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The uncertainty estimation is critical in real-world decision making applications, especially when distributional shift between the training and test data are prevalent. Many calibration methods in the literature have been proposed to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-27 Azadeh Sadat Mozafari , Hugo Siqueira Gomes , Christian Gagne

Recently, Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) have been achieving impressive results on wide range of tasks. However, they suffer from being well-calibrated. In decision-making applications, such as autonomous driving or medical diagnosing, the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-10 Azadeh Sadat Mozafari , Hugo Siqueira Gomes , Wilson Leão , Steeven Janny , Christian Gagné

The prediction reliability of neural networks is important in many applications. Specifically, in safety-critical domains, such as cancer prediction or autonomous driving, a reliable confidence of model's prediction is critical for the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-09-24 Byeongmoon Ji , Hyemin Jung , Jihyeun Yoon , Kyungyul Kim , Younghak Shin

Research interests in the robustness of deep neural networks against domain shifts have been rapidly increasing in recent years. Most existing works, however, focus on improving the accuracy of the model, not the calibration performance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-26 Wonjeong Choi , Jungwuk Park , Dong-Jun Han , Younghyun Park , Jaekyun Moon

We address the problem of uncertainty calibration and introduce a novel calibration method, Parametrized Temperature Scaling (PTS). Standard deep neural networks typically yield uncalibrated predictions, which can be transformed into…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-20 Christian Tomani , Daniel Cremers , Florian Buettner

Precise confidence estimation in deep learning is vital for high-stakes fields like medical imaging, where overconfident misclassifications can have serious consequences. This work evaluates the effectiveness of Temperature Scaling (TS), a…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-09-30 Ankur Chanda , Kushan Choudhury , Shubhrodeep Roy , Shubhajit Biswas , Somenath Kuiry

Data uncertainty is commonly observed in the images for face recognition (FR). However, deep learning algorithms often make predictions with high confidence even for uncertain or irrelevant inputs. Intuitively, FR algorithms can benefit…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-12-05 Lei Shang , Mouxiao Huang , Wu Shi , Yuchen Liu , Yang Liu , Fei Wang , Baigui Sun , Xuansong Xie , Yu Qiao

In many classification applications, the prediction of a deep neural network (DNN) based classifier needs to be accompanied by some confidence indication. Two popular approaches for that aim are: 1) Calibration: modifies the classifier's…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-03 Lahav Dabah , Tom Tirer

It is now well known that neural networks can be wrong with high confidence in their predictions, leading to poor calibration. The most common post-hoc approach to compensate for this is to perform temperature scaling, which adjusts the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-07-25 Tom Joy , Francesco Pinto , Ser-Nam Lim , Philip H. S. Torr , Puneet K. Dokania

Neural networks trained on distilled data often produce over-confident output and require correction by calibration methods. Existing calibration methods such as temperature scaling and mixup work well for networks trained on original…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-09-18 Dongyao Zhu , Bowen Lei , Jie Zhang , Yanbo Fang , Ruqi Zhang , Yiqun Xie , Dongkuan Xu

Despite impressive accuracy, deep neural networks are often miscalibrated and tend to overly confident predictions. Recent techniques like temperature scaling (TS) and label smoothing (LS) show effectiveness in obtaining a well-calibrated…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-09-14 Mobarakol Islam , Lalithkumar Seenivasan , Hongliang Ren , Ben Glocker

Existing deep neural network based salient object detection (SOD) methods mainly focus on pursuing high network accuracy. However, those methods overlook the gap between network accuracy and prediction confidence, known as the confidence…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-12-14 Jing Zhang , Yuchao Dai , Xin Yu , Mehrtash Harandi , Nick Barnes , Richard Hartley

Neural network calibration is an essential task in deep learning to ensure consistency between the confidence of model prediction and the true correctness likelihood. In this paper, we propose a new post-processing calibration method called…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-26 Yung-Chen Tang , Pin-Yu Chen , Tsung-Yi Ho

In this paper, we study the post-hoc calibration of modern neural networks, a problem that has drawn a lot of attention in recent years. Many calibration methods of varying complexity have been proposed for the task, but there is no…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-02 Sergio A. Balanya , Juan Maroñas , Daniel Ramos

The softmax function is a fundamental component in deep learning. This study delves into the often-overlooked parameter within the softmax function, known as "temperature," providing novel insights into the practical and theoretical aspects…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-03 Hao Xuan , Bokai Yang , Xingyu Li

Recent works demonstrate that early layers in a neural network contain useful information for prediction. Inspired by this, we show that extending temperature scaling across all layers improves both calibration and accuracy. We call this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-21 Amr Khalifa , Michael C. Mozer , Hanie Sedghi , Behnam Neyshabur , Ibrahim Alabdulmohsin

Unsupervised domain adaptation (UDA) has witnessed remarkable advancements in improving the accuracy of models for unlabeled target domains. However, the calibration of predictive uncertainty in the target domain, a crucial aspect of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-17 Dapeng Hu , Jian Liang , Xinchao Wang , Chuan-Sheng Foo

Despite the impressive generalization capabilities of deep neural networks, they have been repeatedly shown to be overconfident when they are wrong. Fixing this issue is known as model calibration, and has consequently received much…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-15 Muthu Chidambaram , Rong Ge

Semi-supervised learning (SSL) has demonstrated high performance in image classification tasks by effectively utilizing both labeled and unlabeled data. However, existing SSL methods often suffer from poor calibration, with models yielding…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-11-18 Mehrab Mustafy Rahman , Jayanth Mohan , Tiberiu Sosea , Cornelia Caragea

Large Language Model (LLM) agents can increasingly automate complex reasoning through Test-Time Scaling (TTS), iterative refinement guided by reward signals. However, many real-world tasks involve multi-stage pipeline whose final outcomes…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-30 Shuyu Gan , James Mooney , Pan Hao , Renxiang Wang , Mingyi Hong , Qianwen Wang , Dongyeop Kang
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