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We consider stationary configurations of points in Euclidean space which are marked by positive random variables called scores. The scores are allowed to depend on the relative positions of other points and outside sources of randomness.…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-25 Bojan Basrak , Ilya Molchanov , Hrvoje Planinić

In this paper we consider a compound Poisson risk model with regularly varying claim sizes. For this model in [1] an asymptotic formula for the finite time ruin probability is provided when the time is scaled by the mean excess function. In…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-12-13 Søren Asmussen , Dominik Kortschak

Frequentists' inference often delivers point estimators associated with confidence intervals or sets for parameters of interest. Constructing the confidence intervals or sets requires understanding the sampling distributions of the point…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-10-18 Xinran Li , Peng Ding

In this paper, the asymptotic behavior of the entrance probability of discounted aggregate claims of a certain family of rare sets is studied, considering the finite and infinite time horizons. This multivariate risk model, driven by a…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-11 Dimitrios G. Konstantinides , Charalampos D. Passalidis , Hui Xu

The Poisson distribution of order $k$ is a special case of a compound Poisson distribution. Its mean and variance are known, but results for its median and mode are difficult to obtain, although a few cases have been solved and upper/lower…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-09-28 S. R. Mane

We prove exponential moments for linear combinations of the number of individuals of each type of a whole multitype Poissonian Galton Watson process. We give sharp estimates for such quantities, which depend on the expectation of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-14 Théo Leblanc

We consider multi-class systems of interacting nonlinear Hawkes processes modeling several large families of neurons and study their mean field limits. As the total number of neurons goes to infinity we prove that the evolution within each…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-10-04 Susanne Ditlevsen , Eva Löcherbach

In this paper we examine a multivariate risk model, with common renewal counting process, constant interest rate, and each claim vector is accompanied by a random number of delayed claim vectors. The interest is focused on the asymptotic…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-13 Dimitrios G. Konstantinides , Charalampos D. Passalidis , Meng Yuan

The call auction is a widely used trading mechanism, especially during the opening and closing periods of financial markets. In this paper, we study a standard call auction problem where orders are submitted according to Poisson processes,…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2019-07-15 Ioane Muni Toke

This paper investigates the asymptotic behavior of the Multi-set Allocation Occupancy (MAO) distribution, which models the count vector $X=(X_{=0},\ldots,X_{=T})$ from $T$ independent rounds of sampling without replacement of size $m$ from…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-24 Xing-gang Mao

In this paper, we study a multidimensional risk model with a common renewal process and in the presence of a constant interest force. The claim sizes are independent and identically distributed random vectors, with the distribution of…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-24 Dimitrios G. Konstantinides , Jiajun Liu , Charalampos D. Passalidis

We determine the asymptotic distribution of the sum of correlated variables described by a matrix product ansatz with finite matrices, considering variables with finite variances. In cases when the correlation length is finite, the law of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-01-08 Florian Angeletti , Eric Bertin , Patrice Abry

In this paper we determine bounds and exact asymptotics of the ruin probability for risk process with arrivals given by a linear marked Hawkes process. We consider the light-tailed and heavy-tailed case of the claim sizes. Main technique is…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-07 Zbigniew Palmowski , Simon Pojer , Stefan Thonhauser

The tail of the distribution of a sum of a random number of independent and identically distributed nonnegative random variables depends on the tails of the number of terms and of the terms themselves. This situation is of interest in the…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-10 Christian Y. Robert , Johan Segers

This paper obtains an asymptotic formula for the finite-time ruin probability of the compound nonhomogeneous Poisson risk model with a constant interest force, in which the claims are conditionally independent random variables with a common…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-30 Hui Xu , Fengyang Cheng

Classical peaks over threshold analysis is widely used for statistical modeling of sample extremes, and can be supplemented by a model for the sizes of clusters of exceedances. Under mild conditions a compound Poisson process model allows…

Applications · Statistics 2016-08-14 Mária Süveges , Anthony C. Davison

It is shown how the central limit theorem for U-statistics of spatial Poisson point processes can help to derive the central limit theorem for U-statistics of a Gibbs facet process from stochastic geometry. A full-dimensional submodel…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-03 Jakub Vecera , Viktor Benes

The extremal tail probabilities of moving sums in a marked Poisson random field is examined here. These sums are computed by adding up the weighted occurrences of events lying within a scanning set of fixed shape and size. Change of measure…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-08-22 Hock Peng Chan

A compound Poisson process whose parameters are all unknown is observed at finitely many equispaced times. Nonparametric estimators of the jump and L\'evy distributions are proposed and functional central limit theorems using the uniform…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-02-06 Alberto J. Coca

We consider stochastic processes arising from dynamical systems simply by evaluating an observable function along the orbits of the system and study marked point processes associated to extremal observations of such time series…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-07-07 Ana Cristina Moreira Freitas , Jorge Milhazes Freitas , Mário Magalhães