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The gray-box modeling approach, which uses a semi-physical thermal network model, has been widely used in building prediction applications, such as model predictive control (MPC). However, unmeasured disturbances, such as occupants,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-12-08 Sang woo Ham , Donghun Kim

Phase diagrams serve as a highly informative tool for materials design, encapsulating information about the phases that a material can manifest under specific conditions. In this work, we develop a method in which Bayesian inference is…

Materials Science · Physics 2023-09-06 Timofei Miryashkin , Olga Klimanova , Vladimir Ladygin , Alexander Shapeev

Due to the climate change debate, a lot of research and maps of external climate parameters are available. However, maps of indoor climate performance parameters are still lacking. This paper presents a methodology for obtaining maps of…

Computational Physics · Physics 2012-05-17 A. W. M. van Schijndel

Heat, Ventilation and Air Conditioning (HVAC) systems play a critical role in maintaining a comfortable thermal environment and cost approximately 40% of primary energy usage in the building sector. For smart energy management in buildings,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-22 Dafang Zhao , Zheng Chen , Zhengmao Li , Xiaolei Yuan , Ittetsu Taniguchi

A two-dimensional model is proposed for energy efficiency assessment through the simulation of heat transfer in building envelopes, considering the influence of the surrounding environment. The model is based on the \DF ~approach that…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2021-11-18 Julien Berger , Suelen Gasparin , Walter Mazuroski , Nathan Mendes

When a mathematical or computational model is used to analyse some system, it is usual that some parameters resp.\ functions or fields in the model are not known, and hence uncertain. These parametric quantities are then identified by…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-07-01 Hermann G. Matthies , Elmar Zander , Bojana Rosic , Alexander Litvinenko

The estimation of wall thermal properties by \emph{in situ} measurement enables to increase the reliability of the model predictions for building energy efficiency. Nevertheless, retrieving the unknown parameters has an important…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2021-11-18 Julien Berger , Benjamin Kadoch

Procedural material models have been gaining traction in many applications thanks to their flexibility, compactness, and easy editability. We explore the inverse rendering problem of procedural material parameter estimation from…

Graphics · Computer Science 2025-04-22 Yu Guo , Milos Hasan , Lingqi Yan , Shuang Zhao

Accurate prediction of dynamical response of structural system depends on the correct modeling of that system. However, modeling becomes increasingly challenging when there are many candidate models available to describe the system…

Applications · Statistics 2025-10-06 Subhayan De , Tianhao Yu , Patrick T. Brewick , Erik A. Johnson , Steven F. Wojtkiewicz

Controlling building electric loads could alleviate the increasing grid strain caused by the adoption of renewables and electrification. However, current approaches that automatically setback thermostats on the hottest day compromise their…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2025-02-14 SungKu Kang , Kunind Sharma , Maharshi Pathak , Emily Casavant , Katherine Bassett , Misha Pavel , David Fannon , Michael Kane

Computer models are widely used to study complex real world physical systems. However, there are major limitations to their direct use including: their complex structure; large numbers of inputs and outputs; and long evaluation times.…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-05 Jonathan Owen , Ian Vernon

Urbanization of an area is known to increase the temperature of the surrounding area. This phenomenon -- a so-called urban heat island (UHI) -- occurs at a local level over a period of time and has lasting impacts for historical data…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-30 Candace Berrett , Brianne Gurney , David Arthur , Todd Moon , Gus P. Williams

Projections of future climate change rely heavily on climate models, and combining climate models through a multi-model ensemble is both more accurate than a single climate model and valuable for uncertainty quantification. However,…

Applications · Statistics 2020-02-27 Huang Huang , Dorit Hammerling , Bo Li , Richard Smith

Model predictive control of residential air conditioning could reduce energy costs and greenhouse gas emissions while maintaining or improving occupants' thermal comfort. However, most approaches to predictive air conditioning control…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-17 Elias N. Pergantis , Parveen Dhillon , Levi D. Reyes Premer , Alex H. Lee , Davide Ziviani , Kevin J. Kircher

Statistical methods are required to evaluate and quantify the uncertainty in environmental processes, such as land and sea surface temperature, in a changing climate. Typically, annual harmonics are used to characterize the variation in the…

Applications · Statistics 2020-03-17 Joshua S. North , Erin M. Schliep , Christopher K. Wikle

In this paper, we develop a time-varying parameter based seasonally-adjusted Bayesian state-space model for non-stationary time series datasets where both the trend and seasonal components are present and it is the general scenario for most…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-12-08 Arnab Hazra

As people spend up to 87% of their time indoors, intelligent Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning (HVAC) systems in buildings are essential for maintaining occupant comfort and reducing energy consumption. These HVAC systems in smart…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-08-09 Shichao Xu , Yangyang Fu , Yixuan Wang , Zheng O'Neill , Qi Zhu

Thermal comfort inside buildings is a well-studied field where human judgment for thermal comfort is collected and may be used for automatic thermal comfort estimation. However, indoor scenarios are rather static in terms of thermal state…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2024-05-22 Mark Colley , Sebastian Hartwig , Albin Zeqiri , Timo Ropinski , Enrico Rukzio

Dynamical systems modeling, particularly via systems of ordinary differential equations, has been used to effectively capture the temporal behavior of different biochemical components in signal transduction networks. Despite the recent…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2023-01-06 Nathaniel J. Linden , Boris Kramer , Padmini Rangamani

Energy demand prediction is critical for grid operators, industrial energy consumers, and service providers. Energy demand is influenced by multiple factors, including weather conditions (e.g. temperature, humidity, wind speed, solar…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-12-18 Chutian Ma , Grigorii Pomazkin , Giacinto Paolo Saggese , Paul Smith