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We calculate the large deviations for the length of the longest alternating subsequence and for the length of the longest increasing subsequence in a uniformly random permutation that avoids a pattern of length three. We treat all six…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-09-04 Ross G. Pinsky

Large deviation results are given for a class of perturbed nonhomogeneous Markov chains on finite state space which formally includes some stochastic optimization algorithms. Specifically, let {P_n} be a sequence of transition matrices on a…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Zach Dietz , Sunder Sethuraman

The theory of stochastic approximations form the theoretical foundation for studying convergence properties of many popular recursive learning algorithms in statistics, machine learning and statistical physics. Large deviations for…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-05 Henrik Hult , Adam Lindhe , Pierre Nyquist , Guo-Jhen Wu

The "large p, small n" paradigm arises in microarray studies, where expression levels of thousands of genes are monitored for a small number of subjects. There has been an increasing demand for study of asymptotics for the various…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Michael R. Kosorok , Shuangge Ma

In this paper we establish a large deviations type estimate for strongly mixing Markov chains with respect to the Lp norm. As applications we derive such estimates for the iterates of a locally constant random cocycle with mixed rank, as…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-02-10 Anselmo Pontes

Detecting anomalies in large sets of observations is crucial in various applications, such as epidemiological studies, gene expression studies, and systems monitoring. We consider settings where the units of interest result in multiple…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-22 Ivo V. Stoepker , Rui M. Castro , Ery Arias-Castro

We study large deviations, over a long time window $T \to \infty$, of the dynamical observables $A_n = \int_{0}^{T} x^n(t) dt$, $n=3,4,\dots$, where $x(t)$ is a centered stationary Gaussian process in continuous time. We show that, for…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-12-01 Alexander Valov , Baruch Meerson

Parallel tempering, or replica exchange, is a popular method for simulating complex systems. The idea is to run parallel simulations at different temperatures, and at a given swap rate exchange configurations between the parallel…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-20 J. D. Doll , Paul Dupuis , Pierre Nyquist

Dynamical scaling and ageing in disordered systems far from equilibrium is reviewed. Particular attention is devoted to the question to what extent a recently introduced generalization of dynamical scaling to local scale-invariance can…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Malte Henkel , Michel Pleimling

In this paper we consider the statistics of repeated measurements on the output of a quantum Markov chain. We establish a large deviations result analogous to Sanov's theorem for the empirical measure associated to finite sequences of…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2015-06-22 Merlijn van Horssen , Madalin Guta

We show that the natural scaling of measurement for a particular problem defines the most likely probability distribution of observations taken from that measurement scale. Our approach extends the method of maximum entropy to use…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2010-03-02 Steven A. Frank , D. Eric Smith

We consider the problem of subspace estimation in situations where the number of available snapshots and the observation dimension are comparable in magnitude. In this context, traditional subspace methods tend to fail because the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-11-15 Pascal Vallet , Philippe Loubaton , Xavier Mestre

Much of statistics relies upon four key elements: a law of large numbers, a calculus to operationalize stochastic convergence, a central limit theorem, and a framework for constructing local approximations. These elements are…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-01-09 Anil Aswani

We prove large and moderate deviation principles for the distribution of an empirical mean conditioned by the value of the sum of discrete i.i.d. random variables. Some applications for combinatoric problems are discussed.

Probability · Mathematics 2007-07-11 Fabrice Gamboa , Thierry Klein , Clémentine Prieur

We revisit the problem of condensation for independent, identically distributed random variables with a power-law tail, conditioned by the value of their sum. For large values of the sum, and for a large number of summands, a condensation…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-03-03 Claude Godrèche

Denote by $\lambda_1(A), \ldots, \lambda_n(A)$ the eigenvalues of an $(n\times n)$-matrix $A$. Let $Z_n$ be an $(n\times n)$-matrix chosen uniformly at random from the matrix analogue to the classical $\ell_ p^n$-ball, defined as the set of…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-08-16 Zakhar Kabluchko , Joscha Prochno , Christoph Thaele

Survivorship analysis allows to statistically analyze situations that can be modeled as waiting times to an event. These waiting times are characterized by the cumulative hazard rate, which can be estimated by the Nelson-Aalen estimator or…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-07-04 Niklas Hohmann

The large deviations principle for the empirical measure for both continuous and discrete time Markov processes is well known. Various expressions are available for the rate function, but these expressions are usually as the solution to a…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-22 Paul Dupuis , Yufei Liu

Let $\{{\bf \mathcal{Z}}_n:n\geq 1\}$ be a sequence of i.i.d. random probability measures. Independently, for each $n\geq 1$, let $(X_{n1},\ldots, X_{nn})$ be a random vector of positive random variables that add up to one. This paper…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-24 Shui Feng

We develop a unified theory to analyze the microcanonical ensembles with several constraints given by unbounded observables. Several interesting phenomena that do not occur in the single constraint case can happen under the multiple…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-24 Kyeongsik Nam
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