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In this paper, we consider semi-Markov processes whose transition times and transition probabilities depend on a small parameter $\varepsilon$. Understanding the asymptotic behavior of such processes is needed in order to study the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-08 Leonid Koralov , Ishfaaq Mohammed Imtiyas

A tight upper bound is given on the distribution of the maximum of a supermartingale. Specifically, it is shown that if $Y$ is a semimartingale with initial value zero and quadratic variation process $[Y,Y]$ such that $Y + [Y,Y]$ is a…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-08-15 Bruce Hajek

In this paper we introduce the concept of conic martingales}. This class refers to stochastic processes having the martingale property, but that evolve within given (possibly time-dependent) boundaries. We first review some results about…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-25 Frédéric Vrins , Monique Jeanblanc

We consider stochastic population processes that are almost surely absorbed at the origin within finite time. Our interest is in the quasistationary distribution, $\boldsymbol{u}$, and the expected time, $\tau$, from quasistationarity to…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-11 Damian Clancy

In this paper, we introduce a targeted exploration strategy for the non-asymptotic, finite-time case. The proposed strategy is applicable to uncertain linear time-invariant systems subject to sub-Gaussian disturbances. As the main result,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-17 Janani Venkatasubramanian , Johannes Köhler , Frank Allgöwer

We use the mean exit time to quantify macroscopic dynamical behaviors of stochastic dynamical systems driven by tempered L\'evy fluctuations, which are solutions of nonlocal elliptic equations. Firstly, we construct a new numerical scheme…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-10-22 Yanjie Zhang , Xiao Wang , Jinqiao Duan

We are interested in the quasi-stationarity of the time-inhomogeneous Markov process X t = B t (t + 1) $\kappa$ where (B t) t$\ge$0 is a one-dimensional Brownian motion and $\kappa$ $\in$ (0, $\infty$). We first show that the law of X t…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-13 William Oçafrain

We show that for a wide class of functions $F$ that: $$ {\lim_{\epsilon \downarrow 0} {\frac{1}{\epsilon}} \int_0^t \Big\{F(s, X_s) - F(s, X_s - \epsilon)\Big\} d\big<X,X\big>_s} = - \int_0^t\int_{\R} F(s, x) d L_s^x $$ where $X_t$ is a…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Raouf Ghomrasni

We investigate the concept of an asymptotic e-process, which is a doubly-indexed stochastic process $(E_{m,n})_{m,n\in\mathbb{N}}$ that possesses, asymptotically for an approximation index $m\to\infty$, the properties of an e-process along…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-25 Pierre-François Massiani , Sebastian Schulze , Mattes Mollenhauer

We discuss the existence and characterization of quasi-stationary distributions and Yaglom limits of self-similar Markov processes that reach 0 in finite time. By Yaglom limit, we mean the existence of a deterministic function $g$ and a…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-01-10 Bénédicte Haas , Víctor Manuel Rivero

This paper is concerned with asymptotic behavior of a variety of functionals of increments of continuous semimartingales. Sampling times are assumed to follow a rather general discretization scheme. If an underlying semimartingale is…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-04 Michael Levine , Xiaoguang Wang , Jian Frank Zou

In the recent paper \cite{DESZ}, the notion of $\mathscr{Y}^{g,\xi}$-submartingale processes has been introduced. Within a jump-diffusion model, we prove here that a process $X$ which satisfies the simultaneous…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-04-11 Roxana Dumitrescu

We prove that the rescaled costs of partial match queries in a random two-dimensional quadtree converge almost surely towards a random limit which is identified as the terminal value of a martingale. Our approach shares many similarities…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-09-27 Nicolas Curien

We consider a class of multitype Galton-Watson branching processes with a countably infinite type set $\mathcal{X}_d$ whose mean progeny matrices have a block lower Hessenberg form. For these processes, the probability $\boldsymbol{q}(A)$…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-09 Peter Braunsteins , Sophie Hautphenne

This paper is about statistical properties of quasistatic dynamical systems. These are a class of non-stationary systems that model situations where the dynamics change very slowly over time due to external influence. We focus on the case…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2018-07-05 Juho Leppänen

In this paper we study a family of nonlinear (conditional) expectations that can be understood as a stochastic process with uncertain parameters. We develop a general framework which can be seen as a version of the martingale problem method…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-04 David Criens

We study the exit time $\tau=\tau_{(0,\infty)}$ for 1-dimensional strictly stable processes and express its Laplace transform at $t^\alpha$ as the Laplace transform of a positive random variable with explicit density. Consequently, $\tau$…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-03-23 Piotr Graczyk , Tomasz Jakubowski

In a previous paper, we proved that for any submartingale $(X_t)_{t \geq 0}$ of class $(\Sigma)$, defined on a filtered probability space $(\Omega, \mathcal{F}, \mathbb{P}, (\mathcal{F}_t)_{t \geq 0})$, which satisfies some technical…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-12-25 Joseph Najnudel , Ashkan Nikeghbali

We consider the passage time problem for L\'evy processes, emphasising heavy tailed cases. Results are obtained under quite mild assumptions, namely, drift to $-\infty$ a.s. of the process, possibly at a linear rate (the finite mean case),…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-24 Ron Doney , Claudia Klüppelberg , Ross Maller

This paper introduce the notion of output contraction that expands the contraction notion to the time-varying nonlinear systems with output. It pertains to the systems' property that any pair of outputs from the system converge to each…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-12-12 Hao Yin , Bayu Jayawardhana , Stephan Trenn