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Surrogate-modelling techniques including Polynomial Chaos Expansion (PCE) is commonly used for statistical estimation (aka. Uncertainty Quantification) of quantities of interests obtained from expensive computational models. PCE is a…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2019-09-05 Alexander Tarakanov , Ahmed H. Elsheikh

This survey paper focuses on the estimation schemes in molecular communication (MC) systems. The existing studies in estimation schemes can be divided into parameter estimation (e.g., distance, diffusion coefficient, and flow velocity) and…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-07-20 Xinyu Huang , Yuting Fang , Nan Yang

We study a chemical kinetic system with uncertainty modeling a gene regulatory network in biology. Specifically, we consider a system of two equations for the messenger RNA and micro RNA content of a cell. Our target is to provide a simple…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-10-17 Pierre Degond , Shi Jin , Yuhua Zhu

Knowing the uncertainty in a prediction is critical when making expensive investment decisions and when patient safety is paramount, but machine learning (ML) models in drug discovery typically provide only a single best estimate and ignore…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-03 Stanley E. Lazic , Dominic P. Williams

A cognitive radio system has the ability to observe and learn from the environment, adapt to the environmental conditions, and use the radio spectrum more efficiently. However, due to multipath fading, shadowing, or varying channel…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-01-20 Fatima Salahdine , Naima Kaabouch , Hassan Ghazi

This paper presents a data-driven framework for uncertainty propagation under unmeasured or statistically unmodeled (unstructured) disturbances. We consider residual disturbances, which consolidate all unstructured disturbances into a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-18 Guanru Pan , Dirk Reinhardt , Sebastien Gros , Timm Faulwasser

Uncertainty principles for concentration of signals into truncated subspaces are considered. The ``classic'' uncertainty principle is explored as a special case of a more general operator framework. The time-bandwidth concentration problem…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2007-07-13 Ram Somaraju , Leif W. Hanlen

The use of high-dimensional regression techniques from machine learning has significantly improved the quantitative accuracy of interatomic potentials. Atomic simulations can now plausibly target quantitative predictions in a variety of…

Materials Science · Physics 2025-03-04 Danny Perez , Aparna P. A. Subramanyam , Ivan Maliyov , Thomas D. Swinburne

Extended Kalman Filtering (EKF) can be used to propagate and quantify input uncertainty through a Deep Neural Network (DNN) assuming mild hypotheses on the input distribution. This methodology yields results comparable to existing methods…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-09-18 Jessica S. Titensky , Hayden Jananthan , Jeremy Kepner

Mathematical models of real life phenomena are highly nonlinear involving multiple parameters and often exhibiting complex dynamics. Experimental data sets are typically small and noisy, rendering estimation of parameters from such data…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2017-05-11 Abhirup Ghosh , Samit Bhattacharyya , Somdatta Sinha , Amit Apte

In this article we study the problem of quantifying the uncertainty in an experiment with a technical system. We propose new density estimates which combine observed data of the technical system and simulated data from an (imperfect)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-21 Sebastian Kersting , Michael Kohler

Quantifying and reducing uncertainty in Earth system model parameterizations is essential to improving their reliability in decision-making. Forward uncertainty propagation is used to derive parameter sensitivity but requires physically…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-04-22 Ethan YoungIn Shin , Baris Kale , Michael F. Howland

In this work, receiver diversity in advection-dominated diffusion-advection channels is investigated. Strong directed flow fundamentally alters the communication-theoretic properties of molecular communication systems (MC). Specifically,…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-02-02 Fatih Merdan , Ozgur B. Akan

The Polynomial Chaos Expansion (PCE) technique recovers a finite second order random variable exploiting suitable linear combinations of orthogonal polynomials which are functions of a given stochas- tic quantity {\xi}, hence acting as a…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-10-31 Luca Di Persio , Michele Bonollo , Gregorio Pellegrini

Analysis of signal fluctuations of a locally fixed probe, caused by molecules diffusing under the probe, can be used to determine diffusion coefficients. Theoretical treatments so far have been limited to point-like particles or to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-18 Susanne Hahne , Philipp Maass

In this contribution, we discuss the construction of Polynomial Chaos surrogates for Monte Carlo radiation transport applications via non-intrusive spectral projection. This contribution focuses on improvements with respect to the approach…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-03-19 Gianluca Geraci , Kayla Clements , Aaron J Olson

Molecular communication (MC) is a promising paradigm for applications where traditional electromagnetic communications are impractical. However, decoding chemical signals, especially in multi-transmitter systems, remains a key challenge due…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-11-05 Vivien Walter , Dadi Bi , Daniel L. Ruiz Blanco , Yansha Deng

We consider the problem of adaptive modulation for wideband DS-CDMA Rayleigh fading channels with imperfect channel state information (CSI). We assume a multidimensional signal subspace spanned by a collection of random spreading codes…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2007-07-13 Richard J. Barton

A multifidelity method for the nonlinear propagation of uncertainties in the presence of stochastic accelerations is presented. The proposed algorithm treats the uncertainty propagation (UP) problem by separating the propagation of the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-08-19 Alberto Fossà , Roberto Armellin , Emmanuel Delande , Francesco Sanfedino

Methods based on polynomial chaos expansion allow to approximate the behavior of systems with uncertain parameters by deterministic dynamics. These methods are used in a wide range of applications, spanning from simulation of uncertain…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-11-28 Tillmann Mühlpfordt , Rolf Findeisen , Veit Hagenmeyer , Timm Faulwasser
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