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Hidden Markov models (HMMs) are probabilistic functions of finite Markov chains, or, put in other words, state space models with finite state space. In this paper, we examine subspace estimation methods for HMMs whose output lies a finite…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-11-20 Sofia Andersson , Tobias Rydén

The hidden Markov model (HMM) is a fundamental tool for sequence modeling that cleanly separates the hidden state from the emission structure. However, this separation makes it difficult to fit HMMs to large datasets in modern NLP, and they…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2020-11-10 Justin T. Chiu , Alexander M. Rush

Many state of the art methods for the thermodynamic and kinetic characterization of large and complex biomolecular systems by simulation rely on ensemble approaches, where data from large numbers of relatively short trajectories are…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-04-05 Feliks Nüske , Hao Wu , Jan-Hendrik Prinz , Christoph Wehmeyer , Cecilia Clementi , Frank Noé

We demonstrate the application of pattern recognition algorithms via hidden Markov models (HMM) for qubit readout. This scheme provides a state-path trajectory approach capable of detecting qubit state transitions and makes for a robust…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2021-01-04 Luis A. Martinez , Yaniv J. Rosen , Jonathan L. DuBois

Markov state models (MSMs) have been successful in computing metastable states, slow relaxation timescales and associated structural changes, and stationary or kinetic experimental observables of complex molecules from large amounts of…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2015-06-17 Frank Noe , Hao Wu , Jan-Hendrik Prinz , Nuria Plattner

This paper introduces a decentralized state-dependent Markov chain synthesis (DSMC) algorithm for finite-state Markov chains. We present a state-dependent consensus protocol that achieves exponential convergence under mild technical…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-04-29 Samet Uzun , Nazim Kemal Ure , Behcet Acikmese

State-space models (SSM) with Markov switching offer a powerful framework for detecting multiple regimes in time series, analyzing mutual dependence and dynamics within regimes, and asserting transitions between regimes. These models…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-14 David Degras , Chee-Ming Ting , Hernando Ombao

We develop a semi-parametric state-space model for time-series data with latent regime transitions. Classical Markov-switching models use fixed parametric transition functions, such as logistic or probit links, which restrict flexibility…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-08 Prakul Sunil Hiremath

We propose a SCHMM LMPC framework, integrating Semi Continuous Hidden Markov Models with Lyapunov based Model Predictive Control, for distributed optimal control of multi agent systems under network imperfections. The SCHMM captures the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-12-04 Loaie Solyman , Aamir Ahmad , Ayman El-Badawy

In this paper, we present an approach to identify linear parameter-varying (LPV) systems with a state-space (SS) model structure in an innovation form where the coefficient functions have static and affine dependency on the scheduling…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2020-09-10 Pepijn B. Cox , Roland Tóth

The problem of state communication over a discrete memoryless channel with discrete memoryless state is studied when the state information is available strictly causally at the encoder. It is shown that block Markov encoding, in which the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-03-20 Chiranjib Choudhuri , Young-Han Kim , Urbashi Mitra

Visible light communication (VLC) has the potential to supplement the growing demand for wireless connectivity. In order to realise the full potential of VLC, channel models are required Discrete channel models based on semi-hidden Markov…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-02-20 Daniel G. Holmes , Ling Cheng , Mulundumina Shimaponda-Nawa , Ayokunle D. Familua , Adnan M. Abu-Mahfouz

I describe a new Markov chain method for sampling from the distribution of the state sequences in a non-linear state space model, given the observation sequence. This method updates all states in the sequence simultaneously using an…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Radford M. Neal

State space models (SSMs) provide a flexible framework for modeling complex time series via a latent stochastic process. Inference for nonlinear, non-Gaussian SSMs is often tackled with particle methods that do not scale well to long time…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-07-18 Christopher Aicher , Srshti Putcha , Christopher Nemeth , Paul Fearnhead , Emily B. Fox

Hidden Markov models (HMMs) and partially observable Markov decision processes (POMDPs) form a useful tool for modeling dynamical systems. They are particularly useful for representing environments such as road networks and office…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-30 Hagit Shatkay

Hidden Markov models (HMM) have been widely used by scientists to model stochastic systems: the underlying process is a discrete Markov chain and the observations are noisy realizations of the underlying process. Determining the number of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-18 Yang Chen , Cheng-Der Fuh , Chu-Lan Michael Kao

We consider Markov models of stochastic processes where the next-step conditional distribution is defined by a kernel density estimator (KDE), similar to Markov forecast densities and certain time-series bootstrap schemes. The KDE Markov…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-07-31 Gustav Eje Henter , Arne Leijon , W. Bastiaan Kleijn

State space models have long played an important role in signal processing. The Gaussian case can be treated algorithmically using the famous Kalman filter. Similarly since the 1970s there has been extensive application of Hidden Markov…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Peter Bickel , Yaacov Ritov , Tobias Rydén

The Hidden Markov Model (HMM) can predict the future value of a time series based on its current and previous values, making it a powerful algorithm for handling various types of time series. Numerous studies have explored the improvement…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-28 YeXin Huang

We introduce the Markov Stochastic Block Model (MSBM): a growth model for community based networks where node attributes are assigned through a Markovian dynamic. We rely on HMMs' literature to design prediction methods that are robust to…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-01-09 Quentin Duchemin