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For a subcritical Galton-Watson process $(\zeta_n)$, it is well known that under an $X \log X$ condition, the quotient $P(\zeta_n > 0)/ E\zeta_n$ has a finite positive limit. There is an analogous result for a (one-dimensional)…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Jean Bertoin , Alain Rouault

The emergence of the exit events from a bounded domain containing a stable fixed point induced by non-Gaussian L\'evy fluctuations plays a pivotal role in practical physical systems. In the limit of weak noise, we develop a Hamiltonian…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-15 Yang Li , Jinqiao Duan , Xianbin Liu , Yanxia Zhang

Through a straightforward Bayesian approach we show that under some general conditions a maximum running time, namely the number of discrete steps performed by a computer program during its execution, can be defined such that the…

History and Overview · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Germano D'Abramo

In a previous work, we associated with any submartingale $X$ of class $(\Sigma)$, defined on a filtered probability space $(\Omega, \mathcal{F}, \mathbb{P}, (\mathcal{F}_t)_{t \geq 0})$ satisfying some technical conditions, a…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-11-16 Joseph Najnudel , Ashkan NIkeghbali

We derive a nonparametric higher-order asymptotic expansion for small-time changes of conditional characteristic functions of It\^o semimartingale increments. The asymptotics setup is of joint type: both the length of the time interval of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-02-12 Carsten H. Chong , Viktor Todorov

We extend the class of semimartingales in a natural way. This allows us to incorporate processes having paths that leave the state space R^d. In particular Markov processes related to sub-Markovian kernels, but also non-Markovian processes…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-04-18 Alexander Schnurr

Given the univariate marginals of a real-valued, continuous-time martingale, (respectively, a family of measures parameterised by $t \in [0,T]$ which is increasing in convex order, or a double continuum of call prices) we construct a family…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-15 David Hobson

We study an intermittent quasistatic dynamical system composed of nonuniformly hyperbolic Pomeau--Manneville maps with time-dependent parameters. We prove an ergodic theorem which shows almost sure convergence of time averages in a certain…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-06-22 Juho Leppänen , Mikko Stenlund

In this paper, we study the stability and convergence of some general quadratic semimartingales. Motivated by financial applications, we study simultaneously the semimartingale and its opposite. Their characterization and integrability…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-06-18 Pauline Barrieu , Nicole El Karoui

Quantum transitions are described semiclassically as motions of systems along (complex) trajectories. We consider the cases when the semiclassical trajectories are unstable and find that durations of the corresponding transitions are large.…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2013-05-29 D. G. Levkov , A. G. Panin

We investigate the supports of extremal martingale measures with pre-specified marginals in a two-period setting. First, we establish in full generality the equivalence between the extremality of a given measure $Q$ and the denseness in…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-03-08 Luciano Campi , Claude Martini

Stochastic treatments of magnetic resonance spectroscopy and optical spectroscopy require evaluations of functions like <exp(i int_0^t Q(s)ds)>, where t is time, Q(s) is the value of a stochastic process at time s, and the angular brackets…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2015-06-05 Daniel M Packwood , Yoshitaka Tanimura

In this note we connect the notion of solutions of a martingale problem to the notion of a strongly continuous and locally equi-continuous semigroup on the space of bounded continuous functions equipped with the strict topology. This…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-01 Richard C. Kraaij

For control systems in discrete time, this paper discusses measure-theoretic invariance entropy for a subset Q of the state space with respect to a quasi-stationary measure obtained by endowing the control range with a probability measure.…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2018-04-05 Fritz Colonius

We propose two nonparametric tests for investigating the pathwise properties of a signal modeled as the sum of a L\'{e}vy process and a Brownian semimartingale. Using a nonparametric threshold estimator for the continuous component of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-04-25 Rama Cont , Cecilia Mancini

We develop a general approach of the almost sure central limit theorem for the quasi-continuous vectorial martingales and we release a quadratic extension of this theorem while specifying speeds of convergence. As an application of this…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-08-06 Faouzi Chaabane , Ahmed Kebaier

We study the Escape Problem for discrete-time linear dynamical systems over compact semialgebraic sets. We establish a uniform upper bound on the number of iterations it takes for every orbit of a rational matrix to escape a compact…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2022-08-08 Julian D'Costa , Engel Lefaucheux , Eike Neumann , Joël Ouaknine , James Worrell

For Markov processes with absorption, we provide general criteria ensuring the existence and the exponential non-uniform convergence in total variation norm to a quasi-stationary distribution. We also characterize a subset of its domain of…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-24 Nicolas Champagnat , Denis Villemonais

Lower bounds for persistence probabilities of stationary Gaussian processes in discrete time are obtained under various conditions on the spectral measure of the process. Examples are given to show that the persistence probability can decay…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-02 Krishna M. , Manjunath Krishnapur

Let us consider a signed measure $\Qv$ and a probability measure $\Pv$ such that $\Qv<<\Pv$. Let $D$ be the density of $\Qv$ with respect to $\Pv$. $H$ represents the set of zeros of $D$, $\bar{g}=0\vee\sup{H}$. In this paper, we shall…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-07-11 Fulgence Eyi Obiang , Youssef Ouknine , Octave Moutsinga