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Neighborhood selection is a widely used method used for estimating the support set of sparse precision matrices, which helps determine the conditional dependence structure in undirected graphical models. However, reporting only point…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-29 Yiling Huang , Snigdha Panigrahi , Walter Dempsey

This paper introduces a new sparse spatio-temporal structured Gaussian process regression framework for online and offline Bayesian inference. This is the first framework that gives a time-evolving representation of the interdependencies…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-08-01 Danil Kuzin , Olga Isupova , Lyudmila Mihaylova

Complex behaviour in many systems arises from the stochastic interactions of spatially distributed particles or agents. Stochastic reaction-diffusion processes are widely used to model such behaviour in disciplines ranging from biology to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-08-23 David Schnoerr , Ramon Grima , Guido Sanguinetti

Sparse linear regression is a central problem in high-dimensional statistics. We study the correlated random design setting, where the covariates are drawn from a multivariate Gaussian $N(0,\Sigma)$, and we seek an estimator with small…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2023-05-29 Jonathan Kelner , Frederic Koehler , Raghu Meka , Dhruv Rohatgi

The analysis of space-time data from complex, real-life phenomena requires the use of flexible and physically motivated covariance functions. In most cases, it is not possible to explicitly solve the equations of motion for the fields or…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-06-29 Dionissios T. Hristopulos , Ivi C. Tsantili

Sparse latent multi-factor models have been used in many exploratory and predictive problems with high-dimensional multivariate observations. Because of concerns with identifiability, the latent factors are almost always assumed to be…

Applications · Statistics 2013-12-09 Vinicius Diniz Mayrink , Joseph Edward Lucas

Many modern spatial models express the stochastic variation component as a basis expansion with random coefficients. Low rank models, approximate spectral decompositions, multiresolution representations, stochastic partial differential…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-02-20 Mitchell Krock , William Kleiber , Stephen Becker

Gaussian graphical models are used for determining conditional relationships between variables. This is accomplished by identifying off-diagonal elements in the inverse-covariance matrix that are non-zero. When the ratio of variables (p) to…

Applications · Statistics 2018-08-07 Donald R. Williams , Juho Piironen , Aki Vehtari , Philippe Rast

Graph neural networks are often used to model interacting dynamical systems since they gracefully scale to systems with a varying and high number of agents. While there has been much progress made for deterministic interacting systems,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-04 Andreas Look , Melih Kandemir , Barbara Rakitsch , Jan Peters

We propose a novel sparse spatiotemporal dynamic generalized linear model for efficient inference and prediction of bicycle count data. Assuming Poisson distributed counts with spacetime-varying rates, we model the log-rate using…

Accurate spatio-temporal information about the current situation is crucial for smart city applications such as modern routing algorithms. Often, this information describes the state of stationary resources, e.g. the availability of parking…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-04-19 Lukas Rottkamp , Matthias Schubert

A generator of spatio-temporal pseudo-random Gaussian fields that satisfy the "proportionality of scales" property (Tsyroulnikov, 2001) is presented. The generator is based on a third-order in time stochastic differential equation with a…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-05-15 Michael Tsyrulnikov , Dmitry Gayfulin

Approximate Bayesian inference methods that scale to very large datasets are crucial in leveraging probabilistic models for real-world time series. Sparse Markovian Gaussian processes combine the use of inducing variables with efficient…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-10 William J. Wilkinson , Arno Solin , Vincent Adam

Gaussian process is a theoretically appealing model for nonparametric analysis, but its computational cumbersomeness hinders its use in large scale and the existing reduced-rank solutions are usually heuristic. In this work, we propose a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-11-25 Leo L. Duan , Xia Wang , Rhonda D. Szczesniak

Spatio-temporal problems exist in many areas of knowledge and disciplines ranging from biology to engineering and physics. However, solution strategies based on classical statistical techniques often fall short due to the large number of…

Applications · Statistics 2017-06-15 Emil B. Iversen , Rune Juhl , Jan K. Møller , Jan Kleissl , Henrik Madsen , Juan M. Morales

We address the problem of robust sparse estimation of the precision matrix for heavy-tailed distributions in high-dimensional settings. In such high-dimensional contexts, we observe that the covariance matrix can be approximated by a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-06 Zhengke Lu , Long Feng

The pattern of zero entries in the inverse covariance matrix of a multivariate normal distribution corresponds to conditional independence restrictions between variables. Covariance selection aims at estimating those structural zeros from…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-16 Nicolai Meinshausen , Peter Bühlmann

For uncertainty propagation of highly complex and/or nonlinear problems, one must resort to sample-based non-intrusive approaches [1]. In such cases, minimizing the number of function evaluations required to evaluate the response surface is…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-12-04 Anindya Bhaduri , Lori Graham-Brady

Spatial transcriptomics measures the expression of thousands of genes in a tissue sample while preserving its spatial structure. This class of technologies has enabled the investigation of the spatial variation of gene expressions and their…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-23 Andrea Sottosanti , Davide Risso , Francesco Denti

We consider the estimation of large covariance and precision matrices from high-dimensional sub-Gaussian or heavier-tailed observations with slowly decaying temporal dependence. The temporal dependence is allowed to be long-range so with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-12-23 Hai Shu , Bin Nan