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The automated localisation of damage in structures is a challenging but critical ingredient in the path towards predictive or condition-based maintenance of high value structures. The use of acoustic emission time of arrival mapping is a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-11 Matthew R Jones , Timothy J Rogers , Elizabeth J Cross

We present a solution for modeling and online identification for heating, ventilation, and air conditioning (HVAC) control in buildings. Our approach comprises: (a) a resistance-capacitance (RC) model based on first order energy balance for…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-11-21 Saman Mostafavi , Harish Doddi , Krishna Kalyanam , David Schwartz

Any experiment with climate models relies on a potentially large set of spatio-temporal boundary conditions. These can represent both the initial state of the system and/or forcings driving the model output throughout the experiment. Whilst…

Applications · Statistics 2023-12-22 Lachlan Astfalck , Daniel Williamson , Niall Gandy , Lauren Gregoire , Ruza Ivanovic

Data-driven modeling and control of temperature dynamics in mechatronics systems and industrial processes are challenging control engineering problems. This is mainly because the temperature dynamics is inherently infinite-dimensional,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-08-08 Aleksandar Haber

Uncertainty in the prediction of future weather is commonly assessed through the use of forecast ensembles that employ a numerical weather prediction model in distinct variants. Statistical postprocessing can correct for biases in the…

Applications · Statistics 2016-06-16 Annette Möller , Thordis L. Thorarinsdottir , Alex Lenkoski , Tilmann Gneiting

Three decades into the research seeking to derive the urban energy budget, the dynamics of the thermal exchange between the densely built infrastructure and the environment are still not well understood. We present a novel hybrid…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2017-08-29 Masoud Ghandehari , Thorsten Emig , Milad Aghamohamadnia

Phase transitions are ubiquitous across life, yet hard to quantify and describe accurately. In this work, we develop an approach for characterizing generic attributes of phase transitions from very limited observations made deep within…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-08-30 Lukas Herron , Kinjal Mondal , John S. Schneekloth , Pratyush Tiwary

Given uncertainties in physical theory and numerical climate simulations, the historical temperature record is often used as a source of empirical information about climate change. Many historical trend analyses appear to deemphasize…

Applications · Statistics 2017-05-16 Andrew Poppick , Elisabeth J. Moyer , Michael L. Stein

Pervasive across diverse domains, stochastic systems exhibit fluctuations in processes ranging from molecular dynamics to climate phenomena. The Langevin equation has served as a common mathematical model for studying such systems, enabling…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-05-01 Youngkyoung Bae , Seungwoong Ha , Hawoong Jeong

The fidelity of a model relies both on its accuracy to predict the physical phenomena and its capability to estimate unknown parameters using observations. This article focuses on this second aspect by analyzing the reliability of two…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2020-02-20 Julien Berger , Denys Dutykh

The designer's preoccupation to reduce the energy needs and get a better thermal quality of ambiances helped in the development of several packages simulating the dynamic behaviour of buildings. This paper shows the adaptation of a method…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2012-12-26 H. Boyer , J. P. Chabriat , B. Grondin-Perez , C. Tourrand , J. Brau

A bioclimatic approach to designing comfortable buildings in hot and humid tropical regions requires, firstly, some preliminary, important work on the building envelope to limit the energy contributions, and secondly, an airflow…

General Physics · Physics 2012-12-24 Alain Bastide , Alfred Jean Philippe Lauret , François Garde , Harry Boyer

With extreme weather events becoming more common, the risk posed by surface water flooding is ever increasing. In this work we propose a model, and associated Bayesian inference scheme, for generating probabilistic (high-resolution…

The development of current building energy system operation has benefited from: 1. Informational support from the optimal design through simulation or first-principles models; 2. System load and energy prediction through machine learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-22 Xia Chen , Xiaoye Cai , Alexander Kümpel , Dirk Müller , Philipp Geyer

A system responding to a stochastic driving signal can be interpreted as computing, by means of its dynamics, an implicit model of the environmental variables. The system's state retains information about past environmental fluctuations,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2012-10-09 Susanne Still , David A. Sivak , Anthony J. Bell , Gavin E. Crooks

Mathematical models can provide quantitative insight into immunoreceptor signaling, but require parameterization and uncertainty quantification before making reliable predictions. We review currently available methods and software tools to…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2019-06-28 Eshan D. Mitra , William S. Hlavacek

Geological process models simulate a range of dynamic processes to evolve a base topography into a final 2D cross-section or 3D geological scenario. In principle, process parameters may be updated to better align with observed geophysical…

Geophysics · Physics 2023-08-04 Hugo Bloem , Andrew Curtis , Daniel Tetzlaff

We introduce state-space models where the functionals of the observational and the evolutionary equations are unknown, and treated as random functions evolving with time. Thus, our model is nonparametric and generalizes the traditional…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-02-24 Anurag Ghosh , Soumalya Mukhopadhyay , Sandipan Roy , Sourabh Bhattacharya

Thermal conditions in the urban canopy exhibit stochastic variability driven by varied radiative fluxes and turbulent wind fields, requiring probabilistic rather than deterministic prediction methods. This study presents a probabilistic…

Applied Physics · Physics 2025-12-10 Shisheng Chen , Ruohan Xu , Nyuk Hien Wong , Shanshan Tong , Jiashuo Wang , Matthaios Santamouris

Any organism is embedded in an environment that changes over time. The timescale for and statistics of environmental change, the precision with which the organism can detect its environment, and the costs and benefits of particular protein…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2023-07-19 David A. Sivak , Matt Thomson
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