Coverage-adjusted confidence intervals for a binomial proportion
Methodology
2015-03-11 v2 Statistics Theory
Statistics Theory
Abstract
We consider the classic problem of interval estimation of a proportion based on binomial sampling. The "exact" Clopper-Pearson confidence interval for is known to be unnecessarily conservative. We propose coverage-adjustments of the Clopper-Pearson interval using prior and posterior distributions of . The adjusted intervals have improved coverage and are often shorter than competing intervals found in the literature. Using new heatmap-type plots for comparing confidence intervals, we find that the coverage-adjusted intervals are particularly suitable for close to 0 or 1.
Keywords
Cite
@article{arxiv.1204.5894,
title = {Coverage-adjusted confidence intervals for a binomial proportion},
author = {Måns Thulin},
journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1204.5894},
year = {2015}
}
Comments
20 pages, 10 figures, 2 tables