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We study the problem of estimating the joint probability mass function (pmf) over two random variables. In particular, the estimation is based on the observation of $m$ samples containing both variables and $n$ samples missing one fixed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-05-17 H. S. Melihcan Erol , Erixhen Sula , Lizhong Zheng

Empirical likelihood is a popular nonparametric statistical tool that does not require any distributional assumptions. In this paper, we explore the possibility of conducting variable selection via Bayesian empirical likelihood. We show…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-13 Yichen Cheng , Yichuan Zhao

In recent years, stochastic dominance for independent and identically distributed (iid) infinite-mean random variables has received considerable attention. The literature has identified several classes of distributions of nonnegative random…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-28 Keyi Zeng , Zhenfeng Zou , Yuting Su , Taizhong Hu

This study addresses the often-overlooked issue of measurability at intermediate points when applying Taylor's theorems to random functions and random vectors (e.g., likelihood functions with respect to estimators) in statistics. Classical…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2025-05-01 Yifan Yang , Xiaoyu Zhou , Ming Wang

Distribution-dependent stochastic dynamical systems arise widely in engineering and science. We consider a class of such systems which model the limit behaviors of interacting particles moving in a vector field with random fluctuations. We…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-09-15 Wei Wei , Jianyu Hu

The basic question of delineating those statistical problems that are solvable without making any assumptions on the underlying data distribution has long animated statistics and learning theory. This paper characterizes when a convex…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-27 Felipe Areces , John C. Duchi

The algorithmic Markov condition states that the most likely causal direction between two random variables X and Y can be identified as that direction with the lowest Kolmogorov complexity. Due to the halting problem, however, this notion…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-02-23 Kailash Budhathoki , Jilles Vreeken

The aim of this paper is to present an elementary computable theory of probability, random variables and stochastic processes. The probability theory is baed on existing approaches using valuations and lower integrals. Various approaches to…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-14 Pieter Collins

In data sets with many predictors, algorithms for identifying a good subset of predictors are often used. Most such algorithms do not account for any relationships between predictors. For example, stepwise regression might select a model…

bayes-an · Physics 2008-02-03 Hugh Chipman

In multi-period stochastic optimization problems, the future optimal decision is a random variable whose distribution depends on the parameters of the optimization problem. We analyze how the expected value of this random variable changes…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-01-28 Bar Light

The current definition of a conditional probability distribution enables one to update probabilities only on the basis of stochastic information. This paper provides a definition for conditional probability distributions with non-stochastic…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-02-18 Pier Giovanni Bissiri , Stephen G. Walker

The problem of non-iterative one-shot and non-destructive correction of unavoidable mistakes arises in all Artificial Intelligence applications in the real world. Its solution requires robust separation of samples with errors from samples…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-09-05 A. N. Gorban , I. Y. Tyukin

We present general principles underlying analysis of the dependence of random variables (outputs) on deterministic conditions (inputs). Random outputs recorded under mutually exclusive input values are labeled by these values and considered…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2015-01-27 Ehtibar N. Dzhafarov , Janne V. Kujala

This article introduces a framework for evaluating statistical decisions under both prior ambiguity and likelihood misspecification. We begin with an ambiguity set - a frequentist model that pairs a possibly misspecified likelihood with…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-14 Karun Adusumilli

For two independent, almost surely finite random variables, independence of their minimum (time) and the event that one of them is either greater, equal or less than the other (cause) is completely characterized. It is shown that, other…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-05-08 Offer Kella

We analyze the relative price change of assets starting from basic supply/demand considerations subject to arbitrary motivations. The resulting stochastic differential equation has coefficients that are functions of supply and demand. We…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2020-08-26 Carey Caginalp , Gunduz Caginalp

Constant (naive) imputation is still widely used in practice as this is a first easy-to-use technique to deal with missing data. Yet, this simple method could be expected to induce a large bias for prediction purposes, as the imputed input…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-02-07 Alexis Ayme , Claire Boyer , Aymeric Dieuleveut , Erwan Scornet

In linear regression modelling the distortion of effects after marginalizing over variables of the conditioning set has been widely studied in several contexts. For Gaussian variables, the relationship between marginal and partial…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-08 Monia Lupparelli

Applied statisticians use sequential regression procedures to produce a ranking of explanatory variables and, in settings of low correlations between variables and strong true effect sizes, expect that variables at the very top of this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-07-12 Weijie J. Su

In this paper we focus on providing sufficient conditions for some well-known stochastic orders in reliability but dealing with the discrete versions of them, filling a gap in the literature. In particular, we find conditions based on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-28 F. Belzunce , C. Martínez-Riquelme , M. Pereda