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We present a mixture Poisson model for claims counts in which the number of components in the mixture are estimated by reversible jump MCMC methods.

Applications · Statistics 2010-12-22 Garfield Brown , Steve Brooks , Winston Buckley

This paper studies the properties of the Multiply Iterated Poisson Process (MIPP), a stochastic process constructed by repeatedly time-changing a Poisson process, and its applications in ruin theory. Like standard Poisson processes, MIPPs…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-13 Dongdong Hu , Svetlozar T. Rachev , Hasanjan Sayit , Hailiang Yang , Yildiray Yildirim

The Markov-modulated Poisson process is utilised for count modelling in a variety of areas such as queueing, reliability, network and insurance claims analysis. In this paper, we extend the Markov-modulated Poisson process framework through…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-08-06 Benjamin Avanzi , Greg Taylor , Bernard Wong , Alan Xian

We obtain a Poisson Limit for return times to small sets for product systems. Only one factor is required to be hyperbolic while the second factor is only required to satisfy polynomial deviation bounds for ergodic sums. In particular, the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-12-13 Max Auer

The results in this paper provide new information on asymptotic properties of classical models: the neutral Kingman coalescent under a general finite-alleles, parent-dependent mutation mechanism, and its generalisation, the ancestral…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-08 Martina Favero , Henrik Hult

The generalized Poisson distribution is well known to be a compound Poisson distribution with Borel summands. As a generalization we present closed formulas for compound Bartlett and Delaporte distributions with Borel summands and a…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-14 Helmut Finner , Peter Kern , Marsel Scheer

We investigate random partitions of complete graphs defined by Poissonian emsembles of Markov loops

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-19 Yves Le Jan

This paper studies the joint moments of a compound discounted renewal process observed at different times with each arrival removed from the system after a random delay. This process can be used to describe the aggregate (discounted)…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-10 Eric Cheung , Landy Rabehasaina , Jae-Kyung Woo , Ran Xu

Consider two insurance companies (or two branches of the same company) that divide between them both claims and premia in some specified proportions. We model the occurrence of claims according to a renewal process. One ruin problem…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-01-16 Florin Avram , Zbigniew Palmowski , Martijn R. Pistorius

We study randomly stopped sums via their asymptotic scales. First, finiteness of moments is considered. To generalise this study, asymptotic scales applicable to the class of all heavy-tailed random variables are used. The stopping is…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-05-12 Jaakko Lehtomaa

We study expectation values of matrix elements for boundary values of the resolvent as well as the density of states for a random Schr\"odinger operator with potential distributed according to a Poisson process. Asymptotic expansions for…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2022-08-23 David Hasler , Jannis Koberstein

We have established a sparse estimation method for the generalized exponential marked Hawkes process by the penalized method to the ordinary method (P-O) estimator. Furthermore, we evaluated the probability of correct variable selection. In…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-04-08 Masatoshi Goda

This paper establishes asymptotic results for the maximum likelihood and restricted maximum likelihood (REML) estimators of the parameters in the nested error regression model for clustered data when both of the number of independent…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-01-25 Ziyang Lyu , A. H. Welsh

Hayes equivalence is defined on monic polynomials over a finite field $\fq$ in terms of the prescribed leading coefficients and the residue classes modulo a given monic polynomial $Q$. We study the distribution of the number of zeros in a…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2024-01-09 Zhicheng Gao

In this paper, we prove a conditional limit theorem for independent not necessarily identically distributed random variables. Namely, we obtain the asymptotic distribution of a large number of them given the sum.

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-12 Dimbihery Rabenoro

A validated simulation model primarily requires performing an appropriate input analysis mainly by determining the behavior of real-world processes using probability distributions. In many practical cases, probability distributions of the…

Applications · Statistics 2014-03-05 Issac Shams , Saeede Ajorlou , Kai Yang

We study local normal forms for completely integrable systems on Poisson manifolds in the presence of additional symmetries. The symmetries that we consider are encoded in actions of compact Lie groups. The existence of Weinstein's…

Symplectic Geometry · Mathematics 2015-07-30 Camille Laurent-Gengoux , Eva Miranda

This paper deals with the union set of a stationary Poisson process of cylinders in $\mathbb{R}^n$ having an $(n-m)$-dimensional base and an $m$-dimensional direction space, where $m\in\{0,1,\ldots,n-1\}$ and $n\geq 2$. The concept…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-11-09 Carina Betken , Matthias Schulte , Christoph Thäle

We propose an aproach for asymptotic analysis of plane partition statistics related to counts of parts whose sizes exceed a certain suitably chosen level. In our study, we use the concept of conjugate trace of a plane partition of the…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2022-03-15 Ljuben Mutafchiev

In this paper, we revisit the classical results on the generalized St. Petersburg sums. We determine the limit distribution of the St. Petersburg sum conditioning on its maximum, and we analyze how the limit depends on the value of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-16 Gábor Fukker , László Györfi , Péter Kevei
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