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Modelling uncertainty in Machine Learning models is essential for achieving safe and reliable predictions. Most research on uncertainty focuses on output uncertainty (predictions), but minimal attention is paid to uncertainty at inputs. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-28 Matias Valdenegro-Toro , Ivo Pascal de Jong , Marco Zullich

Accurate modeling of contamination in subsurface flow and water aquifers is crucial for agriculture and environmental protection. Here, we demonstrate a parallel method to quantify the propagation of the uncertainty in the dispersal of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-05-07 Alexander Litvinenko , Dmitry Logashenko , Raul Tempone , Gabriel Wittum , David Keyes

A system of interacting particles described by stochastic differential equations is considered. As oppopsed to the usual model, where the noise perturbations acting on different particles are independent, here the particles are subject to…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2016-06-23 Michele Coghi , Franco Flandoli

In this work, we develop a kinetic model of tumour growth taking into account the effects of clinical uncertainties characterising the tumours' progression. The action of therapeutic protocols trying to steer the tumours' volume towards a…

This paper studies the impact of a transmitter's molecule generation process on the capacity of a concentration based Molecular Communication (MC) system. Constraints caused by the molecule generation process affect the availability of the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-02-27 Hamid G. Bafghi , Amin Gohari , Mahtab Mirmohseni , Masoumeh Nasiri-Kenari

Sources of uncertainty are reviewed for calculated atomic and molecular data that are important for plasma modeling: atomic and molecular structure and cross sections for electron-atom, electron-molecule, and heavy particle collisions. We…

Polynomial chaos expansions (PCE) are well-suited to quantifying uncertainty in models parameterized by independent random variables. The assumption of independence leads to simple strategies for evaluating PCE coefficients. In contrast,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-05-04 John Jakeman , Fabian Franzelin , Akil Narayan , Michael Eldred , Dirk Plfueger

Computational cardiac modelling is a mature area of biomedical computing, and is currently evolving from a pure research tool to aiding in clinical decision making. Assessing the reliability of computational model predictions is a key…

Computational Physics · Physics 2018-01-10 Rocío Rodríguez-Cantano , Joakim Sundnes , Marie E. Rognes

Uncertainty quantification is critical in scientific inverse problems to distinguish identifiable parameters from those that remain ambiguous given available measurements. The Conditional Diffusion Model-based Inverse Problem Solver (CDI)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-27 Dmitrii Torbunov , Yihui Ren , Lijun Wu , Yimei Zhu

The authors present a Polynomial Chaos (PC)-based Bayesian inference method for quantifying the uncertainties of the K-Profile Parametrization (KPP) within the MIT General Circulation Model (MITgcm) of the tropical pacific. The inference of…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-12-21 Ihab Sraj , Sarah E. Zedler , Omar M. Knio , Charles S. Jackson , Ibrahim Hoteit

Diffusion is the macroscopic manifestation of disordered molecular motion. Mathematically, diffusion equations are partial differential equations describing the fluid-like large-scale dynamics of parcels of molecules. Spatially…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2018-10-26 F. Sattin , A. Bonato , L. Salasnich

Methods of communications using chaotic signals use an ability of a chaos generator (encoder) and matched response system (decoder) to behave identically despite the instability of chaotic oscillations. Chaotic oscillations cover a wide…

chao-dyn · Physics 2009-09-25 Nikolai F. Rulkov , Lev S. Tsimring

Information delivery using chemical molecules is an integral part of biology at multiple distance scales and has attracted recent interest in bioengineering and communication. The collective signal strength at the receiver (i.e., the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-08-04 Yansha Deng , Adam Noel , Weisi Guo , Arumugam Nallanathan , Maged Elkashlan

This work introduces capacity limits for molecular timing (MT) channels, where information is modulated in the release timing of small information particles, and decoded from the time of arrivals at the receiver. It is shown that the random…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-04-05 Nariman Farsad , Yonathan Murin , Andrew Eckford , Andrea Goldsmith

The design and analysis of diffusive molecular communication systems generally requires knowledge of the environment's physical and chemical properties. Furthermore, prospective applications might rely on the timely detection of changes in…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-11-20 Adam Noel , Karen C. Cheung , Robert Schober

In this paper, we consider discrete-time non-linear stochastic dynamical systems with additive process noise in which both the initial state and noise distributions are uncertain. Our goal is to quantify how the uncertainty in these…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-05-19 Steven Adams , Eduardo Figueiredo , Luca Laurenti

Polynomial chaos expansion (PCE) is a versatile tool widely used in uncertainty quantification and machine learning, but its successful application depends strongly on the accuracy and reliability of the resulting PCE-based response…

Computation · Statistics 2023-06-14 Paul-Christian Bürkner , Ilja Kröker , Sergey Oladyshkin , Wolfgang Nowak

Uncertainty propagation in non-linear dynamical systems has become a key problem in various fields including control theory and machine learning. In this work we focus on discrete-time non-linear stochastic dynamical systems. We present a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-12 Eduardo Figueiredo , Andrea Patane , Morteza Lahijanian , Luca Laurenti

Atomistic simulations often rely on interatomic potentials to access greater time- and length- scales than those accessible to first principles methods such as density functional theory (DFT). However, since a parameterised potential…

Materials Science · Physics 2024-10-08 I. R. Best , T. J. Sullivan , J. R. Kermode

Verification solutions for uncertainty quantification are presented for time dependent transport problems where $c$, the scattering ratio, is uncertain. The method of polynomial chaos expansions is employed for quick and accurate…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2023-12-19 William Bennett , Ryan G. McClarren
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