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Superstatistics are superpositions of different statistics relevant for driven nonequilibrium systems with spatiotemporal inhomogeneities of an intensive variable (e.g., the inverse temperature). They contain Tsallis statistics as a special…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Hugo Touchette , Christian Beck

Singular statistical models arise whenever different parameter values induce the same distribution, leading to non-identifiability and a breakdown of classical asymptotic theory. While existing approaches analyze these phenomena in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-03 Sean Plummer

We introduce a generalization of the Adaptive Multilevel Splitting algorithm in the discrete time dynamic setting, namely when it is applied to sample rare events associated with paths of Markov chains. By interpreting the algorithm as a…

It is shown that the description of anomalous scaling in turbulent systems requires the simultaneous use of two normalization scales. This phenomenon stems from the existence of two independent (infinite) sets of anomalous scaling exponents…

chao-dyn · Physics 2009-10-28 Victor L'vov , Evgenii Podivilov , Itamar Procaccia

This paper studies quantitative deviation bounds for statistical ensembles evolving under the one-parameter flow of a nearly integrable Hamiltonian system. Combining Nekhoroshev-type stability estimates with phase-mixing arguments, we…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-02-23 Xinyu Liu , Yong Li

We study an inhomogeneous sparse random graph on [N] = {1, . . . , N } as introduced in a seminal paper by Bollobas, Janson and Riordan (2007): vertices have a type (here in a compact metric space S), and edges between different vertices…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-21 Luisa Andreis , Wolfgang König , Heide Langhammer , Robert I. A. Patterson

The Adaptive Multilevel Splitting algorithm is a very powerful and versatile iterative method to estimate the probability of rare events, based on an interacting particle systems. In an other article, in a so-called idealized setting, the…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-21 Charles-Edouard Bréhier , Ludovic Goudenège , Loic Tudela

Consider the Erd\H{o}s-Renyi random graph on n vertices where each edge is present independently with probability c/n, with c>0 fixed. For large n, a typical random graph locally behaves like a Galton-Watson tree with Poisson offspring…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-08 Charles Bordenave , Pietro Caputo

Self-normalized processes are basic to many probabilistic and statistical studies. They arise naturally in the the study of stochastic integrals, martingale inequalities and limit theorems, likelihood-based methods in hypothesis testing and…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Victor H. de la Peña , Michael J. Klass , Tze Leung Lai

A method is introduced for studying large deviations in the context of statistical physics of disordered systems. The approach, based on an extension of the cavity method to atypical realizations of the quenched disorder, allows us to…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-11 Olivier Rivoire

We define several new models for how to define anomalous regions among enormous sets of trajectories. These are based on spatial scan statistics, and identify a geometric region which captures a subset of trajectories which are…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2019-06-06 Michael Matheny , Dong Xie , Jeff M. Phillips

For finite size Markov chains, the Donsker-Varadhan theory fully describes the large deviations of the time averaged empirical measure. We are interested in the extension of the Donsker-Varadhan theory for a large size non-equilibrium…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-05-06 Thierry Bodineau , Benoit Dagallier

We prove a large deviation result for a random symmetric n x n matrix with independent identically distributed entries to have a few eigenvalues of size n. If the spectrum S survives when the matrix is rescaled by a factor of n, it can only…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-04-22 Sourav Chatterjee , S. R. S. Varadhan

A large deviations principle is established for the joint law of the empirical measure and the flow measure of a renewal Markov process on a finite graph. We do not assume any bound on the arrival times, allowing heavy tailed distributions.…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-02-18 Mauro Mariani , Lorenzo Zambotti

Scaling describes how a given quantity $Y$ that characterizes a system varies with its size $P$. For most complex systems it is of the form $Y\sim P^\beta$ with a nontrivial value of the exponent $\beta$, usually determined by regression…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-10-16 Marc Barthelemy

Asymmetric statistical errors arise for experimental results obtained by Maximum Likelihood estimation, in cases where the number of results is finite and the log likelihood function is not a symmetric parabola. This note discusses how…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 Roger Barlow

Recently, the concept of geometric renormalization group provides a good approach for studying the structural symmetry and functional invariance of complex networks. Along this line, we systematically investigate the finite-size scaling of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-09-15 Dan Chen , Housheng Su , Xiaofan Wang , Gui-Jun Pan , Guanrong Chen

We consider real-valued branching random walks and prove a large deviation result for the position of the rightmost particle. The position of the rightmost particle is the maximum of a collection of a random number of dependent random…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-06-27 Nina Gantert , Thomas Höfelsauer

Asteroseismic large frequency separations possess great diagnostic value. However, their expressions as scaling relations are predicated on homology arguments which may not hold in general, resulting in mass- and temperature-dependent…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2019-01-16 Joel Ong , Sarbani Basu

Let $\Xi$ be the adjacency matrix of an Erd\H{o}s-R\'enyi graph on $n$ vertices and with parameter $p$ and consider $A$ a $n\times n$ centered random symmetric matrix with bounded i.i.d. entries above the diagonal. When the mean degree $np$…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-23 Fanny Augeri