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Collective motion and self-organization of interacting particles, such as flocking and swarming, can be viewed as nonequilibrium analogues of collective dynamics in gases. Motivated by the analogy between gas mixtures and Cucker--Smale…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2025-11-25 Ziming Bian , Seung-Yeal Ha , Tommaso Ruggeri , Qinghua Xiao

In this work, we report the emergence of extreme events in a damped and driven velocity-dependent mechanical system. We observe that the extreme events emerge at multiple points. We further notice that the extreme events occur symmetrically…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2021-06-18 Sudharsan S , Venkatesan A , Senthilvelan M

We present a data-driven emulator, stochastic weather generator (SWG), suitable for estimating probabilities of prolonged heatwaves in France and Scandinavia. This emulator is based on the method of analogs of circulation to which we add…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-01-29 George Miloshevich , Dario Lucente , Pascal Yiou , Freddy Bouchet

Extreme weather is one of the main mechanisms through which climate change will directly impact human society. Coping with such change as a global community requires markedly improved understanding of how global warming drives extreme…

Computational Physics · Physics 2019-09-18 Adam Rupe , Karthik Kashinath , Nalini Kumar , Victor Lee , Prabhat , James P. Crutchfield

Extreme heat is a problem in European countries and cities, with rising temperatures affecting ageing populations. Research on mobility during extreme heat remains limited to small samples and isolated contexts, leaving significant gaps in…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-03-06 Andrew Renninger , Carmen Cabrera

Particularly challenging classes of heterogeneous surfaces are ones where strong secondary circulations are generated, potentially dominating the flow dynamics. In this study, we focus on land-sea breeze circulations (LSBs) resulting from…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-02-08 Mohammad Allouche , Elie Bou-Zeid , Juho Iipponen

Extreme environmental events such as severe storms, drought, heat waves, flash floods, and abrupt species collapse have become more prevalent in the earth-atmosphere dynamic system in recent years. In order to fully understand the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-05 Myungsoo Yoo , Likun Zhang , Christopher K. Wikle , Thomas Opitz

The strength of mid-latitude storm tracks shapes weather and climate phenomena in the extra-tropics, as these storm tracks control the daily to multi-decadal variability of precipitation, temperature and winds. By the end of this century,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-06-03 Rei Chemke , Yi Ming , Janni Yuval

We discuss spatio-temporal pattern formation in two separate thermal convective systems. In the first system, hydrothermal waves (HTW) are modeled numerically in an annular channel. A temperature difference is imposed across the channel,…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2022-04-20 Atanu Chatterjee , Takahiko Ban , Atsushi Onizuka , Germano Iannacchione

Munk (1966) showed that the deep (1000-3000 m) vertical temperature profile is consistent with a one-dimensional vertical advection-diffusion balance, with a constant upwelling and an interior diapycnal diffusivity of $\mathcal{O}(10^{-4})$…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2019-08-29 Madeline D. Miller , Xiaoting Yang , Eli Tziperman

In this paper, we analyze several instrumental records of temperatures at different locations by using new techniques originally developed for the analysis of extreme values of dynamical systems. We show that they have the same recurrence…

Geophysics · Physics 2014-03-24 Davide Faranda , Sandro Vaienti

A nearly half-cubic hectometer of deep Mediterranean-Sea waters is yearlong sampled with about 3000 high-resolution temperature sensors to study different sources of turbulent waterflows, which are vital for life. Although temperature…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-01-08 Hans van Haren

This study investigates how conditional normalizing flows can be applied to remote sensing data products in climate science for spatio-temporal prediction. The method is chosen due to its desired properties such as exact likelihood…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-03 Christina Winkler , David Rolnick

There is an ongoing debate in the literature about whether the present global warming is increasing local and global temperature variability. The central methodological issues of this debate relate to the proper treatment of normalised…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2017-02-24 Miklos Vincze , Ion Borcia , Uwe Harlander

Combining strengths from deep learning and extreme value theory can help describe complex relationships between variables where extreme events have significant impacts (e.g., environmental or financial applications). Neural networks learn…

Applications · Statistics 2023-10-06 Mitchell L. Krock , Julie Bessac , Michael L. Stein

Reliably identifying and understanding temporal precursors to extreme wind gusts is crucial for early warning and mitigation. This study proposes a simple data-driven approach to extract key predictors from a dataset of historical extreme…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-01-14 Frederick Iat-Hin Tam , Fabien Augsburger , Tom Beucler

Extreme precipitation events with large spatial extents may have more severe impacts than localized events as they can lead to widespread flooding. It is debated how climate change may affect the spatial extent of precipitation extremes,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-07 Peng Zhong , Manuela Brunner , Thomas Opitz , Raphaël Huser

The regimes of possible global atmospheric circulation patterns in an Earth-like atmosphere are explored using a simplified GCM based on the University of Hamburg's Portable University Model for the Atmosphere with simplified (linear)…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2019-06-19 Yixiong Wang , Peter Read , Fachreddin Tabataba-Vakili , Roland Young

We use a linear shallow-water model to investigate the global circulation of the atmospheres of tidally locked planets. Simulations, observations, and simple models show that if these planets are sufficiently rapidly rotating, their…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2018-12-26 Mark Hammond , Raymond T. Pierrehumbert

A goal of supernova remnant (SNR) evolution models is to relate fundamental parameters of a supernova (SN) explosion and progenitor star to the current state of its SNR. The SNR hot plasma is characterized by its observed X-ray spectrum,…

Astrophysics of Galaxies · Physics 2019-10-02 D. A. Leahy , Yuyang Wang , Bryson Lawton , Sujith Ranasinghe , Miroslav Filipovic