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Over sixty percent of employees at a large South African company contribute the minimum rate of 7.5 percent to a retirement fund, far below the rate of 15 percent recommended by financial advisers. I use a field experiment to investigate…

General Economics · Economics 2021-07-21 Matthew Olckers

Birth rates have dramatically decreased and, with continuous improvements in life expectancy, pension expenditure is on an irreversibly increasing path. This will raise serious concerns for the sustainability of the public pension systems…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-01-01 M. Carmen Boado-Penas , Julia Eisenberg , Ralf Korn

In this article, I present a new approach and a novel model to the study of the life cycle of wages. The key idea is that wage can be thought as remuneration paid for the competency. It is assumed with the approach that there are three…

Physics and Society · Physics 2007-05-23 S. I. Maximov

Intensive Care in-hospital mortality prediction has various clinical applications. Neural prediction models, especially when capitalising on clinical notes, have been put forward as improvement on currently existing models. However, to be…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-12-14 Miguel Rios , Ameen Abu-Hanna

This paper examines the relationship between informal caregiving and both cognitive functioning and healthcare utilization among older adults with dementia. Using data from the RAND version of the Health and Retirement Study (HRS), a…

General Economics · Economics 2025-09-24 Mohammad Abdullah Al Faisal

For many households, investing for retirement is one of the most significant decisions and is fraught with uncertainty. In a classic study in behavioral economics, Benartzi and Thaler (1999) found evidence using bar charts that investors…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2021-07-28 Ryan Wesslen , Alireza Karduni , Douglas Markant , Wenwen Dou

Science is a growing system, exhibiting ~4% annual growth in publications and ~1.8% annual growth in the number of references per publication. Combined these trends correspond to a 12-year doubling period in the total supply of references,…

Digital Libraries · Computer Science 2019-12-17 Raj K. Pan , Alexander M. Petersen , Fabio Pammolli , Santo Fortunato

The demand for voluntary insurance against low-probability, high-impact risks is lower than expected. To assess the magnitude of the demand, we conduct a meta-analysis of contingent valuation studies using a dataset of experimentally…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-02-27 Selim Mankaï , Sébastien Marchand , Ngoc Ha Le

Attention mechanism is effective in both focusing the deep learning models on relevant features and interpreting them. However, attentions may be unreliable since the networks that generate them are often trained in a weakly-supervised…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-11 Jay Heo , Hae Beom Lee , Saehoon Kim , Juho Lee , Kwang Joon Kim , Eunho Yang , Sung Ju Hwang

Background: True cognitive longitudinal decline can be obscured by repeated testing, which is called practice effects (PEs). We developed a modeling framework that aligns participants by baseline and estimates visit-specific PEs…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-27 Y. Xu , T. Wu , A. Van Dyne , E. Lee , L. Eyler , X. Tu

This technical note considers the sampling of outcomes that provide the greatest amount of information about the structure of underlying world models. This generalisation furnishes a principled approach to structure learning under a…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2025-12-25 Karl Friston , Lancelot Da Costa , Alexander Tschantz , Conor Heins , Christopher Buckley , Tim Verbelen , Thomas Parr

This paper investigates the interactions among consumption/savings, investment, and retirement choices with income disaster. We consider low-income people who are exposed to income disaster so that they retire involuntarily when income…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-09-18 Tae Ung Gang , Seyoung Park , Yong Hyun Shin

Attention mechanisms are ubiquitous components in neural architectures applied to natural language processing. In addition to yielding gains in predictive accuracy, attention weights are often claimed to confer interpretability, purportedly…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2020-04-08 Danish Pruthi , Mansi Gupta , Bhuwan Dhingra , Graham Neubig , Zachary C. Lipton

Insurance companies must manage millions of claims per year. While most of these claims are non-fraudulent, fraud detection is core for insurance companies. The ultimate goal is a predictive model to single out the fraudulent claims and pay…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-09-03 Leander Löw , Martin Spindler , Eike Brechmann

Machine learning models that aim to predict dementia onset usually follow the classification methodology ignoring the time until an event happens. This study presents an alternative, using survival analysis within the context of machine…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-21 Daniel Stamate , Henry Musto , Olesya Ajnakina , Daniel Stahl

This paper describes a general approach for stochastic modeling of assets returns and liability cash-flows of a typical pensions insurer. On the asset side, we model the investment returns on equities and various classes of fixed-income…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-05-27 Sergio Alvares Maffra , John Armstrong , Teemu Pennanen

The 24-hour activity cycle (24HAC) is a new paradigm for studying activity behaviors in relation to health outcomes. This approach captures the interrelatedness of the daily time spent in physical activity (PA), sedentary behavior (SB), and…

Attention mechanisms are dominating the explainability of deep models. They produce probability distributions over the input, which are widely deemed as feature-importance indicators. However, in this paper, we find one critical limitation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-06 Yibing Liu , Haoliang Li , Yangyang Guo , Chenqi Kong , Jing Li , Shiqi Wang

Economists disagree about the factors driving the substantial increase in residual wage inequality in the US over the past few decades. To identify changes in the returns to unobserved skills, we make a novel assumption about the dynamics…

General Economics · Economics 2025-01-20 Lance Lochner , Youngmin Park , Youngki Shin

We study the critical behavior of a noisy kinetic opinion model subject to resilience to change depending on aging, defined as the time spent on the current opinion state. In this model, the opinion of each agent can take the three discrete…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-08-01 Allan R. Vieira , Jaume Llabrés , Raúl Toral , Celia Anteneodo