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This paper generalizes a part of the theory of $Z$-estimation which has been developed mainly in the context of modern empirical processes to the case of stochastic processes, typically, semimartingales. We present a general theorem to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-03 Yoichi Nishiyama

We study the problem of parameter estimation for a univariate discretely observed ergodic diffusion process given as a solution to a stochastic differential equation. The estimation procedure we propose consists of two steps. In the first…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-04-17 Shota Gugushvili , Peter Spreij

We research adaptive maximum likelihood-type estimation for an ergodic diffusion process where the observation is contaminated by noise. This methodology leads to the asymptotic independence of the estimators for the variance of observation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-05-30 Shogo H. Nakakita , Masayuki Uchida

A set of pointwise estimates are established for local solutions to nonlocal diffusion equations with a drift term. In particular, our Harnack estimates are the first ones for such equations, and our H\"older regularity refines certain…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2025-01-14 Naian Liao

This paper is concerned with nonparametric estimation of the L\'evy density of a pure jump L\'evy process. The sample path is observed at $n$ discrete instants with fixed sampling interval. We construct a collection of estimators obtained…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-10-01 Fabienne Comte , Valentine Genon-Catalot

A severe limitation of many nonparametric estimators for random coefficient models is the exponential increase of the number of parameters in the number of random coefficients included into the model. This property, known as the curse of…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-08-15 Maximilian Osterhaus

This paper proposes consistent and asymptotically Gaussian estimators for the drift, the diffusion coefficient and the Hurst exponent of the discretely observed fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process. For the estimation of the drift, the…

Computation · Statistics 2011-12-19 Alexandre Brouste , Stefano M. Iacus

We introduce a new non parametric method that allows for a direct, fast and efficient estimation of the matrix of kernel norms of a multivariate Hawkes process, also called branching ratio matrix. We demonstrate the capabilities of this…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2017-06-13 Massil Achab , Emmanuel Bacry , Jean-François Muzy , Marcello Rambaldi

We study supervised multiclass classification for diffusion processes, where each class is characterized by a distinct drift function and trajectories are observed at discrete times. We first derive a multidimensional Bayes rule and then…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-14 Yuzhen Zhao , Jiarong Fan , Yating Liu

In this paper, we present a nonparametric estimation procedure for the multivariate Hawkes point process. The timeline is cut into bins and -- for each component process -- the number of points in each bin is counted. The distribution of…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-08-18 Matthias Kirchner

Usually the problem of drift estimation for a diffusion process is considered under the hypothesis of ergodicity. It is less often considered under the hypothesis of null-recurrence, simply because there are fewer limit theorems and…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-08-25 D. Loukianova , O. Loukianov

Consider a non-symmetric generalized diffusion $X(\cdot)$ in ${\bbR}^d$ determined by the differential operator $A(\msx)=-\sum_{ij} \partial_ia_{ij}(\msx)\partial_j +\sum_i b_i(\msx)\partial_i$. In this paper the diffusion process is…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-03-16 Nedzad Limić

We study the maximum likehood estimator and least squares estimator for drift parameters of nonlinear reflected stochastic differential equations based on continuous observations. Under some regular conditions, we obtain the consistency and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-05-04 Han Yuecai , Zhang Dingwen

Diffusion models, which convert noise into new data instances by learning to reverse a Markov diffusion process, have become a cornerstone in contemporary generative modeling. While their practical power has now been widely recognized, the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-03-08 Gen Li , Yuting Wei , Yuxin Chen , Yuejie Chi

We derive consistency and asymptotic normality results for quasi-maximum likelihood methods for drift parameters of ergodic stochastic processes observed in discrete time in an underlying continuous-time setting. The special feature of our…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-09-20 Teppei Ogihara , Mitja Stadje

We take into consideration generalization bounds for the problem of the estimation of the drift component for ergodic stochastic differential equations, when the estimator is a ReLU neural network and the estimation is non-parametric with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-02 Simone Di Gregorio , Francesco Iafrate

We treat the change point problem in ergodic diffusion processes from discrete observations. Tonaki et al. (2020) proposed adaptive tests for detecting changes in the diffusion and drift parameters in ergodic diffusion models. When any…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-02-16 Yozo Tonaki , Yusuke Kaino , Masayuki Uchida

Given a discrete time sample $X_1,... X_n$ from a L\'evy process $X=(X_t)_{t\geq 0}$ of a finite jump activity, we study the problem of nonparametric estimation of the characteristic triplet $(\gamma,\sigma^2,\rho)$ corresponding to the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-04-17 Shota Gugushvili

A compound Poisson process whose parameters are all unknown is observed at finitely many equispaced times. Nonparametric estimators of the jump and L\'evy distributions are proposed and functional central limit theorems using the uniform…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-02-06 Alberto J. Coca

Given a sample from a discretely observed multidimensional compound Poisson process, we study the problem of nonparametric estimation of its jump size density $r_0$ and intensity $\lambda_0$. We take a nonparametric Bayesian approach to the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-06-08 Shota Gugushvili , Frank van der Meulen , Peter Spreij