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Do reasoning models have "Aha!" moments? Prior work suggests that models like DeepSeek-R1-Zero undergo sudden mid-trace realizations that lead to accurate outputs, implying an intrinsic capacity for self-correction. Yet, it remains unclear…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-04-21 Liv G. d'Aliberti , Manoel Horta Ribeiro

In recurrent event studies, panel binary data arise when subjects are observed at discrete time points and only the recurrent event status within each observation window is recorded. Such data frequently occur in longitudinal studies due to…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-18 Pavithra Hariharan , P. G. Sankaran

This article investigates retirement decumulation behaviours using the Grouped Fixed-Effects (GFE) estimator applied to Australian panel data on drawdowns from phased withdrawal retirement income products. Behaviours exhibited by the…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-03-21 Igor Balnozan , Denzil G. Fiebig , Anthony Asher , Robert Kohn , Scott A. Sisson

To gain insight into how characteristics of an establishment are associated with nonresponse, a recursive partitioning algorithm is applied to the Occupational Employment Statistics May 2006 survey data to build a regression tree. The tree…

Applications · Statistics 2012-06-29 Polly Phipps , Daniell Toth

We study the gap between the state pension provided by the Italian pension system pre-Dini reform and post-Dini reform. The goal is to fill the gap between the old and the new pension by joining a defined contribution pension scheme and…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-06-12 Alessandro Milazzo , Elena Vigna

Recent studies on interpretability of attention distributions have led to notions of faithful and plausible explanations for a model's predictions. Attention distributions can be considered a faithful explanation if a higher attention…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2020-04-30 Akash Kumar Mohankumar , Preksha Nema , Sharan Narasimhan , Mitesh M. Khapra , Balaji Vasan Srinivasan , Balaraman Ravindran

Sparse attention reduces the quadratic complexity of full self-attention but faces two challenges: (1) an attention gap, where applying sparse attention to full-attention-trained models causes performance degradation due to train-inference…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-02-02 Zhenyi Shen , Junru Lu , Lin Gui , Jiazheng Li , Yulan He , Di Yin , Xing Sun

This paper proposes and investigates an optimal pair investment/pension policy for a pay-as-you-go (PAYG) pension scheme. The social planner can invest in a buffer fund in order to guarantee a minimal pension amount. The model aims at…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-02-28 Caroline Hillairet , Sarah Kaakai , Mohamed Mrad

Compared with only pursuing recommendation accuracy, the explainability of a recommendation model has drawn more attention in recent years. Many graph-based recommendations resort to informative paths with the attention mechanism for the…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2024-03-05 Yicong Li , Xiangguo Sun , Hongxu Chen , Sixiao Zhang , Yu Yang , Guandong Xu

Changes of mind can become less likely the longer an agent has adopted a given opinion state. This resilience or inertia to change has been called ``aging''. We perform a comparative study of the effects of aging on the critical behavior of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-08-01 Jaume Llabres , Sara Oliver-Bonafoux , Celia Anteneodo , Raul Toral

LLMs utilizing chain-of-thought reasoning often waste substantial compute by producing long, incorrect responses. Abstention can mitigate this by withholding outputs unlikely to be correct. While most abstention methods decide to withhold…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Hen Davidov , Nachshon Cohen , Oren Kalinsky , Yaron Fairstein , Guy Kushilevitz , Ram Yazdi , Patrick Rebeschini

In this paper authors present a general methodology for age dependent reliability analysis of degrading or ageing systems, structures and components.The methodology is based on Bayesian methods and inference, its ability to incorporate…

Applications · Statistics 2012-10-19 Robertas Alzbutas , Tomas Iešmantas

Apart from the high accuracy of machine learning models, what interests many researchers in real-life problems (e.g., fraud detection, credit scoring) is to find hidden patterns in data; particularly when dealing with their challenging…

We revisit the saving behavior of elderly singles using an adversarial structural estimation framework by Kaji, Manresa and Pouliot (2023). The method bridges the simulated method of moments (SMM) and maximum-likelihood estimation by…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-11-18 Tetsuya Kaji , Elena Manresa

We present a representation of partial confidence in belief and preference that is consistent with the tenets of decision-theory. The fundamental insight underlying the representation is that if a person is not completely confident in a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-11 David Heckerman , Holly B. Jimison

Neural network architectures in natural language processing often use attention mechanisms to produce probability distributions over input token representations. Attention has empirically been demonstrated to improve performance in various…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-05-10 George Chrysostomou , Nikolaos Aletras

Pervasive and ubiquitous computing facilitates immediate access to information in the sense of always-on. Information such as news, messages, or reminders can significantly enhance our daily routines but are rendered useless or disturbing…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2022-12-20 Christoph Anderson , Judith Simone Heinisch , Shohreh Deldari , Flora D. Salim , Sandra Ohly , Klaus David , Veljko Pejovic

The exponential growth in the number of scientific papers makes it increasingly difficult for researchers to keep track of all the publications relevant to their work. Consequently, the attention that can be devoted to individual papers,…

We consider the problem of optimal annuitization with labour income, where an agent aims to maximize utility from consumption and labour income under age-dependent force of mortality. Using a dynamic programming approach, we derive…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-14 Criscent Birungi , Cody Hyndman

Cross-sectional age-skill profiles suggest that workers' cognitive skills start declining by their thirties if not earlier. If accurate, such age-driven skill losses pose a major threat to the human capital of societies with rapidly aging…

General Economics · Economics 2025-05-08 Eric A. Hanushek , Lavinia Kinne , Frauke Witthoeft , Ludger Woessmann
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