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The problem of determining a periodic Lipschitz vector field $b=(b_1, \dots, b_d)$ from an observed trajectory of the solution $(X_t: 0 \le t \le T)$ of the multi-dimensional stochastic differential equation \begin{equation*} dX_t =…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-21 Richard Nickl , Kolyan Ray

In a discrete-time setting, we consider an arrival process $\left\{\xi_n \, \middle| \, n = 1, 2, \ldots \right\}$, which models the occurrence of events, and a corresponding point process $\left\{H_n \, \middle| \, n = 1, 2, \ldots…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-10 Utpal Jyoti Deba Sarma , Dharmaraja Selvamuthu

In this article we consider the estimation of static parameters for partially observed diffusion process with discrete-time observations over a fixed time interval. In particular, we assume that one must time-discretize the partially…

Computation · Statistics 2023-09-20 Elsiddig Awadelkarim , Ajay Jasra , Hamza Ruzayqat

Multi-dimensional Hawkes process (MHP) is a class of self and mutually exciting point processes that find wide range of applications -- from prediction of earthquakes to modelling of order books in high frequency trading. This paper makes…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-05 Sobin Joseph , Lekhapriya Dheeraj Kashyap , Shashi Jain

We consider a controlled second order differential equation which is partially observed with an additional fractional noise. we study the asymptotic (for large observation time) design problem of the input and give an efficient estimator of…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-04-09 Chunhao Cai , Wujun LV

We study the problem of unbiased estimation of expectations with respect to (w.r.t.) $\pi$ a given, general probability measure on $(\mathbb{R}^d,\mathcal{B}(\mathbb{R}^d))$ that is absolutely continuous with respect to a standard Gaussian…

Computation · Statistics 2022-10-26 Hamza Ruzayqat , Alexandros Beskos , Dan Crisan , Ajay Jasra , Nikolas Kantas

Within the nonparametric diffusion model, we develop a multiple test to infer about similarity of an unknown drift $b$ to some reference drift $b_0$: At prescribed significance, we simultaneously identify those regions where violation from…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-17 Johannes Brutsche , Angelika Rohde

In this paper, we investigate the parameter estimation for threshold Ornstein$\mathit{-}$Uhlenbeck processes. Least squares method is used to obtain continuous-type and discrete-type estimators for the drift parameters based on continuous…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-03-28 Yuecai Han , Dingwen Zhang

In the paper, we address parametric and non-parametric estimation for nonlinear stochastic differential equations with additive Hermite noise with possibly nonlinear scaling. We assume that a single trajectory of the solution is observed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-23 Petr Coupek , Pavel Kriz

Our study addresses the inference of jumps (i.e. sets of discontinuities) within multivariate signals from noisy observations in the non-parametric regression setting. Departing from standard analytical approaches, we propose a new…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-10-07 Hugo Henneuse

This paper delves into a nonparametric estimation approach for the interaction function within diffusion-type particle system models. We introduce two estimation methods based upon an empirical risk minimization. Our study encompasses an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-02-23 Denis Belomestny , Mark Podolskij , Shi-Yuan Zhou

This paper provides a semiparametric model of estimating states of the volatility defined as the squared diffusion coefficient of a stochastic differential equation. Without assuming any functional form of the volatility function, we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-07-18 I. Shoji

This paper is devoted the the study of the mean field limit for many-particle systems undergoing jump, drift or diffusion processes, as well as combinations of them. The main results are quantitative estimates on the decay of fluctuations…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-01-15 Stéphane Mischler , Clément Mouhot , Bernt Wennberg

We introduce a methodology for performing parameter inference in high-dimensional, non-linear diffusion processes. We illustrate its applicability for obtaining insights into the evolution of and relationships between species, including…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-15 Nicklas Boserup , Gefan Yang , Michael Lind Severinsen , Christy Anna Hipsley , Stefan Sommer

In this paper, we design a nonparametric online algorithm for estimating the triggering functions of multivariate Hawkes processes. Unlike parametric estimation, where evolutionary dynamics can be exploited for fast computation of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-01-26 Yingxiang Yang , Jalal Etesami , Niao He , Negar Kiyavash

This paper investigates a financial market where returns depend on an unobservable Gaussian drift process. While the observation of returns yields information about the underlying drift, we also incorporate discrete-time expert opinions as…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-11-04 Jörn Sass , Dorothee Westphal , Ralf Wunderlich

We consider a process $X^\ve$ that solves a stochastic Volterra equation with an unknown parameter $\theta^\star$ in the drift function. The Volterra kernel is singular, and includes as an example, $K\_0(u)=c u^{\alpha-1/2} \id{u>0}$ with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-21 Arnaud Gloter , Nakahiro Yoshida

Traditional nonparametric estimation methods often lead to a slow convergence rate in large dimensions and require unrealistically enormous sizes of datasets for reliable conclusions. We develop an approach based on partial derivatives,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-20 Xiaowu Dai

Penalized estimation methods for diffusion processes and dependent data have recently gained significant attention due to their effectiveness in handling high-dimensional stochastic systems. In this work, we introduce an adaptive…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-12-24 Alessandro De Gregorio , Dario Frisardi , Francesco Iafrate , Stefano Iacus

We study high-dimensional drift estimation for L\'evy-driven Ornstein--Uhlenbeck processes based on discrete observations. Assuming sparsity of the drift matrix, we analyze Lasso and Slope estimators constructed from approximate likelihoods…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-09 Niklas Dexheimer , Natalia Jeszka
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