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We propose and analyze a generalized splitting method to sample approximately from a distribution conditional on the occurrence of a rare event. This has important applications in a variety of contexts in operations research, engineering,…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-09-10 Zdravko I. Botev , Pierre L'Ecuyer

This article presents a novel method to sampling on manifolds based on the Dirichlet distribution. The proposed strategy allows to completely respect the underlying manifold around which data is observed, and to do massive samplings with…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-08-13 Luan S Prado , Thiago G Ritto

Bayesian inference in deep neural networks is challenging due to the high-dimensional, strongly multi-modal parameter posterior density landscape. Markov chain Monte Carlo approaches asymptotically recover the true posterior but are…

Minimization of a stochastic cost function is commonly used for approximate sampling in high-dimensional Bayesian inverse problems with Gaussian prior distributions and multimodal posterior distributions. The density of the samples…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-06-03 Yuming Ba , Jana de Wiljes , Dean S. Oliver , Sebastian Reich

The Shannon entropy, and related quantities such as mutual information, can be used to quantify uncertainty and relevance. However, in practice, it can be difficult to compute these quantities for arbitrary probability distributions,…

Computation · Statistics 2017-10-11 Brendon J. Brewer

We develop a notion of projections between sets of probability measures using the geometric properties of the 2-Wasserstein space. It is designed for general multivariate probability measures, is computationally efficient to implement, and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-08-04 Florian Gunsilius , Meng Hsuan Hsieh , Myung Jin Lee

Importance sampling is a rare event simulation technique used in Monte Carlo simulations to bias the sampling distribution towards the rare event of interest. By assigning appropriate weights to sampled points, importance sampling allows…

Gaussian time-series models are often specified through their spectral density. Such models present several computational challenges, in particular because of the non-sparse nature of the covariance matrix. We derive a fast approximation of…

Computation · Statistics 2012-11-20 Nicolas Chopin , Judith Rousseau , Brunero Liseo

We study the problem of probability distribution matching and sampling on near-term quantum computers, aiming to construct parameterized circuits that generate samples from a target distribution while minimizing resource overhead. This task…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-05-26 Nicholas S. DiBrita , Jason Han , Krishna Bhatia , Younghyun Cho , Hengrui Luo , Tirthak Patel

Sampling from the posterior is a key technical problem in Bayesian statistics. Rigorous guarantees are difficult to obtain for Markov Chain Monte Carlo algorithms of common use. In this paper, we study an alternative class of algorithms…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-08-26 Andrea Montanari , Yuchen Wu

This paper introduces a practical sampling method for training surrogate models in the context of uncertainty propagation. We propose a heuristic method to uniformly draw samples within highest density regions of the density given by the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-15 Jocelyn Minini , Micha Wasem

Achieving robust uncertainty quantification for deep neural networks represents an important requirement in many real-world applications of deep learning such as medical imaging where it is necessary to assess the reliability of a neural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-15 Tim Rensmeyer , Oliver Niggemann

A generative modeling framework is proposed that combines diffusion models and manifold learning to efficiently sample data densities on manifolds. The approach utilizes Diffusion Maps to uncover possible low-dimensional underlying (latent)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-22 Dimitris G. Giovanis , Ellis Crabtree , Roger G. Ghanem , Ioannis G. Kevrekidis

In this paper, we consider the problem of numerical investigation of the counting statistics for a class of one-dimensional systems. Importance sampling, the cornerstone technique usually implemented for such problems, critically hinges on…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-08-12 Ivan N. Burenev , Satya N. Majumdar , Alberto Rosso

Bayesian inference is a powerful paradigm for quantum state tomography, treating uncertainty in meaningful and informative ways. Yet the numerical challenges associated with sampling from complex probability distributions hampers Bayesian…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2020-05-04 Joseph M. Lukens , Kody J. H. Law , Ajay Jasra , Pavel Lougovski

This paper is concerned with sampling from probability distributions $\pi$ on $\mathbb{R}^d$ admitting a density of the form $\pi(x) \propto e^{-U(x)}$, where $U(x)=F(x)+G(Kx)$ with $K$ being a linear operator and $G$ being…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-05-28 Andreas Habring , Martin Holler , Thomas Pock

Importance sampling is a popular technique in Bayesian inference: by reweighting samples drawn from a proposal distribution we are able to obtain samples and moment estimates from a Bayesian posterior over latent variables. Recent work,…

Computation · Statistics 2024-06-19 Sam Bowyer , Thomas Heap , Laurence Aitchison

Sequential Monte Carlo has become a standard tool for Bayesian Inference of complex models. This approach can be computationally demanding, especially when initialized from the prior distribution. On the other hand, deter-ministic…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-07-26 Sophie Donnet , Stéphane Robin

Sampling conditional distributions is a fundamental task for Bayesian inference and density estimation. Generative models, such as normalizing flows and generative adversarial networks, characterize conditional distributions by learning a…

We develop algorithms for sampling from a probability distribution on a submanifold embedded in Rn. Applications are given to the evaluation of algorithms in 'Topological Statistics'; to goodness of fit tests in exponential families and to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-07-06 Persi Diaconis , Susan Holmes , Mehrdad Shahshahani