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We investigate the asymptotic behavior of several variants of the scan statistic applied to empirical distributions, which can be applied to detect the presence of an anomalous interval with any length. Of particular interest is Studentized…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-03-26 Andrew Ying , Wen-Xin Zhou

We study (asymmetric) $U$-statistics based on a stationary sequence of $m$-dependent variables; moreover, we consider constrained $U$-statistics, where the defining multiple sum only includes terms satisfying some restrictions on the gaps…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-03-10 Svante Janson

The pseudo-marginal algorithm is a variant of the Metropolis--Hastings algorithm which samples asymptotically from a probability distribution when it is only possible to estimate unbiasedly an unnormalized version of its density.…

Computation · Statistics 2019-12-04 Sebastian M. Schmon , George Deligiannidis , Arnaud Doucet , Michael K. Pitt

Extreme value statistics provides accurate estimates for the small occurrence probabilities of rare events. While theory and statistical tools for univariate extremes are well-developed, methods for high-dimensional and complex data sets…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-06 Sebastian Engelke , Jevgenijs Ivanovs

In this paper, we expand and generalize the findings presented in our previous work on the law of large numbers and the large deviation principle for Poisson processes with uniform catastrophes. We study three distinct scalings: sublinear…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-29 A. Logachov , O. Logachova , A. Yambartsev

The standard deviation (SD) quantifies the spread of the observed values on a measurement of an observable. In this paper, we study the distribution of SD among the different components of a superposition state. It is found that the SD of…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2016-12-20 Chang-shui Yu , Ting-ting Shao , Dong-mo Li

It is frequently asserted that in a chaotic system two initially close points will separate at an exponential rate governed by the largest global Lyapunov exponent. Local Lyapunov exponents, however, are more directly relevant to…

We show an extension of Sanov's theorem on large deviations, controlling the tail probabilities of i.i.d. random variables with matching concentration and anti-concentration bounds. This result has a general scope, applies to samples of any…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-12 Akshay Balsubramani

We present a method to determine the relative parameter mismatch in a collection of nearly identical chaotic oscillators by measuring large deviations from the synchronized state. We demonstrate our method with an ensemble of slightly…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2016-09-08 Jupiter Bagaipo , Juan G. Restrepo

We study large deviations for the current of one-dimensional stochastic particle systems with periodic boundary conditions. Following a recent approach based on an earlier result by Jensen and Varadhan, we compare several candidates for…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-10-02 Paul Chleboun , Stefan Grosskinsky , Andrea Pizzoferrato

A model of the passive vector quantity advected by a Gaussian time-decorrelated self-similar velocity field is studied; the effects of pressure and large-scale anisotropy are discussed. The inertial-range behavior of the pair correlation…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-11-07 L. Ts. Adzhemyan , N. V. Antonov , A. V. Runov

We define two minimum distance estimators for dependent data by minimizing some approximated Maximum Mean Discrepancy distances between the true empirical distribution of observations and their assumed (parametric) model distribution. When…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-19 Pierre Alquier , Jean-David Fermanian , Benjamin Poignard

Turbulence is known to show intermittency. That is, statistical properties vary with the length scale in a way not accounted for by statistical similarity where dimensionless ratios of moments are constant. Intermittency occurs even in the…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2007-05-23 Mogens V. Melander , Bruce R. Fabijonas

The theory of large deviations is concerned with the exponential decay of probabilities of large fluctuations in random systems. These probabilities are important in many fields of study, including statistics, finance, and engineering, as…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-08-20 Hugo Touchette

We calculate universal finite-size scaling functions for systems with an n-component order parameter and algebraically decaying interactions. Just as previously has been found for short-range interactions, this leads to a singular…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Erik Luijten

In this paper, we consider asymptotic behaviors of multiscale multivalued stochastic systems with small noises. First of all, for general, fully coupled systems for multivalued stochastic differential equations of slow and fast motions with…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-30 Huijie Qiao

For regularized distributions we establish stability of the characterization of the normal law in Cramer's theorem with respect to the total variation norm and the entropic distance. As part of the argument, Sapogov-type theorems are…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-04-14 S. G. Bobkov , G. P. Chistyakov , F. Götze

Classical change point analysis aims at (1) detecting abrupt changes in the mean of a possibly non-stationary time series and at (2) identifying regions where the mean exhibits a piecewise constant behavior. In many applications however, it…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-17 Axel Bücher , Holger Dette , Florian Heinrichs

We construct the generalized entropy optimized by a given arbitrary statistical distribution with a finite linear expectation value of a random quantity of interest. This offers, via the maximum entropy principle, a unified basis for a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Sumiyoshi Abe

Anomalous scaling in the statistics of an active scalar in homogeneous turbulent convection is studied using a dynamical shell model. We extend refined similarity ideas for homogeneous and isotropic turbulence to homogeneous turbulent…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-11-13 Emily S. C. Ching , W. C. Cheng