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In recent years, there has been growing interest in causal machine learning estimators for quantifying subject-specific effects of a binary treatment on time-to-event outcomes. Estimation approaches have been proposed which attenuate the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-30 Matthew Pryce , Karla Diaz-Ordaz , Ruth H. Keogh , Stijn Vansteelandt

The Intensive Care Unit (ICU) is one of the most important parts of a hospital, which admits critically ill patients and provides continuous monitoring and treatment. Various patient outcome prediction methods have been attempted to assist…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-24 Yuxi Liu , Zhenhao Zhang , Shaowen Qin , Flora D. Salim , Antonio Jimeno Yepes , Jun Shen , Jiang Bian

Early recognition of risky trajectories during an Intensive Care Unit (ICU) stay is one of the key steps towards improving patient survival. Learning trajectories from physiological signals continuously measured during an ICU stay requires…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-24 Tiago Alves , Alberto Laender , Adriano Veloso , Nivio Ziviani

We propose a semiparametric data fusion framework for efficient inference on survival probabilities by integrating right-censored and current status data. Existing data fusion methods focus largely on fusing right-censored data only, while…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-15 Xiudi Li , Sijia Li

Existing metrics in competing risks survival analysis such as concordance and accuracy do not evaluate a model's ability to jointly predict the event type and the event time. To address these limitations, we propose a new metric, which we…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-08-20 Kartik Ahuja , Mihaela van der Schaar

Databases derived from electronic health records (EHRs) are commonly subject to left truncation, a type of selection bias induced due to patients needing to survive long enough to satisfy certain entry criteria. Standard methods to adjust…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-01 Arjun Sondhi

Heart attack remain one of the greatest contributors to mortality in the United States and globally. Patients admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU) with diagnosed heart attack (myocardial infarction or MI) are at higher risk of death.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-11 Munib Mesinovic , Peter Watkinson , Tingting Zhu

Automatically discovering personalized trajectories (i.e., sequential event patterns) from longitudinal EHR data is crucial for enabling precision medicine in clinical research, yet it remains a formidable challenge even for contemporary AI…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-28 Jia Li , Yu Hou , Rui Zhang

Application of discrete-time survival methods for continuous-time survival prediction is considered. For this purpose, a scheme for discretization of continuous-time data is proposed by considering the quantiles of the estimated event-time…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-16 Håvard Kvamme , Ørnulf Borgan

When data are right-censored, i.e. some outcomes are missing due to a limited period of observation, survival analysis can compute the "time to event". Multiple classes of outcomes lead to a classification variant: predicting the most…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-06-21 Julie Alberge , Vincent Maladière , Olivier Grisel , Judith Abécassis , Gaël Varoquaux

Predicting relative risk (RR) of spatial clusters is a complex task in public health that can be achieved through various statistical and machine-learning methods for different time intervals. However, high-resolution longitudinal data is…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-23 Lyza Iamrache , Kamel Rekab , Majid Bani-Yagoub , Julia Pluta , Abdelghani Mehailia

In situations where it is difficult to enroll patients in randomized controlled trials, external data can improve efficiency and feasibility. In such cases, adaptive trial designs could be used to decrease enrollment in the control arm of…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-02 Brian D. Segal , W. Katherine Tan

In clinical settings, we often face the challenge of building prediction models based on small observational data sets. For example, such a data set might be from a medical center in a multi-center study. Differences between centers might…

It is not clear how to target patients who are most likely to benefit from digital care management programs ex-ante, a shortcoming of current risk score based approaches. This study focuses on defining impactability by identifying those…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2019-05-16 Heather Mattie , Patrick Reidy , Patrik Bachtiger , Emily Lindemer , Mohammad Jouni , Trishan Panch

Survival random forest is a popular machine learning tool for modeling censored survival data. However, there is currently no statistically valid and computationally feasible approach for estimating its confidence band. This paper proposes…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-27 Sarah Elizabeth Formentini , Wei Liang , Ruoqing Zhu

Accurate predictions, as with machine learning, may not suffice to provide optimal healthcare for every patient. Indeed, prediction can be driven by shortcuts in the data, such as racial biases. Causal thinking is needed for data-driven…

Survival analysis, a vital tool for predicting the time to event, has been used in many domains such as healthcare, criminal justice, and finance. Like classification tasks, survival analysis can exhibit bias against disadvantaged groups,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-05 Tianyang Xie , Yong Ge

In healthcare, patient risk stratification models are often learned using time-series data extracted from electronic health records. When extracting data for a clinical prediction task, several formulations exist, depending on how one…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-12-03 Eli Sherman , Hitinder Gurm , Ulysses Balis , Scott Owens , Jenna Wiens

Epileptic seizure prediction has gained considerable interest in the computational Epilepsy research community. This paper presents a Machine Learning based method for epileptic seizure prediction which outperforms state-of-the art methods.…

Medical Physics · Physics 2021-06-09 Remy Ben Messaoud , Mario Chavez

Balanced representation learning methods have been applied successfully to counterfactual inference from observational data. However, approaches that account for survival outcomes are relatively limited. Survival data are frequently…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-03-04 Paidamoyo Chapfuwa , Serge Assaad , Shuxi Zeng , Michael J. Pencina , Lawrence Carin , Ricardo Henao
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