent cross-entropy (CE) method, and the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-26 Jason Beh , Yonatan Shadmi , Florian Simatos

To achieve high performance of a machine learning (ML) task, a deep learning-based model must implicitly capture the entire distribution from data. Thus, it requires a huge amount of training samples, and data are expected to fully present…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-17 Hung Nguyen , Morris Chang

Nonparametric maximum likelihood estimators (MLEs) in inverse problems often have non-normal limit distributions, like Chernoff's distribution. However, if one considers smooth functionals of the model, with corresponding functionals of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-10-24 Piet Groeneboom

In a regular full exponential family, the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) need not exist in the traditional sense. However, the MLE may exist in the completion of the exponential family. Existing algorithms for finding the MLE in the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-30 Daniel J. Eck , Charles J. Geyer

We develop a preference elicitation method for a Von Neumann-Morgenstern (VNM)-type decision-maker from pairwise comparison data in the presence of response errors. We apply the maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) method to jointly elicit…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-30 Bo Chen , Jia Liu

We study the problem of estimating a distribution over a finite alphabet from an i.i.d. sample, with accuracy measured in relative entropy (Kullback-Leibler divergence). While optimal bounds on the expected risk are known, high-probability…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-27 Jaouad Mourtada

For the univariate current status and, more generally, the interval censoring model, distribution theory has been developed for the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) and smoothed maximum likelihood estimator (SMLE) of the unknown…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-06-18 Piet Groeneboom

A two-stage adaptive optimal design is an attractive option for increasing the efficiency of clinical trials. In these designs, based on interim data, the locally optimal dose is chosen for further exploration, which induces dependencies…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-24 Zhantao Lin , Nancy Flournoy , William F. Rosenberger

This paper derives the nonparametric maximum likelihood estimator (NPMLE) of a distribution function from observations which are subject to both bias and censoring. The NPMLE is obtained by a simple EM algorithm which is an extension of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-08-22 Micha Mandel

The standard paradigm of neural language generation adopts maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) as the optimizing method. From a distributional view, MLE in fact minimizes the Kullback-Leibler divergence (KLD) between the distribution of the…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-02-28 Haozhe Ji , Pei Ke , Zhipeng Hu , Rongsheng Zhang , Minlie Huang

Marginal maximum likelihood estimation (MMLE) in item response theory (IRT) is highly sensitive to aberrant responses, such as careless answering and random guessing, which can reduce estimation accuracy. To address this issue, this study…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-18 Yuki Itaya , Kenichi Hayashi

For regression model selection via maximum likelihood estimation, we adopt a vector representation of candidate models and study the likelihood ratio confidence region for the regression parameter vector of a full model. We show that when…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-09 Min Tsao