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We modify a canonical experimental design to identify the effectiveness of retractions. Comparing beliefs after retractions to beliefs (a) without the retracted information and (b) after equivalent new information, we find that retractions…

General Economics · Economics 2025-03-03 Duarte Gonçalves , Jonathan Libgober , Jack Willis

Tree-structured models are a powerful alternative to parametric regression models if non-linear effects and interactions are present in the data. Yet, classical tree-structured models might not be appropriate if data comes in clusters of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-23 Nikolai Spuck , Matthias Schmid , Moritz Berger

Structuring a viable pension plan is a problem that arises in the study of financial contracts pricing and bears special importance these days. Deterministic pension models often rely on projections that are based on several assumptions…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-07-03 Paz Grimberg , Zeev Schuss

In this paper, we develop a deep neural network approach to solve a lifetime expected mortality-weighted utility-based model for optimal consumption in the decumulation phase of a defined contribution pension system. We formulate this…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-07-28 Wen Chen , Nicolas Langrené

Informal carers provide the majority of care for people living with challenges related to older age, long-term illness, or disability. However, the care they provide often results in a significant income penalty for carers, a factor largely…

General Economics · Economics 2024-11-26 Maria Petrillo , Daniel Valdenegro , Charles Rahal , Yanan Zhang , Gwilym Pryce , Matthew R. Bennett

As artificial agents become increasingly capable, what internal structure is *necessary* for an agent to act competently under uncertainty? Classical results show that optimal control can be *implemented* using belief states or world…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-03 Aran Nayebi

Social learning, a fundamental process through which individuals shape their beliefs and perspectives via observation and interaction with others, is critical for the development of our society and the functioning of social governance.…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-10-22 Yiqing Lin , Zhanjiang Chen , Huisheng Wang , H. Vicky Zhao

Researchers and practitioners in the field of reliability engineering and optimization frequently use active redundancy techniques to intensify the performance of systems. In this article, we study allocation strategies of non-matching…

Applications · Statistics 2026-05-18 Bidhan Modok , Shovan Chowdhury , Amarjit Kundu

Sparse attention has been claimed to increase model interpretability under the assumption that it highlights influential inputs. Yet the attention distribution is typically over representations internal to the model rather than the inputs…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-06-09 Clara Meister , Stefan Lazov , Isabelle Augenstein , Ryan Cotterell

Selective prediction systems can mitigate harms resulting from language model hallucinations by abstaining from answering in high-risk cases. Uncertainty quantification techniques are often employed to identify such cases, but are rarely…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-03-24 Edward Phillips , Fredrik K. Gustafsson , Sean Wu , Anshul Thakur , David A. Clifton

Accuracy and interpretability are two dominant features of successful predictive models. Typically, a choice must be made in favor of complex black box models such as recurrent neural networks (RNN) for accuracy versus less accurate but…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-02-28 Edward Choi , Mohammad Taha Bahadori , Joshua A. Kulas , Andy Schuetz , Walter F. Stewart , Jimeng Sun

Policies ensuring that research data are available on public archives are increasingly being implemented at the government [1], funding agency [2-4], and journal [5,6] level. These policies are predicated on the idea that authors are poor…

Language is not only used to transmit neutral information; we often seek to persuade by arguing in favor of a particular view. Persuasion raises a number of challenges for classical accounts of belief updating, as information cannot be…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-09-15 Samuel A. Barnett , Thomas L. Griffiths , Robert D. Hawkins

This article examines the impact of China's delayed retirement announcement on households' savings behavior using data from China Family Panel Studies (CFPS). The article finds that treated households, on average, experience an 8% increase…

General Economics · Economics 2023-07-07 Shun Zhang

We solve a lifecycle model in which the consumer's chronological age does not move in lockstep with calendar time. Instead, biological age increases at a stochastic non-linear rate in time like a broken clock that might occasionally move…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-11-27 Huaxiong Huang , Moshe A. Milevsky , Thomas S. Salisbury

Principal-Agent (PA) problems describe a broad class of economic relationships characterized by misaligned incentives and asymmetric information. The Principal's problem is to find optimal incentives given the available information, e.g., a…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2022-02-21 Tong Mu , Stephan Zheng , Alexander Trott

We develop a theoretical framework for understanding how cognitive load affects information processing in financial markets and test it using exogenous variation in disclosure complexity. Our model distinguishes between attention allocation…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-07-10 Yimin Du , Guolin Tang

The attention mechanism is considered the backbone of the widely-used Transformer architecture. It contextualizes the input by computing input-specific attention matrices. We find that this mechanism, while powerful and elegant, is not as…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-11-08 Michael Hassid , Hao Peng , Daniel Rotem , Jungo Kasai , Ivan Montero , Noah A. Smith , Roy Schwartz

Maintaining information in context is essential in successful real-time language comprehension, but maintenance is cognitively costly and can slow processing. We hypothesize that rational language users selectively maintain information that…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-05-25 Shinnosuke Isono , Kohei Kajikawa

Prolonged sedentary behavior is prevalent among office workers and has been found to be detrimental to health. Preventing and reducing prolonged sedentary behavior require interventions, and persuasive technology is expected to make a…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2018-10-15 Yunlong Wang , Lingdan Wu , Jan-Philipp Lange , Ahmed Fadhil , Harald Reiterer