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Epidemiologic studies and clinical trials with a survival outcome are often challenged by immortal time (IMT), a period of follow-up during which the survival outcome cannot occur because of the observed later treatment initiation. It has…

Applications · Statistics 2022-02-08 Jiping Wang , Peter Peduzzi , Michael Wininger , Shuangge Ma

Many areas of research are characterised by the deluge of large-scale highly-dimensional time-series data. However, using the data available for prediction and decision making is hampered by the current lag in our ability to uncover and…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-11-24 Zina Ibrahim , Honghan Wu , Richard Dobson

Analysis of longitudinal Electronic Health Record (EHR) data is an important goal for precision medicine. Difficulty in applying Machine Learning (ML) methods, either predictive or unsupervised, stems in part from the heterogeneity and…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2022-04-18 Alan D. Kaplan , Uttara Tipnis , Jean C. Beckham , Nathan A. Kimbrel , David W. Oslin , Benjamin H. McMahon

Conventional survival analysis approaches estimate risk scores or individualized time-to-event distributions conditioned on covariates. In practice, there is often great population-level phenotypic heterogeneity, resulting from (unknown)…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-03-03 Paidamoyo Chapfuwa , Chunyuan Li , Nikhil Mehta , Lawrence Carin , Ricardo Henao

Accurate prediction of clinical outcomes using Electronic Health Records (EHRs) is critical for early intervention, efficient resource allocation, and improved patient care. EHRs contain multimodal data, including both structured data and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-29 Rituparna Datta , Jiaming Cui , Zihan Guan , Vishal G. Reddy , Joshua C. Eby , Gregory Madden , Rupesh Silwal , Anil Vullikanti

Machine learning systems show significant promise for forecasting patient adverse events via risk scores. However, these risk scores implicitly encode assumptions about future interventions that the patient is likely to receive, based on…

Early prediction of patients at risk of clinical deterioration can help physicians intervene and alter their clinical course towards better outcomes. In addition to the accuracy requirement, early warning systems must make the predictions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-16 Ibrahim Hammoud , Prateek Prasanna , IV Ramakrishnan , Adam Singer , Mark Henry , Henry Thode

The development of respiratory failure is common among patients in intensive care units (ICU). Large data quantities from ICU patient monitoring systems make timely and comprehensive analysis by clinicians difficult but are ideal for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-13 Matthias Hüser , Martin Faltys , Xinrui Lyu , Chris Barber , Stephanie L. Hyland , Tobias M. Merz , Gunnar Rätsch

Time elapsed till an event of interest is often modeled using the survival analysis methodology, which estimates a survival score based on the input features. There is a resurgence of interest in developing more accurate prediction models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-23 Navid Seidi , Ardhendu Tripathy , Sajal K. Das

Timely prediction of clinically critical events in Intensive Care Unit (ICU) is important for improving care and survival rate. Most of the existing approaches are based on the application of various classification methods on explicitly…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-12-05 Jwala Dhamala , Emmanuel Azuh , Abdullah Al-Dujaili , Jonathan Rubin , Una-May O'Reilly

Sepsis is an important cause of mortality, especially in intensive care unit (ICU) patients. Developing novel methods to identify early mortality is critical for improving survival outcomes in sepsis patients. Using the MIMIC-III database,…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2021-12-03 Jiyoung Shin , Yikuan Li , Yuan Luo

In many important applications of precision medicine, the outcome of interest is time to an event (e.g., death, relapse of disease) and the primary goal is to identify the optimal individualized decision rule (IDR) to prolong survival time.…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-11 Yu Zhou , Lan Wang , Rui Song , Tuoyi Zhao

Background Predicting mortality and resource utilization from electronic health records (EHRs) is challenging yet crucial for optimizing patient outcomes and managing costs in intensive care unit (ICU). Existing approaches predominantly…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-08-29 Yucheng Ruan , Xiang Lan , Daniel J. Tan , Hairil Rizal Abdullah , Mengling Feng

To date, developing a good model for early intensive care unit (ICU) mortality prediction is still challenging. This paper presents a patient based predictive modeling framework (PPMF) to improve the performance of ICU mortality prediction…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-05-02 Mohammad Amin Morid , Olivia R. Liu Sheng , Samir Abdelrahman

Within the intensive care unit (ICU), a wealth of patient data, including clinical measurements and clinical notes, is readily available. This data is a valuable resource for comprehending patient health and informing medical decisions, but…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-13 Ryan King , Tianbao Yang , Bobak Mortazavi

Intensive Care Units usually carry patients with a serious risk of mortality. Recent research has shown the ability of Machine Learning to indicate the patients' mortality risk and point physicians toward individuals with a heightened need…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-03 Korbinian Randl , Núria Lladós Armengol , Lena Mondrejevski , Ioanna Miliou

Survival analysis is a hotspot in statistical research for modeling time-to-event information with data censorship handling, which has been widely used in many applications such as clinical research, information system and other fields with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-14 Kan Ren , Jiarui Qin , Lei Zheng , Zhengyu Yang , Weinan Zhang , Lin Qiu , Yong Yu

This study proposes a risk prediction method based on a Multi-Scale Temporal Alignment Network (MSTAN) to address the challenges of temporal irregularity, sampling interval differences, and multi-scale dynamic dependencies in Electronic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-27 Wei-Chen Chang , Lu Dai , Ting Xu

Forest-based methods have recently gained in popularity for non-parametric treatment effect estimation. Building on this line of work, we introduce causal survival forests, which can be used to estimate heterogeneous treatment effects in a…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-01 Yifan Cui , Michael R. Kosorok , Erik Sverdrup , Stefan Wager , Ruoqing Zhu

Survival regression aims to predict the time when an event of interest will take place, typically a death or a failure. A fully parametric method [18] is proposed to estimate the survival function as a mixture of individual parametric…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-25 Qinxin Wang , Jiayuan Huang , Junhui Li , Jiaming Liu