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The lilypond model on a point process in $d$-space is a growth-maximal system of non-overlapping balls centred at the points. We establish central limit theorems for the total volume and the number of components of the lilypond model on a…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-08-05 Guenter Last , Mathew D. Penrose

The paper establishes the central limit theorems and proposes how to perform valid inference in factor models. We consider a setting where many counties/regions/assets are observed for many time periods, and when estimation of a global…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-06-22 Stanislav Anatolyev , Anna Mikusheva

Compound Poisson distributions and signed compound Poisson measures are used for approximation of the Markov binomial distribution. The upper and lower bound estimates are obtained for the total variation, local and Wasserstein norms. In a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-11-29 V. Čekanavičius , P. Vellaisamy

We study asymptotic properties of supercritical Galton-Watson (GW) branching processes in the asymptotic where the mean of the offspring distribution approaches 1 from above. We show that the population-size distribution of the GW branching…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-05 Kyoya Uemura , Tomoyuki Obuch , Toshiyuki Tanaka

We consider full counting statistics of spin in matrix product states. In particular, we study the approach to gaussian distribution for magnetization. We derive the asymptotic corrections to the central limit theorem for magnetization…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-09-21 Yifei Shi , Israel Klich

We consider a discrete-time version of a Hawkes process defined as a Poisson auto-regressive process whose parameters depend on the past of the trajectory. We allow these parameters to take on negative values, modelling inhibition. More…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-02-19 Manon Costa , Pascal Maillard , Anthony Muraro

The goal of this paper is to analyse the asymptotic behavior of the cycle process and the total number of cycles of weighted and generalized weighted random permutations which are relevant models in physics and which extend the Ewens…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-05-13 Ashkan Nikeghbali , Dirk Zeindler

It is known that the number of points in the largest cluster of a percolating Poisson process restricted to a large finite box is asymptotically normal. In this note, we establish a rate of convergence for the statement. As each point in…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-09-08 Tiffany Y. Y. Lo , Aihua Xia

We study point processes that consist of certain centers of point tuples of an underlying Poisson process. Such processes arise in stochastic geometry in the study of exceedances of various functionals describing geometric properties of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-12-26 Moritz Otto

We overview results on the topic of Poisson approximation that are missed in existing surveys. The topic of Poisson approximation to the distribution of a sum of integer-valued random variables is presented as well. We do not restrict…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-04-12 S. Y. Novak

In this paper we prove scalar and sample path large deviation principles for a large class of Poisson cluster processes. As a consequence, we provide a large deviation principle for ergodic Hawkes point processes.

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Charles Bordenave , Giovanni Luca Torrisi

We show how a central limit theorem for Poisson model random polygons implies a central limit theorem for uniform model random polygons. To prove this implication, it suffices to show that in the two models, the variables in question have…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-08-14 John Pardon

We examine a generalization of the binomial distribution associated with a strictly increasing sequence of numbers and we prove its Poisson-like limit. Such generalizations might be found in quantum optics with imperfect detection. We…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2015-05-28 E. M. F. Curado , J. P. Gazeau , Ligia M. C. S. Rodrigues

We derive an asymptotic expansion for the distribution of a compound sum of independent random variables, all having the same light-tailed subexponential distribution. The examples of a Poisson and geometric number of summands serve as an…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Ph . Barbe , W. P. McCormick , C. Zhang

This paper discusses infill asymptotics for logistic regression estimators for spatio-temporal point processes whose intensity functions are of log-linear form. We establish strong consistency and asymptotic normality for the parameters of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-08-26 M. N. M. van Lieshout , C. Lu

We consider a linear mixed-effects model with a clustered structure, where the parameters are estimated using maximum likelihood (ML) based on possibly unbalanced data. Inference with this model is typically done based on asymptotic theory,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-03-30 Chih-Hao Chang , Hsin-Cheng Huang , Ching-Kang Ing

A common assumption when modeling queuing systems is that arrivals behave like a Poisson process with constant parameter. In practice, however, call arrivals are often observed to be significantly overdispersed. This motivates that in this…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-03-07 Mariska Heemskerk , Julia Kuhn , Michel Mandjes

We present sufficient conditions for sums of dependent point processes to converge in distribution to a Poisson process. This extends the classical result of Grigelionis [Theory Probab. Appl. 8 (1963) 172--182] for sums of uniformly null…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Matthew O. Jones , Richard F. Serfozo

Count data are omnipresent in many applied fields, often with overdispersion. With mixtures of Poisson distributions representing an elegant and appealing modelling strategy, we focus here on how the tail behaviour of the mixing…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-05-29 Samuel Valiquette , Gwladys Toulemonde , Jean Peyhardi , Éric Marchand , Frédéric Mortier

We consider disjoint and sliding blocks estimators of cluster indices for multivariate, regularly varying time series in the Peak-over-Threshold framework. We aim to provide a complete description of the limiting behaviour of these…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-09-07 Zaoli Chen , Rafał Kulik