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We study the epidemic spreading on spatial networks where the probability that two nodes are connected decays with their distance as a power law. As the exponent of the distance dependence grows, model networks smoothly transition from the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-02-03 Matúš Medo

What is the long-time behavior of the law of a contact process started with a single infected site, distributed according to counting measure on the lattice? This question is related to the configuration as seen from a typical infected site…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-05-30 Anja Sturm , Jan M. Swart

We introduce an interacting particle system that models the spread of an epidemic in terms of heterogeneous diffusive dynamics, rather than exogenous contact and transmission rates at the population level as in classical compartmental…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-20 Eliana Fausti , Andreas Sojmark

Acute infectious diseases are transmitted over networks of social contacts. Epidemic models are used to predict the spread of emergent pathogens and compare intervention strategies. Many of these models assume equal probability of contact…

Applications · Statistics 2016-11-25 Gail E. Potter , Niel Hens

We study the Susceptible-Infected-Recovered model in complex networks, considering that not all individuals in the population interact in the same way between them. This heterogeneity between contacts is modeled by a continuous disorder. In…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-01-01 C. Buono , C. Lagorio , P. A. Macri , L. A. Braunstein

The ordinary contact process is used to model the spread of a disease in a population. In this model, each infected individual waits an exponentially distributed time with parameter 1 before becoming healthy. In this paper, we introduce and…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-11-10 Erik I. Broman

The integration of empirical data in computational frameworks to model the spread of infectious diseases poses challenges that are becoming pressing with the increasing availability of high-resolution information on human mobility and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-04-24 Anna Machens , Francesco Gesualdo , Caterina Rizzo , Alberto E Tozzi , Alain Barrat , Ciro Cattuto

Motile organisms can form stable agglomerates such as cities or colonies. In the outbreak of a highly contagious disease, the control of large-scale epidemic spread depends on factors like the number and size of agglomerates, travel rate…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-04-03 Pablo de Castro , Felipe Urbina , Ariel Norambuena , Francisca Guzmán-Lastra

The stacked contact process is a three-state spin system that describes the co-evolution of a population of hosts together with their symbionts. In a nutshell, the hosts evolve according to a contact process while the symbionts evolve…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-06 Eric Foxall , Nicolas Lanchier

In this article, we proposed a susceptible-infected model with identical infectivity, in which, at every time step, each node can only contact a constant number of neighbors. We implemented this model on scale-free networks, and found that…

Biological Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Tao Zhou , Jian-Guo Liu , Wen-Jie Bai , Guanrong Chen , Bing-Hong Wang

We investigate the spatial dynamics of two disease epidemics reaching a three-species cyclic model. Regardless of their species, all individuals are susceptible to being infected with two different pathogens, which spread through…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-06-05 J. Menezes , E. Rangel

This paper studies a variant of the multi-type contact process as a model for the competition between cooperators and defectors on integer lattices. Regardless of their type, individuals die at rate one. Defectors give birth at a fixed rate…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-05-17 Nicolas Lanchier

Human to human transmissible infectious diseases spread in a population using human interactions as its transmission vector. The early stages of such an outbreak can be modeled by a graph whose edges encode these interactions between…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-06-11 Goncalo Oliveira

We study the phase transition phenomena for long-range oriented percolation and contact process. We studied a contact process in which the range of each vertex are independent, updated dynamically and given by some distribution $N$. We also…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-03 Pablo A. Gomes , Bernardo N. B. de Lima

The primary tool for predicting infectious disease spread and intervention effectiveness is the mass action Susceptible-Infected-Recovered model of Kermack and McKendrick. Its usefulness derives largely from its conceptual and mathematical…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-09-03 Joel C. Miller , Anja C. Slim , Erik M. Volz

An epidemic model with births and deaths is considered on a two dimensional LxL lattice. Each individual can have global infective contacts according to the standard SIR model rules or local infective contacts with its nearest neighbors. We…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-22 Alberto Maltz , Gabriel Fabricius

To understand the contact patterns of a population -- who is in contact with whom, and when the contacts happen -- is crucial for modeling outbreaks of infectious disease. Traditional theoretical epidemiology assumes that any individual can…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-10-22 Petter Holme

Contacts between individuals play an important role in determining how infectious diseases spread. Various methods to gather data on such contacts co-exist, from surveys to wearable sensors. Comparisons of data obtained by different methods…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-04-18 Julie Fournet , Alain Barrat

The frequent emergence of diseases with the potential to become threats at local and global scales, such as influenza A(H1N1), SARS, MERS, and recently COVID-19 disease, makes it crucial to keep designing models of disease propagation and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-08-27 I. A. Perez , M. A. Di Muro , C. E. La Rocca , L. A. Braunstein

We study the contact process on a random bipartite connection hypergraph generated from two Poisson point processes, with mark-dependent connection thresholds. For asymmetric infection rates and asymmetric power law tail decays of the two…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-02 John Fernley , Christian Hirsch , Daniel Valesin
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