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Related papers: Confidence Intervals for Selected Parameters

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Rating systems are ubiquitous, with applications ranging from product recommendation to teaching evaluations. Confidence intervals for functionals of rating data such as empirical means or quantiles are critical to decision-making in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-12-10 Robert Nowak , Ervin Tánczos

We consider the classic problem of interval estimation of a proportion $p$ based on binomial sampling. The "exact" Clopper-Pearson confidence interval for $p$ is known to be unnecessarily conservative. We propose coverage-adjustments of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-11 Måns Thulin

Classically, confidence intervals are required to have consistent coverage across all values of the parameter. However, this will inevitably break down if the underlying estimation procedure is biased. For this reason, many efforts have…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-06 Logan Harris , Patrick Breheny

The System Usability Scale (SUS) is a short, survey-based approach used to determine the usability of a system from an end user perspective once a prototype is available for assessment. Individual scores are gathered using a 10-question…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-26 Nicholas Clark , Matthew Dabkowski , Patrick Driscoll , Dereck Kennedy , Ian Kloo , Heidy Shi

In various high-energy physics contexts, such as neutrino-oscillation experiments, several assumptions underlying the typical asymptotic confidence interval construction are violated, such that one has to resort to computationally expensive…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2024-05-09 Lukas Berns

We consider a general regression model, without a scale parameter. Our aim is to construct a confidence interval for a scalar parameter of interest $\theta$ that utilizes the uncertain prior information that a distinct scalar parameter…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-17 Paul Kabaila , Nishika Ranathunga

When studying the causal effect of $x$ on $y$, researchers may conduct regression and report a confidence interval for the slope coefficient $\beta_{x}$. This common confidence interval provides an assessment of uncertainty from sampling…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-08-26 Brian Knaeble , Braxton Osting , Mark Abramson

We derive confidence intervals and confidence sequences for causal effects in situations where the back-door or front-door criteria are applicable. Our tightest confidence intervals hold in the standard setting where the training data…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-26 Vladimir Vovk , Ruodu Wang

When conducting inference on partially identified parameters, confidence regions may cover the whole identified set with a prescribed probability, to which we will refer as set coverage, or they may cover each of its point with a prescribed…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-06-21 Marc Henry , Alexei Onatski

We propose and study three confidence intervals (CIs) centered at an estimator that is intentionally biased to reduce mean squared error. The first CI simply uses an unbiased estimator's standard error; compared to centering at the unbiased…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-02-04 David M. Kaplan , Xin Liu

For the quantification of QoE, subjects often provide individual rating scores on certain rating scales which are then aggregated into Mean Opinion Scores (MOS). From the observed sample data, the expected value is to be estimated. While…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-06-05 Tobias Hossfeld , Poul E. Heegaard , Martin Varela , Lea Skorin-Kapov

Consider a finite sample from an unknown distribution over a countable alphabet. Unobserved events are alphabet symbols which do not appear in the sample. Estimating the probabilities of unobserved events is a basic problem in statistics…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-08 Amichai Painsky

Simultaneous confidence intervals (SCIs) that are compatible with a given closed test procedure are often non-informative. More precisely, for a one-sided null hypothesis, the bound of the SCI can stick to the border of the null hypothesis,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-25 Werner Brannath , Liane Kluge , Martin Scharpenberg

Introductory texts on statistics typically only cover the classical "two sigma" confidence interval for the mean value and do not describe methods to obtain confidence intervals for other estimators. The present technical report fills this…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-11 Christoph Dalitz

Although a majority of the theoretical literature in high-dimensional statistics has focused on settings which involve fully-observed data, settings with missing values and corruptions are common in practice. We consider the problems of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-11-06 Yining Wang , Jialei Wang , Sivaraman Balakrishnan , Aarti Singh

In Neyman's original formulation, a 1-alpha confidence interval procedure is justified by its long-run coverage properties, and a single realized interval is to be described only by the slogan that it either covers the parameter or it does…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2026-03-19 Scott Lee

Several scientific fields including psychology are undergoing a replication crisis. There are many reasons for this problem, one of which is a misuse of p-values. There are several alternatives to p-values, and in this paper we describe a…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-05 Brian D. Segal

In an empirical Bayes analysis, we use data from repeated sampling to imitate inferences made by an oracle Bayesian with extensive knowledge of the data-generating distribution. Existing results provide a comprehensive characterization of…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-09 Nikolaos Ignatiadis , Stefan Wager

Suppose one has a collection of parameters indexed by a (possibly infinite dimensional) set. Given data generated from some distribution, the objective is to estimate the maximal parameter in this collection evaluated at this distribution.…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-05-26 Alexander R. Luedtke , Mark J. van der Laan

In epidemiology, some have argued that multiple comparison corrections are not necessary as there is rarely interest in the universal null hypothesis. From a parameter estimation perspective, epidemiologists may still be interested in…