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Generative modeling of spatio-temporal fields is crucial for a variety of applications, including stochastic weather generators and climate-model surrogates. However, many such fields exhibit complex dependence structures that vary across…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-06 Carrie J. Lei-Cramer , Jian Cao , Matthias Katzfuss

Spatial prediction problems often use Gaussian process models, which can be computationally burdensome in high dimensions. Specification of an appropriate covariance function for the model can be challenging when complex non-stationarities…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-13 Qi Wang , Paul A. Parker , Robert B. Lund

Spatial data are often derived from multiple sources (e.g. satellites, in-situ sensors, survey samples) with different supports, but associated with the same properties of a spatial phenomenon of interest. It is common for predictors to…

Finite Gaussian mixture models are widely used for model-based clustering of continuous data. Nevertheless, since the number of model parameters scales quadratically with the number of variables, these models can be easily…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-25 Michael Fop , Thomas Brendan Murphy , Luca Scrucca

Stochastic parameterisations deployed in models of the Earth system frequently invoke locality assumptions such as Markovianity or spatial locality. This work highlights the impact of such assumptions on predictive performance. Both in…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-08-12 Martin T. Brolly

Spatial data display correlation between observations collected at neighboring locations. Generally, machine and deep learning methods either do not account for this correlation or do so indirectly through correlated features and thereby…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-08 Matthew J. Heaton , Andrew Millane , Jake S. Rhodes

Modeling data with non-stationary covariance structure is important to represent heterogeneity in geophysical and other environmental spatial processes. In this work, we investigate a multistage approach to modeling non-stationary…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-05 Ashton Wiens , Douglas Nychka , William Kleibe

High-dimensional spatially correlated covariates are common in regression models encountered in environmental sciences and other fields. In such models, the regression coefficients often exhibit a sparse structure with spatial dependence.…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-08 Zihan Zhu , Xueying Tang , Shuang Zhou

In this paper, we consider modelling interaction between a set of variables in the context of time series and high dimension. We suggest two approaches. The first is similar to the neighborhood lasso when the lasso model is replaced by a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-08-05 Kamel Jebreen , Badih Ghattas

High-dimensional matrix and tensor time series often exhibit local dependency, where each entry interacts mainly with a small neighborhood. Accounting for local interactions in a prediction model can greatly reduce the dimensionality of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-13 Jingyang Li , Yang Chen

As the role played by statistical and computational sciences in climate and environmental modelling and prediction becomes more important, Machine Learning researchers are becoming more aware of the relevance of their work to help tackle…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-23 Federico Amato , Fabian Guignard , Sylvain Robert , Mikhail Kanevski

We introduce a methodology to construct parsimonious probabilistic models. This method makes use of Information Filtering Networks to produce a robust estimate of the global sparse inverse covariance from a simple sum of local inverse…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-02-21 Wolfram Barfuss , Guido Previde Massara , T. Di Matteo , Tomaso Aste

It is well-known that the statistical performance of Lasso can suffer significantly when the covariates of interest have strong correlations. In particular, the prediction error of Lasso becomes much worse than computationally inefficient…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-26 Jonathan Kelner , Frederic Koehler , Raghu Meka , Dhruv Rohatgi

Learning the relationships between various entities from time-series data is essential in many applications. Gaussian graphical models have been studied to infer these relationships. However, existing algorithms process data in a batch at a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-04 Tong Yao , Shreyas Sundaram

Spatio-temporal forecasting is challenging attributing to the high nonlinearity in temporal dynamics as well as complex location-characterized patterns in spatial domains, especially in fields like weather forecasting. Graph convolutions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-14 Haitao Lin , Zhangyang Gao , Yongjie Xu , Lirong Wu , Ling Li , Stan. Z. Li

Predicting the response at an unobserved location is a fundamental problem in spatial statistics. Given the difficulty in modeling spatial dependence, especially in non-stationary cases, model-based prediction intervals are at risk of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-09 Huiying Mao , Ryan Martin , Brian Reich

The performance of wireless networks is fundamentally limited by the aggregate interference, which depends on the spatial distributions of the interferers, channel conditions, and user traffic patterns (or queueing dynamics). These factors…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2021-08-13 Xiao Lu , Mohammad Salehi , Martin Haenggi , Ekram Hossain , and Hai Jiang

Inference for spatial generalized linear mixed models (SGLMMs) for high-dimensional non-Gaussian spatial data is computationally intensive. The computational challenge is due to the high-dimensional random effects and because Markov chain…

Computation · Statistics 2018-10-09 Yawen Guan , Murali Haran

The conditional extremes framework allows for event-based stochastic modeling of dependent extremes, and has recently been extended to spatial and spatio-temporal settings. After standardizing the marginal distributions and applying an…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-26 Emma S. Simpson , Thomas Opitz , Jennifer L. Wadsworth

In distributed-parameter inverse problems in computational mechanics, spatially varying fields are inferred from noisy, indirect, and heterogeneous observations. The relevant identifiability question concerns which spatial perturbation…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-05-28 Tammam Bakeer