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This paper presents the nonparametric inference for nonlinear volatility functionals of general multivariate It\^o semimartingales, in high-frequency and noisy setting. Pre-averaging and truncation enable simultaneous handling of noise and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-11-11 Richard Y. Chen

We study the decay of survival probability at quantum phase transitions (QPT). The semiclassical theory is found applicable in the vicinities of critical points with infinite degeneracy. The theory predicts a power law decay of the survival…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2015-05-13 Wen-ge Wang , Pinquan Qin , Lewei He , Ping Wang

We study the time evolution of the survival probability $P(t)$ in open one-dimensional quasiperiodic tight-binding samples of size $L$, at critical conditions. We show that it decays algebraically as $P(t)\sim t^{-\alpha}$ up to times…

Mesoscale and Nanoscale Physics · Physics 2009-11-07 A. Ossipov , M. Weiss , Tsampikos Kottos , T. Geisel

This paper presents a central limit theorem for a pre-averaged version of the realized covariance estimator for the quadratic covariation of a discretely observed semimartingale with noise. The semimartingale possibly has jumps, while the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-03-31 Yuta Koike

Let $X$ be the constrained random walk on ${\mathbb Z}_+^2$ having increments $(1,0)$, $(-1,1)$, $(0,-1)$ with jump probabilities $\lambda(M_k)$, $\mu_1(M_k)$, and $\mu_2(M_k)$ where $M$ is an irreducible aperiodic finite state Markov…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-09-17 Fatma Başoğlu Kabran , Ali Devin Sezer

We consider a class of semi-Markov processes (SMP) such that the embedded discrete time Markov chain may be non-homogeneous. The corresponding augmented processes are represented as semi-martingales using stochastic integral equation…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-14 Anindya Goswami , Subhamay Saha , Ravishankar Kapildev Yadav

In this paper, martingales related to simple random walks and their maximum process are investigated. First, a sufficient condition under which a function with three arguments, time, the random walk, and its maximum process becomes a…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-11-11 Takahiko Fujita , Shotaro Yagishita , Naohiro Yoshida

Given a real valued and time-inhomogeneous martingale diffusion X, we investigate the properties of functions defined by the conditional expectation f(t,X_t)=E[g(X_T)|F_t]. We show that whenever g is monotonic or Lipschitz continuous then…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-01-03 George Lowther

The mean exit time escaping basin of attraction in the presence of white noise is of practical importance in various scientific fields. In this work, we propose a strategy to control mean exit time of general stochastic dynamical systems to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-08-09 Yang Li , Shenglan Yuan , Shengyuan Xu

In this paper, we study a Galton-Watson process $(Z_n)$ with infinitely many types in a random ergodic environment $\bar{\xi}=(\xi_n)_{n\geq 0}$. We focus on the supercritical regime of the process, where the quenched average of the size of…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-07 Maxime Ligonnière

E-values and E-processes (nonnegative supermartingales) provide anytime-valid evidence for sequential testing via Ville's inequality, yet their connection to Bayesian reasoning, representational structure, and computational feasibility are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-11 Nicholas G. Polson , Vadim Sokolov , Daniel Zantedeschi

In an incomplete model, where under an appropriate num\'eraire, the stock price process is driven by a sigma-bounded semimartingale, we investigate the behavior of the expected utility maximization problem under small perturbations of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-02-11 Oleksii Mostovyi

This paper is on developing stochastic analysis simultaneously under a general family of probability measures that are not dominated by a single probability measure. The interest in this question originates from the probabilistic…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-02-29 H. Mete Soner , Nizar Touzi , Jianfeng Zhang

An estimation method is proposed for a wide variety of discrete time stochastic processes that have an intractable likelihood function but are otherwise conveniently specified by an integral transform such as the characteristic function,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 T. Merkouris

In this paper we extend the notion of ``filtration-consistent nonlinear expectation" (or "${\cal F}$-consistent nonlinear expectation") to the case when it is allowed to be dominated by a $g$-expectation that may have a quadratic growth. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Ying Hu , Jin Ma , Shige Peng , Song Yao

In the semiclassical limit of open ballistic quantum systems, we demonstrate the emergence of instantaneous decay modes guided by classical escape faster than the Ehrenfest time. The decay time of the associated quasi-bound states is…

Mesoscale and Nanoscale Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Henning Schomerus , Jakub Tworzydlo

Quantum escapes of a particle from an end of a one-dimensional finite region to $N$ number of semi-infinite leads are discussed by a scattering theoretical approach. Depending on a potential barrier amplitude at the junction, the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2013-05-29 Tooru Taniguchi , Shin-ichi Sawada

Conditioning a multitype Galton-Watson process to stay alive into the indefinite future leads to what is known as its associated $Q$-process. We show that the same holds true if the process is conditioned to reach a positive threshold or a…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-09 Sophie Pénisson

Is this paper we study penalisations of diffusions satisfying some technical conditions, generalizing a result obtained by Najnudel, Roynette and Yor. If one of these diffusions has probability distribution $\mathbb{P}$, then our result can…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-11-24 Joseph Najnudel , Ashkan Nikeghbali

Self-normalized processes arise naturally in statistical applications. Being unit free, they are not affected by scale changes. Moreover, self-normalization often eliminates or weakens moment assumptions. In this paper we present several…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Victor H. de la Pena , Michael J. Klass , Tze Leung Lai
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