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We investigate a novel modeling approach for end-to-end neural network training using hidden Markov models (HMM) where the transition probabilities between hidden states are modeled and learned explicitly. Most contemporary…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-10 Daniel Mann , Tina Raissi , Wilfried Michel , Ralf Schlüter , Hermann Ney

Diffusion models (DMs) have achieved remarkable success across various domains owing to their strong generative and denoising capabilities. Meanwhile, semantic communication based on neural joint source-channel coding (JSCC) has emerged as…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-25 Yoon Huh , Jeongho Kang , Wan Choi

There is an increase in interest to model driving maneuver patterns via the automatic unsupervised clustering of naturalistic sequential kinematic driving data. The patterns learned are often used in transportation research areas such as…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-11-14 Matthew Aguirre , Wenbo Sun , Jionghua , Jin , Yang Chen

Markov state models (MSMs) are valuable for studying dynamics of protein conformational changes via statistical analysis of molecular dynamics (MD) simulations. In MSMs, the complex configuration space is coarse-grained into conformational…

Biological Physics · Physics 2024-06-11 Dedi Wang , Yunrui Qiu , Eric Beyerle , Xuhui Huang , Pratyush Tiwary

Lane determination and lane sequence determination are important components for many Connected and Automated Vehicle (CAV) applications. Lane determination has been solved using Hidden Markov Model (HMM) among other methods. The existing…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-05-13 Mike Stas , Wang Hu , Jay A. Farrell

Data collected from wearable devices and smartphones can shed light on an individual's pattern of behavioral and circadian routine. Phone use can be modeled as alternating event process, between the state of active use and the state of…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-13 Benny Ren , Ian Barnett

In this paper, we prove that finite state space non parametric hidden Markov models are identifiable as soon as the transition matrix of the latent Markov chain has full rank and the emission probability distributions are linearly…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-06-20 Elisabeth Gassiat , Alice Cleynen , Stéphane Robin

We study the community detection and recovery problem in partially-labeled stochastic block models (SBM). We develop a fast linearized message-passing algorithm to reconstruct labels for SBM (with $n$ nodes, $k$ blocks, $p,q$ intra and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-03-23 T. Tony Cai , Tengyuan Liang , Alexander Rakhlin

With the rapid development of Internet and the sharp increase of network crime, network security has become very important and received a lot of attention. We model security issues as stochastic systems. This allows us to find weaknesses in…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2018-06-26 Lu Yu , Richard R. Brooks

Multistate Markov models are a canonical parametric approach for data modeling of observed or latent stochastic processes supported on a finite state space. Continuous-time Markov processes describe data that are observed irregularly over…

Markov state models (MSMs) are widely employed to analyze the kinetics of complex systems. But despite their effectiveness in many applications, MSMs are prone to systematic or statistical errors, often exacerbated by suboptimal…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2025-08-12 Yehor Tuchkov , Luke Evans , Sonya M. Hanson , Erik H. Thiede

We consider probabilistic systems with hidden state and unobservable transitions, an extension of Hidden Markov Models (HMMs) that in particular admits unobservable {\epsilon}-transitions (also called null transitions), allowing state…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-30 Rebecca Bernemann , Barbara König , Matthias Schaffeld , Torben Weis

Markov chains have been widely employed as a fundamental model in the studies of probabilistic and stochastic communicating and concurrent systems. It is well-understood that decomposition techniques play a key role in reachability analysis…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2018-02-15 Ji Guan , Yuan Feng , Mingsheng Ying

Accurate channel models are of high importance for the design of upcoming mobile satellite systems. Nowadays most of the models for the LMSC are based on Markov chains and rely on measurement data, rather than on pure theoretical…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-11-15 Balazs Matuz , Francisco Lazaro Blasco , Gianluigi Liva

Hidden Markov Models (HMMs) have become very popular as a computational tool for the analysis of sequential data. They are memoryless machines which transition from one internal state to another, while producing symbols. These symbols…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2012-10-01 Ben O`Neill , Tom M. Barlow , Dominik Safranek , Almut Beige

The error exponent of Markov channels with feedback is studied in the variable-length block-coding setting. Burnashev's classic result is extended and a single letter characterization for the reliability function of finite-state Markov…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-09-08 Giacomo Como , Serdar Yuksel , Sekhar Tatikonda

Modern adversarial campaigns unfold as sequences of behavioural phases - Reconnaissance, Lateral Movement, Intrusion, and Exfiltration - each often indistinguishable from legitimate traffic when viewed in isolation. Existing intrusion…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2026-04-03 Prakul Sunil Hiremath , PeerAhammad M Bagawan , Sahil Bhekane

The design of message passing (MP) algorithms on factor graphs is an effective manner to implement channel estimation (CE) in wireless communication systems, which performance can be further improved by exploiting prior probability models…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2023-03-21 Yi Song , Chuanzong Zhang , Xinhua Lu , Fabio Saggese , Zhongyong Wang

The stock market presents a challenging environment for accurately predicting future stock prices due to its intricate and ever-changing nature. However, the utilization of advanced methodologies can significantly enhance the precision of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-12-02 Luigi Catello , Ludovica Ruggiero , Lucia Schiavone , Mario Valentino

This work introduces a novel deep learning-based architecture, termed the Deep Belief Markov Model (DBMM), which provides efficient, model-formulation agnostic inference in Partially Observable Markov Decision Process (POMDP) problems. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-18 Giacomo Arcieri , Konstantinos G. Papakonstantinou , Daniel Straub , Eleni Chatzi